OddsFilter

Lincoln vs Swansea• Championship, England

#120.8:0.21-2FT19/09 · Sincil Bank, Lincoln1.8:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.98AVGX3.23AVG22.39AVGMargin6.4%Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 2.98 | 3.23 | 2.39. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

LincolnSwansea
Last 10#12Table position#11.38Points per game2.137Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.80.2Goals against · last 50.831Attack rating6980Defence rating2052Form rating480H2H rating020Goals model8046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC

Lincoln

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

19 SepHSwansea1-2L
15 SepABristol City1-0W
12 SepAPreston1-0W
8 SepABournemouth0-4L
5 SepHSouthampton1-1D
1 SepHBlackburn0-0D
29 AugABolton1-0W
25 AugABlackpool4-1W
22 AugHPortsmouth1-3L
15 AugAMiddlesbrough1-2L

Swansea

6W 2D 2L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

19 SepALincoln2-1W
12 SepHBurnley3-1W
8 SepASouthampton1-3L
5 SepHWrexham0-0D
1 SepHWatford2-0W
29 AugADerby3-0W
22 AugHSheffield Utd0-0D
15 AugAStoke City2-1W
8 AugHBirmingham0-1L
1 AugHLeganes1-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lincoln and Swansea on record.

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Championship table, Lincoln sit 12th with 11 points from 8 games, while Swansea are 1st with 17 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Swansea852113:6+717
2West Ham944123:12+1116
3Middlesbrough843116:12+415
4Wolves742115:10+514
5QPR935111:8+314
6West Brom842210:8+214
7Stoke City841313:12+113
8Bristol City841311:12-113
9Charlton83327:10-312
10Birmingham825112:11+111
11Millwall832315:15011
12Lincoln83237:8-111
13Southampton842219:10+910
14Wrexham82429:12-310
15Bolton831411:15-410
16Blackburn823312:1209
17Norwich830516:17-19
18Sheffield Utd82339:11-29
19Portsmouth72239:10-18
20Watford82247:10-38
21Cardiff814310:12-27
22Derby81257:14-75
23Preston81168:15-74
24Burnley80449:17-84

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.98X29%3.23239%2.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lincoln 10%Draw 45%Swansea 45%

The statistical model rated Lincoln at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Swansea at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.98 | 3.23 | 2.39, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Lincoln are 12th (11 pts, 7-8 goals), Swansea 1st (17 pts, 13-6).

Over their last five matches, Lincoln averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Swansea averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Swansea.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Lincoln

3-4-2-1

Coach: Chris Cohen

Goalkeeper

  • 1G. Wickens

Defence

  • 25D. Elerewe
  • 6R. Towler
  • 4A. Coubiș

Midfield

  • 15S. Bradley
  • 8T. Bayliss
  • 14C. McGrandles
  • 3A. Reach

Attack

  • 7R. Hackett
  • 18B. House
  • 34F. Draper
Substitutes (9)
  • 29E. Wheatley
  • 24I. Varfolomeev
  • 17R. Street
  • 33D. Oyegoke
  • 27C. Ogbene
  • 11M. Ladefoged
  • 26Y. Konak
  • 16D. Jefferies
  • 46J. Gauci

Swansea

4-3-3

Coach: Vítor Matos

Goalkeeper

  • 22L. Vigouroux

Defence

  • 26F. Lissah
  • 5B. Cabango
  • 23S. Welsh
  • 14J. Tymon

Midfield

  • 6M. Stamenić
  • 46S. Eustáquio
  • 49M. Yeo
  • 7M. Widell

Attack

  • 8E. Just
  • 33A. Idah
Substitutes (9)
  • 9Z. Vipotnik
  • 3J. Seelt
  • 35Ronald
  • 20Tiago Parente
  • 30Joseph Okopu
  • 16Tom Iorpenda
  • 4J. Fulton
  • 17Gonçalo Franco
  • 1A. Fisher

Match Statistics

LincolnSwansea
149Passes accurate461
8Shots insidebox3
5Shots outsidebox7
4Blocked Shots4
11Free Kicks12
4Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal2
4Offsides0
240Total passes570
13Total Shots10
2Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks1
12Fouls11
0Red Cards0
58%Ball Possession42%