Swansea vs Norwich• Championship, England

#11.6:1.011:30Tomorrow · Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea2.2:2.2#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.37DAFX3.60BVC23.25BFRMargin at best0.7%Books10Markets87Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.24	3.54	3.21	4.0%
Dafabet	2.37	3.55	2.95	4.3%
Betano	2.30	3.50	3.05	4.8%
BetVictor	2.20	3.60	3.10	5.5%
Betfair	2.20	3.40	3.25	5.6%
Bet365	2.25	3.50	3.00	6.3%
1xBet	2.22	3.44	3.05	6.9%
Marathonbet	2.20	3.44	3.04	7.4%
William Hill	2.25	3.30	2.90	9.2%
SBO	2.23	3.04	2.68	15.1%
Best of all books	2.37	3.60	3.25	0.7%
Average	2.25	3.43	3.02	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SwanseaNorwich

Last 10#1Table position#172.13Points per game1.1310Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 52.242Attack rating5869Defence rating3163Form rating3862H2H rating3885Goals model1561Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Swansea

6W 2D 2L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

19 Sep	A	Lincoln	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Burnley	3-1	W
8 Sep	A	Southampton	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Wrexham	0-0	D
1 Sep	H	Watford	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Derby	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	Sheffield Utd	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Stoke City	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Birmingham	0-1	L
1 Aug	H	Leganes	1-0	W

Norwich

4W 0D 6L · goals 18:23 · per match 1.8 for, 2.3 against

20 Sep	H	Bolton	3-4	L
17 Sep	A	Manchester City	0-5	L
12 Sep	A	Middlesbrough	3-4	L
9 Sep	H	Birmingham	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Sheffield Utd	3-1	W
1 Sep	A	Stoke City	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Burnley	4-1	W
25 Aug	A	Cardiff	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Millwall	0-3	L
15 Aug	H	West Brom	1-2	L

Head to head

7Swansea wins

4draws

9Norwich wins

20 meetings · goals 28:31 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Swansea

25 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	Norwich1-1Swansea
25 Oct 2025Championship	Championship	Swansea2-1Norwich
25 Jan 2025Championship	Championship	Norwich5-1Swansea
14 Sep 2024Championship	Championship	Swansea1-0Norwich
27 Apr 2024Championship	Championship	Norwich2-2Swansea
4 Oct 2023Championship	Championship	Swansea2-1Norwich
22 Apr 2023Championship	Championship	Norwich0-3Swansea
10 Dec 2022Championship	Championship	Swansea0-1Norwich
5 Feb 2021Championship	Championship	Swansea2-0Norwich
7 Nov 2020Championship	Championship	Norwich1-0Swansea

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 9 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the Championship table, Swansea sit 1st with 17 points from 8 games, while Norwich are 17th with 9 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	5	2	1	13:6	+7	17
2	West Ham	8	4	3	1	22:11	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	16:12	+4	15
4	Wolves	7	4	2	1	15:10	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	4	2	2	10:8	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	10:7	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	13:12	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	11:12	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	7:10	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	12:11	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	15:15	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	7:8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	9:12	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	11:15	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
17	Norwich	8	3	0	5	16:17	-1	9
18	Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9:11	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	7:10	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	10:12	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	7:14	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	8:15	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	9:17	-8	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.25X27%3.43231%3.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.43 → 2.25 -7.4%X3.41 → 3.43 +0.6%22.66 → 3.02 +13.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.74	2.17	3.6%
Betano	1.75	2.15	3.7%
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
SBO	1.73	2.09	5.7%
1xBet	1.70	2.08	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.08	6.9%
BetVictor	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.17	3.2%
Average	1.72	2.10	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betano	1.57	2.30	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.56	2.28	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.24	8.7%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.57	2.27	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Swansea 45%Draw 45%Norwich 10%

The statistical model rates Swansea at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Norwich at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.43 | 3.02, which imply roughly 44.4% for a Swansea win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Swansea are 1st (17 pts, 13-6 goals), Norwich 17th (9 pts, 16-17).

Over their last five matches, Swansea averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Norwich averaged 2.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Swansea or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.25	3.43	3.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.61	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.62	2.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
2.74	2.25	3.49

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	13.3	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.8
1.5	1.21	4.06
2.5	1.72	2.10
3.5	2.71	1.42
4.5	4.98	1.15
5.5	9.14	1.04
6.5	18.7	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.01	8.90
1.25	1.10	5.20
1.75	1.25	3.39
2	1.32	3.10
2.25	1.52	2.46
2.75	1.89	1.88
3	2.14	1.66
3.25	2.41	1.52
3.75	3.03	1.29
4	3.91	1.18
4.25	4.30	1.15
4.75	5.70	1.08
5	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.62	1.45
-0.5	2.24	1.65
-0.25	1.94	1.84
0	1.63	2.21
+0.25	1.49	2.52
+0.5	1.39	2.95

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.97	1.04
-2	6.95	1.04
-1.75	5.18	1.12
-1.5	4.04	1.19
-1.25	3.70	1.24
-1	3.33	1.29
+0.75	1.26	3.58
+1	1.14	4.96
+1.25	1.12	5.28
+1.5	1.09	5.94
+1.75	1.05	7.27
+2	1.02	9.20
+2.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.42	2.73
3	1.62	2.21
3.5	1.90	1.81
4	2.64	1.45
4.5	2.95	1.36

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	13.8
5.5	1.06	7.75
6.5	1.11	5.33
7.5	1.26	3.39
8.5	1.49	2.43
9.5	1.85	1.86
10.5	2.40	1.51
11.5	3.27	1.28
12.5	4.62	1.15
13.5	6.83	1.06
14.5	9.63	1.03
15.5	13.8	1.02

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.62
6.75	1.08	5.18
7	1.09	4.94
7.25	1.16	3.98
7.75	1.26	3.23
8	1.29	3.05
8.25	1.38	2.68
8.75	1.54	2.29
9	1.64	2.17
9.25	1.72	2.00
9.75	1.92	1.78
10	2.10	1.69
10.25	2.18	1.60
10.75	2.50	1.45
11	2.68	1.43
11.25	2.92	1.32
11.75	3.45	1.22
12	4.02	1.16
12.25	4.20	1.14
12.75	5.11	1.08
13	6.26	1.04
13.25	6.47	1.03
14	5.57	1.05