OddsFilter

Cardiff vs Watford• Championship, England

#211.0:1.44-0LiveToday · Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff0.6:1.8#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX4.54PIN25.10BTNMargin at best2.2%Books10Markets96Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:23 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.654.455.102.7%
Pinnacle1.614.545.063.9%
Dafabet1.634.504.904.0%
Bet3651.624.105.006.1%
BetVictor1.604.334.806.4%
Betfair1.604.334.756.6%
1xBet1.614.304.646.9%
Marathonbet1.594.304.707.4%
William Hill1.574.204.808.3%
SBO1.584.024.5110.3%
Best of all books1.654.545.102.2%
Average1.614.314.836.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CardiffWatford
Last 10#21Table position#200.78Points per game0.894Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 51.863Attack rating3856Defence rating4457Form rating4385H2H rating1585Goals model1569Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:20 UTC

Cardiff

1W 4D 5L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

10 OctABlackburn1-2L
19 SepHCharlton3-1W
12 SepABolton0-1L
8 SepHStoke City1-1D
5 SepAPortsmouth0-2L
2 SepAQPR1-2L
29 AugHSheffield Utd2-2D
25 AugHNorwich1-2L
22 AugADerby2-2D
17 AugHWrexham1-1D

Watford

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:19 · per match 0.8 for, 1.9 against

10 OctHBurnley0-4L
18 SepABristol City0-1L
12 SepHStoke City1-2L
8 SepHPreston2-1W
5 SepAWest Brom0-1L
1 SepASwansea0-2L
29 AugHWest Ham1-1D
25 AugHPeterborough1-5L
22 AugAWrexham1-1D
16 AugHSouthampton2-1W

Head to head

6Cardiff wins
5draws
5Watford wins

16 meetings · goals 21:23 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Cardiff

14 Jan 2025ChampionshipChampionshipCardiff1-1Watford
29 Dec 2024ChampionshipChampionshipWatford1-2Cardiff
3 Feb 2024ChampionshipChampionshipWatford0-1Cardiff
7 Oct 2023ChampionshipChampionshipCardiff1-1Watford
19 Apr 2023ChampionshipChampionshipWatford1-3Cardiff
2 Nov 2022ChampionshipChampionshipCardiff1-2Watford
13 Mar 2021ChampionshipChampionshipCardiff1-2Watford
5 Dec 2020ChampionshipChampionshipWatford0-1Cardiff
22 Feb 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCardiff1-5Watford
15 Dec 2018Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWatford3-2Cardiff

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 13 Oct 15:20 UTC

In the Championship table, Cardiff sit 21st with 7 points from 9 games, while Watford are 20th with 8 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Swansea962115:7+820
2Middlesbrough953117:12+518
3West Ham944123:12+1116
4Stoke City951315:13+216
5Wolves842215:11+414
6QPR935111:8+314
7Birmingham935113:11+214
8Millwall942316:15+114
9West Brom942310:9+114
10Bristol City942312:13-114
11Southampton952220:10+1013
12Charlton93428:11-313
13Blackburn933314:13+112
14Sheffield Utd933312:11+112
15Wrexham925210:13-311
16Lincoln93247:11-411
17Bolton931512:17-510
18Norwich930617:19-29
19Portsmouth82249:11-28
20Watford92257:14-78
21Cardiff914411:14-37
22Burnley914413:17-47
23Derby91358:15-76
24Preston91178:16-84

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.61X22%4.31220%4.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 00:0113 Oct 17:201 1.61X 4.312 4.83
11.85 → 1.61 -13.0%X4.00 → 4.31 +7.7%23.80 → 4.83 +27.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.492.714.0%
Betano1.522.604.3%
Bet3651.502.624.8%
Betfair1.442.637.5%
BetVictor1.472.449.0%
1xBet1.432.4610.6%
Marathonbet1.432.4610.6%
Best of all books1.522.712.7%
Average1.472.567.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.456.2%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.552.357.1%
William Hill1.502.457.5%
1xBet1.512.398.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Marathonbet1.512.358.8%
Best of all books1.552.504.5%
Average1.512.417.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cardiff 45%Draw 45%Watford 10%

The statistical model rates Cardiff at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Watford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 4.31 | 4.83, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Cardiff win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Cardiff are 21st (7 pts, 11-14 goals), Watford 20th (8 pts, 7-14).

Over their last five matches, Cardiff averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Watford averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1

Coach: B. Barry-Murphy

Goalkeeper

  • 1N. Trott

Defence

  • 38P. Ng
  • 48D. Lawlor
  • 4G. Osho
  • 3J. Bagan

Midfield

  • 18A. Robertson
  • 45Cian Ashford
  • 11O. Tanner
  • 27J. Colwill
  • 16C. Willock

Attack

  • 8J. Moylan
Substitutes (9)
  • 30H. Tyrer
  • 14D. Turnbull
  • 23C. Scanlon
  • 47C. Robinson
  • 43P. Moreno
  • 44R. Kpakio
  • 2W. Fish
  • 39I. Davies
  • 50Charlie Holt

Watford

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Dionisi

Goalkeeper

  • 1F. Ravaglia

Defence

  • 23O. Traoré
  • 6M. Pollock
  • 4K. Keben
  • 33J. Zemura

Midfield

  • 39E. Kayembe
  • 5H. Kyprianou
  • 7O. Maamma
  • 22M. Payero
  • 45S. Mavididi

Attack

  • 10M. Boadu
Substitutes (9)
  • 20M. Doumbia
  • 15K. Diatta
  • 3S. Coulibaly
  • 17Iker Bravo
  • 16M. Bola
  • 26D. Bachmann
  • 9L. Kjerrumgaard
  • 29Branimir Mlačić
  • 21Amin Nabizada

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.614.314.83

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.271.19

Draw no bet

12
1.253.69

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.41

1st half

1X2
2.082.524.61

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5020.52.57

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.3
1.51.135.50
2.51.472.56
3.52.231.64
4.53.751.24
5.57.071.08
6.512.51.03
7.522.51.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.0
1.751.144.53
21.164.15
2.251.303.00
2.751.562.28
31.742.03
3.251.971.79
3.752.491.48
43.031.33
4.253.221.27
4.754.501.13
56.101.06
5.256.451.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.531.48
-1.252.251.60
-12.001.81
-0.751.722.05
-0.51.592.35
-0.251.402.74
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.071.04
-38.701.01
-2.755.851.09
-2.54.551.15
-2.254.251.17
-23.921.21
-1.752.971.35
01.243.70
+0.251.204.09
+0.51.174.60
+0.751.096.00
+1.51.049.03

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.243.74
3.51.552.39
41.742.08
4.52.131.67
52.671.43
5.52.931.37

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0211.4
6.51.077.45
7.51.124.95
8.51.273.28
9.51.512.41
10.51.851.87
11.52.341.54
12.53.101.31
13.54.301.17
14.56.161.08
15.58.401.05
16.59.751.03
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.017.20
7.251.065.52
7.751.104.86
81.114.64
8.251.183.82
8.751.273.15
91.312.98
9.251.402.64
9.751.542.28
101.652.17
10.251.712.01
10.751.901.80
112.071.72
11.252.141.62
11.752.431.47
122.671.38
12.252.811.35
12.753.281.25
133.771.18
13.253.941.17
13.754.721.10
145.671.06
14.255.871.05