OddsFilter

Millwall vs Swansea• Championship, England

#82.0:1.40-0LiveToday · The Den, London1.6:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.37PINX3.40B36523.21PINMargin at best2.8%Books10Markets88Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:23 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.373.333.213.4%
Dafabet2.373.403.103.9%
Betano2.373.353.054.8%
BetVictor2.303.303.106.0%
Betfair2.303.253.106.5%
1xBet2.303.322.997.0%
Bet3652.253.403.007.2%
Marathonbet2.283.322.987.5%
William Hill2.303.103.009.1%
SBO2.283.082.8910.9%
Best of all books2.373.403.212.8%
Average2.313.293.046.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MillwallSwansea
Last 10#8Table position#11.56Points per game2.225Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.256Attack rating4446Defence rating5444Form rating5693H2H rating747Goals model5360Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:30 UTC

Millwall

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

10 OctAPreston1-0W
19 SepHWest Ham2-2D
15 SepAMiddlesbrough2-2D
12 SepABlackburn1-3L
8 SepHNewcastle0-1L
5 SepHBolton4-0W
2 SepHWrexham0-3L
29 AugASouthampton1-5L
25 AugACambridge United1-0W
22 AugHNorwich3-0W

Swansea

6W 2D 2L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

10 OctHNorwich2-1W
19 SepALincoln2-1W
12 SepHBurnley3-1W
8 SepASouthampton1-3L
5 SepHWrexham0-0D
1 SepHWatford2-0W
29 AugADerby3-0W
22 AugHSheffield Utd0-0D
15 AugAStoke City2-1W
8 AugHBirmingham0-1L

Head to head

6Millwall wins
4draws
6Swansea wins

16 meetings · goals 14:18 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Millwall

4 Jan 2026ChampionshipChampionshipMillwall2-1Swansea
27 Sep 2025ChampionshipChampionshipSwansea1-1Millwall
26 Apr 2025ChampionshipChampionshipMillwall1-0Swansea
26 Oct 2024ChampionshipChampionshipSwansea0-1Millwall
4 May 2024ChampionshipChampionshipSwansea0-1Millwall
30 Sep 2023ChampionshipChampionshipMillwall0-3Swansea
14 Mar 2023ChampionshipChampionshipMillwall2-1Swansea
16 Aug 2022ChampionshipChampionshipSwansea2-2Millwall
5 Apr 2022ChampionshipChampionshipMillwall0-1Swansea
15 Sep 2021ChampionshipChampionshipSwansea0-0Millwall

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 13 Oct 15:20 UTC

In the Championship table, Millwall sit 8th with 14 points from 9 games, while Swansea are 1st with 20 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Swansea962115:7+820
2Middlesbrough953117:12+518
3West Ham944123:12+1116
4Stoke City951315:13+216
5Wolves842215:11+414
6QPR935111:8+314
7Birmingham935113:11+214
8Millwall942316:15+114
9West Brom942310:9+114
10Bristol City942312:13-114
11Southampton952220:10+1013
12Charlton93428:11-313
13Blackburn933314:13+112
14Sheffield Utd933312:11+112
15Wrexham925210:13-311
16Lincoln93247:11-411
17Bolton931512:17-510
18Norwich930617:19-29
19Portsmouth82249:11-28
20Watford92257:14-78
21Cardiff914411:14-37
22Burnley914413:17-47
23Derby91358:15-76
24Preston91178:16-84

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.31X29%3.29231%3.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 00:0113 Oct 17:201 2.31X 3.292 3.04
12.39 → 2.31 -3.3%X3.38 → 3.29 -2.7%22.91 → 3.04 +4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.081.813.3%
Betano2.071.803.9%
SBO2.071.774.8%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betfair1.951.806.8%
1xBet2.011.756.9%
Marathonbet2.011.756.9%
BetVictor1.951.739.1%
Best of all books2.081.813.3%
Average2.021.785.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
Betano1.781.986.7%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
1xBet1.771.948.0%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.771.928.6%
Best of all books1.802.103.2%
Average1.761.967.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Millwall 45%Draw 45%Swansea 10%

The statistical model rates Millwall at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Swansea at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.29 | 3.04, which imply roughly 43.3% for a Millwall win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Millwall are 8th (14 pts, 16-15 goals), Swansea 1st (20 pts, 15-7).

Over their last five matches, Millwall averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Swansea averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Millwall or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Millwall

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Neil

Goalkeeper

  • 34F. Marschall

Defence

  • 2J. Osei-Tutu
  • 6C. Taylor
  • 5J. Cooper
  • 3Zak Norton Sturge

Midfield

  • 49D. Mazou-Sacko
  • 14Jenson Metcalfe
  • 17M. Sykes
  • 10C. Neghli
  • 22K. Lisbie

Attack

  • 13L. Dykes
Substitutes (9)
  • 25L. Cundle
  • 45A. Doughty
  • 16D. Kelly
  • 35Y. Issoufou
  • 12E. Baggott
  • 18R. Leonard
  • 4T. Crama
  • 15M. Crocombe
  • 29Z. Lovelace

Swansea

4-3-3

Coach: Vítor Matos

Goalkeeper

  • 22L. Vigouroux

Defence

  • 26F. Lissah
  • 5B. Cabango
  • 3J. Seelt
  • 14J. Tymon

Midfield

  • 8E. Just
  • 4J. Fulton
  • 6M. Stamenić

Attack

  • 30Joseph Okopu
  • 9Z. Vipotnik
  • 49M. Yeo
Substitutes (9)
  • 1A. Fisher
  • 33A. Idah
  • 16Tom Iorpenda
  • 35Ronald
  • 31R. Stewart
  • 23S. Welsh
  • 7M. Widell
  • 10Eom Ji-Sung
  • 17Gonçalo Franco

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.313.293.04

Double chance

1XX212
1.361.571.31

Draw no bet

12
1.672.13

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.96

1st half

1X2
2.962.103.58

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8710.92.08

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.059.03
1.51.323.20
2.52.021.78
3.53.561.26
4.57.281.07
5.512.91.02
6.524.81.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.68
11.057.13
1.251.174.11
1.751.392.79
21.512.44
2.251.772.00
2.752.311.57
32.771.41
3.252.931.35
3.754.201.16
45.501.10
4.256.651.05
4.758.631.02
59.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.711.41
-0.52.311.61
-0.251.981.81
01.662.17
+0.251.472.55
+0.51.383.01
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.701.02
-28.651.02
-1.756.031.08
-1.54.661.15
-1.254.181.19
-13.651.24
+0.751.233.73
+11.125.50
+1.251.095.87
+1.51.086.50
+1.751.048.33
+21.0110.0
+2.51.0111.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.313.21
3.51.592.30
41.871.92
4.52.211.62
52.971.35
5.53.101.34

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0210.0
6.51.066.63
7.51.184.14
8.51.352.87
9.51.652.14
10.52.071.69
11.52.681.40
12.53.671.22
13.55.171.11
14.57.301.05
15.59.881.03
16.510.81.03
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.67
71.036.40
7.251.094.99
7.751.163.96
81.183.76
8.251.263.20
8.751.382.68
91.492.49
9.251.532.30
9.751.712.02
101.841.94
10.251.911.80
10.752.151.62
112.401.53
11.252.451.46
11.752.841.34
123.201.26
12.253.361.24
12.754.001.16
134.721.10
13.254.921.09
13.755.801.05
147.171.01