Southampton vs Portsmouth• Championship, England

#132.0:1.211:00Tomorrow · St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton1.0:1.2#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62PINX4.30DAF25.50B365Margin at best3.2%Books10Markets93Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.62	4.30	5.20	4.2%
Betano	1.62	4.15	5.30	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.62	4.14	5.09	5.5%
Betfair	1.60	4.00	5.50	5.7%
BetVictor	1.57	4.20	5.25	6.6%
Bet365	1.57	4.00	5.50	6.9%
1xBet	1.61	4.00	5.03	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	4.00	5.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.60	4.00	4.80	8.3%
SBO	1.52	3.73	4.55	14.6%
Best of all books	1.62	4.30	5.50	3.2%
Average	1.59	4.05	5.13	7.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SouthamptonPortsmouth

Last 10#13Table position#191.25Points per game1.148Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.267Attack rating3350Defence rating5062Form rating3864H2H rating3669Goals model3163Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:03 UTC

Southampton

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

19 Sep	A	Wrexham	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Bristol City	4-1	W
8 Sep	H	Swansea	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Lincoln	1-1	D
1 Sep	A	Birmingham	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Millwall	5-1	W
25 Aug	H	West Ham	1-4	L
22 Aug	H	Stoke City	3-1	W
16 Aug	A	Watford	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Colchester	2-0	W

Portsmouth

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

19 Sep	H	Blackburn	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Charlton	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Cardiff	2-0	W
1 Sep	H	Derby	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Bristol City	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Lincoln	3-1	W
15 Aug	H	QPR	1-3	L
8 Aug	A	West Ham	1-3	L
1 Aug	A	SV Darmstadt 98	0-0	D
29 Jul	A	Farnborough	1-1	D

Head to head

1Southampton wins

4draws

0Portsmouth wins

5 meetings · goals 8:4 · last 5: 1W 4D 0L for Southampton

25 Jan 2026Championship	Championship	Portsmouth1-1Southampton
14 Sep 2025Championship	Championship	Southampton0-0Portsmouth
24 Sep 2019League Cup	League Cup	Portsmouth0-4Southampton
7 Apr 2012Championship	Championship	Southampton2-2Portsmouth
18 Dec 2011Championship	Championship	Portsmouth1-1Southampton

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Southampton sit 13th with 10 points from 8 games, while Portsmouth are 19th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	5	2	1	13:6	+7	17
2	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23:12	+11	16
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	16:12	+4	15
4	Wolves	7	4	2	1	15:10	+5	14
5	QPR	9	3	5	1	11:8	+3	14
6	West Brom	8	4	2	2	10:8	+2	14
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	13:12	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	11:12	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	7:10	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	12:11	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	15:15	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	7:8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	9:12	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	11:15	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
17	Norwich	8	3	0	5	16:17	-1	9
18	Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9:11	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	7:10	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	10:12	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	7:14	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	8:15	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	9:17	-8	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.59X23%4.05218%5.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.59 → 1.59 0.0%X4.02 → 4.05 +0.7%25.08 → 5.13 +1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.26	4.9%
Bet365	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Betfair	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.64	2.17	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.17	7.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.26	4.1%
Average	1.64	2.20	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.67	2.08	8.0%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Average	1.67	2.09	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Southampton 45%Draw 45%Portsmouth 10%

The statistical model rates Southampton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Portsmouth at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 4.05 | 5.13, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Southampton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Southampton are 13th (10 pts, 19-10 goals), Portsmouth 19th (8 pts, 9-10).

Over their last five matches, Southampton averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Portsmouth averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.59	4.05	5.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.28	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
2.08	2.37	5.16

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	14.0	2.79

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.8
1.5	1.19	4.26
2.5	1.64	2.20
3.5	2.57	1.46
4.5	4.67	1.17
5.5	8.67	1.04
6.5	17.1	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.08	5.70
1.75	1.22	3.64
2	1.27	3.21
2.25	1.47	2.58
2.75	1.80	1.96
3	2.04	1.72
3.25	2.29	1.56
3.75	2.95	1.34
4	3.73	1.20
4.25	4.14	1.16
4.75	5.55	1.08
5	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.56	1.46
-1.25	2.26	1.59
-1	2.00	1.79
-0.75	1.72	2.06
-0.5	1.58	2.35
-0.25	1.39	2.82

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.37	1.04
-3	8.60	1.01
-2.75	5.97	1.09
-2.5	4.74	1.14
-2.25	4.35	1.17
-2	4.04	1.20
-1.75	3.04	1.34
0	1.21	3.90
+0.25	1.17	4.39
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	6.57
+1	1.02	8.90
+1.5	1.02	9.95

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.80	1.91
4.5	1.98	1.76

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	17.0
5.5	1.02	10.4
6.5	1.05	7.23
7.5	1.13	4.84
8.5	1.28	3.26
9.5	1.51	2.36
10.5	1.86	1.88
11.5	2.31	1.55
12.5	3.12	1.30
13.5	4.38	1.16
14.5	6.22	1.08
15.5	8.40	1.05
16.5	9.75	1.03

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.03
7	1.02	6.75
7.25	1.08	5.22
7.75	1.10	4.72
8	1.12	4.50
8.25	1.19	3.73
8.75	1.29	3.08
9	1.32	2.92
9.25	1.41	2.59
9.75	1.56	2.24
10	1.61	2.22
10.25	1.74	1.98
10.75	1.93	1.77
11	2.02	1.76
11.25	2.18	1.60
11.75	2.48	1.45
12	2.64	1.44
12.25	2.87	1.33
12.75	3.36	1.24
13	3.88	1.17
13.25	4.04	1.16
13.75	4.87	1.10
14	5.87	1.05
14.25	6.07	1.04