Lincoln vs
Swansea• Championship, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.98 | 3.23 | 2.39. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:51 UTC
Lincoln
4W 2D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against
| 19 Sep | H | Swansea | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Bristol City | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Preston | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Bournemouth | 0-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Southampton | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Sep | H | Blackburn | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Bolton | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | Blackpool | 4-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Portsmouth | 1-3 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Middlesbrough | 1-2 | L |
Swansea
6W 2D 2L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against
| 19 Sep | A | Lincoln | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Burnley | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Southampton | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Wrexham | 0-0 | D |
| 1 Sep | H | Watford | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Derby | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Sheffield Utd | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Stoke City | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | Birmingham | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | Leganes | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Lincoln and Swansea on record.
Championship tableChampionshipupdated 9 Oct 23:10 UTC
In the Championship table, Lincoln sit 12th with 11 points from 8 games, while Swansea are 1st with 17 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Lincoln at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Swansea at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.98 | 3.23 | 2.39, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Championship table: Lincoln are 12th (11 pts, 7-8 goals), Swansea 1st (17 pts, 13-6).
Over their last five matches, Lincoln averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Swansea averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Swansea.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Lincoln
3-4-2-1Coach: Chris Cohen
Goalkeeper
- 1G. Wickens
Defence
- 25D. Elerewe
- 6R. Towler
- 4A. Coubiș
Midfield
- 15S. Bradley
- 8T. Bayliss
- 14C. McGrandles
- 3A. Reach
Attack
- 7R. Hackett
- 18B. House
- 34F. Draper
Substitutes (9)
- 29E. Wheatley
- 24I. Varfolomeev
- 17R. Street
- 33D. Oyegoke
- 27C. Ogbene
- 11M. Ladefoged
- 26Y. Konak
- 16D. Jefferies
- 46J. Gauci
Swansea
4-3-3Coach: Vítor Matos
Goalkeeper
- 22L. Vigouroux
Defence
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 23S. Welsh
- 14J. Tymon
Midfield
- 6M. Stamenić
- 46S. Eustáquio
- 49M. Yeo
- 7M. Widell
Attack
- 8E. Just
- 33A. Idah
Substitutes (9)
- 9Z. Vipotnik
- 3J. Seelt
- 35Ronald
- 20Tiago Parente
- 30Joseph Okopu
- 16Tom Iorpenda
- 4J. Fulton
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 1A. Fisher