OddsFilter

Bolton vs Stoke City• Championship, England

#151.8:2.614:00Tomorrow · Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich2.0:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.78PINX3.45DAF22.60BFRMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets87Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:45 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.813.362.603.8%
Dafabet2.753.452.603.8%
Betano2.723.402.575.1%
BetVictor2.703.402.555.7%
Betfair2.703.302.605.8%
Bet3652.703.402.506.4%
1xBet2.713.282.497.5%
Marathonbet2.713.282.497.5%
William Hill2.623.252.508.9%
SBO2.523.062.3415.1%
Best of all books2.813.452.603.0%
Average2.693.322.526.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BoltonStoke City
Last 10#15Table position#71.25Points per game1.636Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 52.02.6Goals against · last 50.647Attack rating5319Defence rating8132Form rating6838H2H rating6258Goals model4242Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Bolton

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

20 SepANorwich4-3W
12 SepHCardiff1-0W
8 SepHWest Ham2-3L
5 SepAMillwall0-4L
1 SepASheffield Utd2-3L
29 AugHLincoln0-1L
22 AugAQPR0-0D
15 AugHPreston2-1W
8 AugASheffield Wednesday0-1L
1 AugHNAC Breda1-0W

Stoke City

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

19 SepHSheffield Utd2-1W
12 SepAWatford2-1W
8 SepACardiff1-1D
5 SepHCharlton4-0W
1 SepHNorwich1-0W
29 AugAWolves1-4L
25 AugHHull City1-1D
22 AugASouthampton1-3L
15 AugHSwansea1-2L
8 AugHOldham2-0W

Head to head

2Bolton wins
2draws
3Stoke City wins

7 meetings · goals 9:8 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Bolton

30 Jul 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBolton0-1Stoke City
29 Dec 2018ChampionshipChampionshipBolton0-0Stoke City
2 Oct 2018ChampionshipChampionshipStoke City2-0Bolton
13 May 2012Premier LeaguePremier LeagueStoke City2-2Bolton
6 Nov 2011Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBolton5-0Stoke City
15 Jan 2011Premier LeaguePremier LeagueStoke City2-0Bolton
16 Oct 2010Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBolton2-1Stoke City

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 9 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the Championship table, Bolton sit 15th with 10 points from 8 games, while Stoke City are 7th with 13 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Swansea852113:6+717
2West Ham843122:11+1115
3Middlesbrough843116:12+415
4Wolves742115:10+514
5West Brom842210:8+214
6QPR834110:7+313
7Stoke City841313:12+113
8Bristol City841311:12-113
9Charlton83327:10-312
10Birmingham825112:11+111
11Millwall832315:15011
12Lincoln83237:8-111
13Southampton842219:10+910
14Wrexham82429:12-310
15Bolton831411:15-410
16Blackburn823312:1209
17Norwich830516:17-19
18Sheffield Utd82339:11-29
19Portsmouth72239:10-18
20Watford82247:10-38
21Cardiff814310:12-27
22Derby81257:14-75
23Preston81168:15-74
24Burnley80449:17-84

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.70X28%3.31237%2.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:029 Oct 06:301 2.70X 3.312 2.51
12.65 → 2.70 +1.9%X3.31 → 3.31 0.0%22.49 → 2.51 +0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.931.933.6%
Betano1.881.983.7%
Bet3651.911.914.7%
SBO1.861.964.8%
Betfair1.871.906.1%
1xBet1.851.897.0%
Marathonbet1.851.897.0%
BetVictor1.821.859.0%
Best of all books1.931.982.3%
Average1.871.915.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.622.256.2%
Betano1.652.157.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.652.118.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.652.088.7%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.642.137.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bolton 10%Draw 45%Stoke City 45%

The statistical model rates Bolton at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Stoke City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.70 | 3.31 | 2.51, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Bolton are 15th (10 pts, 11-15 goals), Stoke City 7th (13 pts, 13-12).

Over their last five matches, Bolton averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Stoke City averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Stoke City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.693.322.52

Double chance

1XX212
1.481.431.30

Draw no bet

12
1.921.82

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.13

1st half

1X2
3.232.163.07

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.049.851.94

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.69
1.51.273.55
2.51.871.91
3.53.091.34
4.56.021.11
5.511.41.04
6.522.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.20
11.037.70
1.251.154.40
1.751.313.00
21.412.74
2.251.642.20
2.752.091.71
32.451.50
3.252.701.40
3.753.501.23
44.751.12
4.255.101.10
59.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.691.46
-0.252.301.59
01.961.81
+0.251.672.13
+0.51.522.49
+0.751.362.98
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.31.02
-210.51.01
-1.756.651.05
-1.55.321.12
-1.254.891.13
-14.511.17
-0.753.241.31
+11.204.03
+1.251.164.40
+1.51.144.95
+1.751.086.17
+21.018.80
+2.51.0210.1

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.283.35
3.51.572.33
41.811.97
4.52.191.63
52.841.38
5.53.101.34

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0212.0
5.51.067.63
6.51.144.77
7.51.303.12
8.51.582.23
9.51.991.75
10.52.591.43
11.53.581.23
12.55.191.11
13.57.471.06
14.510.31.02
15.515.11.02
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.21
6.251.075.42
6.751.124.43
71.144.20
7.251.223.47
7.751.342.86
81.382.69
8.251.482.40
8.751.662.09
91.771.97
9.251.861.84
9.752.101.65
102.281.54
10.252.411.48
10.752.801.35
113.181.27
11.253.341.24
11.754.011.16
124.781.10
12.254.981.09
12.755.591.06
135.401.05
13.256.421.03