West Brom vs Birmingham• Championship, England

#50.8:0.611:30Tomorrow · The Hawthorns, West Bromwich1.6:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.63BFRX3.35DAF22.85PINMargin at best3.0%Books10Markets89Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.59	3.32	2.85	3.8%
Dafabet	2.55	3.35	2.85	4.2%
Betano	2.55	3.25	2.85	5.1%
Bet365	2.55	3.30	2.80	5.2%
Betfair	2.63	3.20	2.75	5.6%
BetVictor	2.50	3.30	2.80	6.0%
1xBet	2.45	3.24	2.80	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.45	3.24	2.80	7.4%
William Hill	2.50	3.10	2.80	8.0%
SBO	2.34	2.97	2.58	15.2%
Best of all books	2.63	3.35	2.85	3.0%
Average	2.51	3.23	2.79	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

West BromBirmingham

Last 10#5Table position#101.75Points per game1.388Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 51.633Attack rating6773Defence rating2757Form rating4338H2H rating6255Goals model4548Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

West Brom

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

20 Sep	A	Wolves	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	QPR	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Derby	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Watford	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	Charlton	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Middlesbrough	1-3	L
26 Aug	A	Newcastle	2-3	L
23 Aug	H	Burnley	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Norwich	2-1	W
8 Aug	A	Rotherham	4-1	W

Birmingham

3W 5D 2L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

19 Sep	H	Middlesbrough	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Derby	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Norwich	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Wolves	2-2	D
1 Sep	H	Southampton	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Wrexham	2-1	W
25 Aug	H	Brentford	1-6	L
22 Aug	H	Bristol City	2-2	D
15 Aug	A	Sheffield Utd	0-0	D
8 Aug	A	Swansea	1-0	W

Head to head

8West Brom wins

4draws

5Birmingham wins

17 meetings · goals 26:22 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for West Brom

10 Feb 2026Championship	Championship	Birmingham0-0West Brom
26 Nov 2025Championship	Championship	West Brom1-1Birmingham
3 Aug 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Birmingham4-1West Brom
3 Feb 2024Championship	Championship	West Brom1-0Birmingham
6 Oct 2023Championship	Championship	Birmingham3-1West Brom
10 Feb 2023Championship	Championship	Birmingham2-0West Brom
14 Sep 2022Championship	Championship	West Brom2-3Birmingham
3 Apr 2022Championship	Championship	Birmingham1-0West Brom
15 Oct 2021Championship	Championship	West Brom1-0Birmingham
31 Jul 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Birmingham0-4West Brom

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 9 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the Championship table, West Brom sit 5th with 14 points from 8 games, while Birmingham are 10th with 11 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	5	2	1	13:6	+7	17
2	West Ham	8	4	3	1	22:11	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	16:12	+4	15
4	Wolves	7	4	2	1	15:10	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	4	2	2	10:8	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	10:7	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	13:12	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	11:12	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	7:10	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	12:11	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	15:15	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	7:8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	9:12	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	11:15	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
17	Norwich	8	3	0	5	16:17	-1	9
18	Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9:11	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	7:10	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	10:12	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	7:14	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	8:15	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	9:17	-8	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.51X29%3.23234%2.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.27 → 2.51 +10.6%X3.39 → 3.23 -4.7%22.91 → 2.79 -4.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.07	1.82	3.3%
Betano	2.02	1.83	4.1%
SBO	2.08	1.74	5.5%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.99	1.76	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.76	7.1%
BetVictor	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.08	1.83	2.7%
Average	2.01	1.78	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.75	2.00	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

West Brom 10%Draw 45%Birmingham 45%

The statistical model rates West Brom at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Birmingham at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 3.23 | 2.79, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: West Brom are 5th (14 pts, 10-8 goals), Birmingham 10th (11 pts, 12-11).

Over their last five matches, West Brom averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Birmingham averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Birmingham.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.51	3.23	2.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.50	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.80	1.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
3.10	2.09	3.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	9.05	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	9.16
1.5	1.32	3.21
2.5	2.01	1.78
3.5	3.43	1.28
4.5	7.05	1.08
5.5	13.3	1.02
6.5	24.7	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.40
1	1.05	7.02
1.25	1.17	4.10
1.75	1.37	2.72
2	1.51	2.44
2.25	1.74	2.06
2.75	2.24	1.62
3	2.76	1.41
3.25	2.95	1.35
3.75	4.15	1.16
4	6.10	1.06
4.25	6.55	1.05
4.75	7.93	1.02
5	9.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.91	1.38
-0.5	2.46	1.53
-0.25	2.10	1.71
0	1.78	2.00
+0.25	1.54	2.39
+0.5	1.44	2.75

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.0	1.02
-2	9.20	1.02
-1.75	6.77	1.07
-1.5	5.23	1.12
-1.25	4.58	1.16
-1	4.02	1.22
+0.75	1.27	3.41
+1	1.14	4.95
+1.25	1.10	5.47
+1.5	1.10	5.95
+1.75	1.02	8.10
+2.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.30	3.23
3	1.42	2.72
3.5	1.71	2.06
4	2.15	1.65
4.5	2.31	1.58
5.5	3.20	1.32

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.5
5.5	1.05	7.40
6.5	1.11	5.19
7.5	1.27	3.34
8.5	1.51	2.39
9.5	1.90	1.83
10.5	2.41	1.51
11.5	3.33	1.27
12.5	4.70	1.14
13.5	6.92	1.06
14.5	9.50	1.03
15.5	14.0	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	7.00
6	1.01	7.23
6.25	1.07	5.43
6.75	1.07	5.41
7	1.08	5.15
7.25	1.15	4.14
7.75	1.24	3.34
8	1.27	3.16
8.25	1.36	2.76
8.75	1.51	2.35
9	1.70	2.11
9.25	1.69	2.05
9.75	1.88	1.82
10	2.05	1.72
10.25	2.13	1.63
10.75	2.43	1.47
11	2.68	1.38
11.25	2.83	1.34
11.75	3.33	1.24
12	3.86	1.17
12.25	4.04	1.16
12.75	4.89	1.10
13	5.95	1.05
13.25	6.16	1.04