Derby22nd4 pts
Birmingham14th7 pts
Derby22nd4 pts
Birmingham14th7 ptsIn the Championship table, Derby sit 22nd with 4 points from 6 games, while Birmingham are 14th with 7 points from 6 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Derby at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Birmingham at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.58 | 3.24 | 2.08, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Championship table: Derby are 22nd (4 pts, 5-11 goals), Birmingham 14th (7 pts, 8-8).
Over their last five matches, Derby averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Birmingham averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Birmingham.
Derby vs Birmingham — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 2 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Wolves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Watford | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Birmingham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Stoke City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 20 |  Cardiff | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 21 |  Bolton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.58
X
3.24
2
2.08