OddsFilter

Watford vs Burnley• Championship, England

#200.6:1.414:00Tomorrow · Vicarage Road, Watford1.0:1.6#24

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90B365X3.55DAF22.47PINMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets85Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:45 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.853.542.473.8%
Dafabet2.853.552.444.2%
Betano2.873.402.455.1%
BetVictor2.883.502.385.3%
Betfair2.803.402.455.9%
Bet3652.903.402.356.4%
1xBet2.853.442.337.1%
Marathonbet2.843.442.317.6%
William Hill2.803.302.309.5%
SBO2.563.022.3215.3%
Best of all books2.903.552.473.1%
Average2.823.402.386.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

WatfordBurnley
Last 10#20Table position#241.00Points per game0.503Form pts · last 530.6Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.638Attack rating6353Defence rating4750Form rating5029H2H rating7172Goals model2847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Watford

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

18 SepABristol City0-1L
12 SepHStoke City1-2L
8 SepHPreston2-1W
5 SepAWest Brom0-1L
1 SepASwansea0-2L
29 AugHWest Ham1-1D
25 AugHPeterborough1-5L
22 AugAWrexham1-1D
16 AugHSouthampton2-1W
8 AugHCrawley Town1-0W

Burnley

0W 6D 4L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

19 SepHDerby1-1D
12 SepASwansea1-3L
8 SepAWrexham1-1D
5 SepHBristol City1-2L
2 SepHMiddlesbrough1-1D
29 AugANorwich1-4L
26 AugABradford0-0D
23 AugAWest Brom1-3L
16 AugHWest Ham2-2D
8 AugHNotts County1-1D

Head to head

4Watford wins
8draws
8Burnley wins

20 meetings · goals 21:27 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Watford

18 Apr 2025ChampionshipChampionshipWatford1-2Burnley
21 Dec 2024ChampionshipChampionshipBurnley2-1Watford
14 Feb 2023ChampionshipChampionshipBurnley1-1Watford
12 Aug 2022ChampionshipChampionshipWatford1-0Burnley
30 Apr 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWatford1-2Burnley
5 Feb 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBurnley0-0Watford
25 Jun 2020Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBurnley1-0Watford
23 Nov 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWatford0-3Burnley
19 Jan 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueWatford0-0Burnley
19 Aug 2018Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBurnley1-3Watford

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 9 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the Championship table, Watford sit 20th with 8 points from 8 games, while Burnley are 24th with 4 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Swansea852113:6+717
2West Ham843122:11+1115
3Middlesbrough843116:12+415
4Wolves742115:10+514
5West Brom842210:8+214
6QPR834110:7+313
7Stoke City841313:12+113
8Bristol City841311:12-113
9Charlton83327:10-312
10Birmingham825112:11+111
11Millwall832315:15011
12Lincoln83237:8-111
13Southampton842219:10+910
14Wrexham82429:12-310
15Bolton831411:15-410
16Blackburn823312:1209
17Norwich830516:17-19
18Sheffield Utd82339:11-29
19Portsmouth72239:10-18
20Watford82247:10-38
21Cardiff814310:12-27
22Derby81257:14-75
23Preston81168:15-74
24Burnley80449:17-84

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.82X28%3.40239%2.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:029 Oct 18:401 2.82X 3.402 2.38
12.92 → 2.82 -3.4%X3.43 → 3.40 -0.9%22.23 → 2.38 +6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.832.053.4%
Betano1.832.024.1%
SBO1.782.045.2%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.802.005.6%
1xBet1.781.976.9%
Marathonbet1.781.976.9%
BetVictor1.741.949.0%
Best of all books1.832.053.4%
Average1.792.005.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.622.305.2%
Betano1.622.226.8%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.612.188.0%
Marathonbet1.612.158.6%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.672.303.4%
Average1.622.197.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Watford 10%Draw 45%Burnley 45%

The statistical model rates Watford at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Burnley at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.82 | 3.40 | 2.38, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Watford are 20th (8 pts, 7-10 goals), Burnley 24th (4 pts, 9-17).

Over their last five matches, Watford averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Burnley averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Burnley.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.823.402.38

Double chance

1XX212
1.551.391.28

Draw no bet

12
2.061.71

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.19

1st half

1X2
3.382.192.92

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0912.61.82

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.6
1.51.243.77
2.51.792.00
3.52.951.37
4.55.601.12
5.510.61.04
6.520.21.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.80
1.251.105.20
1.751.273.21
21.362.94
2.251.582.31
2.751.981.77
32.311.56
3.252.621.44
3.753.421.24
44.501.14
4.255.101.10
4.757.431.04
57.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.871.41
-0.252.491.51
02.071.73
+0.251.762.02
+0.51.592.34
+0.751.422.72
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.757.901.02
-1.56.051.09
-1.255.571.10
-15.011.14
-0.753.481.26
+11.263.63
+1.251.204.06
+1.51.164.52
+1.751.095.78
+2.51.029.35

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.343.05
31.462.59
3.51.801.94
42.241.60
4.52.601.46

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.3
5.51.049.00
6.51.085.91
7.51.213.80
8.51.422.65
9.51.741.99
10.52.201.59
11.52.931.34
12.54.031.19
13.56.051.08
14.57.331.05
15.511.41.02
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.74
71.065.48
7.251.134.36
7.751.223.50
81.243.32
8.251.332.87
8.751.472.44
91.532.30
9.251.642.12
9.751.831.87
101.971.78
10.252.061.68
10.752.341.51
112.571.42
11.252.711.38
11.753.171.27
123.641.20
12.253.821.18
12.754.611.11
135.551.06
13.255.751.05
13.755.881.05
145.271.06