Derby21st4 pts
West Brom6th10 pts
Derby21st4 pts
West Brom6th10 ptsIn the Championship table, Derby sit 21st with 4 points from 5 games, while West Brom are 6th with 10 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Derby at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and West Brom at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.05 | 3.33 | 2.29, which imply roughly 30% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Championship table: Derby are 21st (4 pts, 5-10 goals), West Brom 6th (10 pts, 8-6).
Over their last five matches, Derby averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; West Brom averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or West Brom.
Derby vs West Brom — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 |  QPR | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Charlton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Watford | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Southampton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Wrexham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 |  Stoke City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Norwich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 20 |  Cardiff | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 21 |  Derby | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Bolton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.90
X
3.34
2
2.36
Double chance
1X
1.55
X2
1.39
12
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
1.70
No
2.07
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.51
Over 2.5
1.90
Under 2.5
1.88
Over 3.5
3.22
Under 3.5
1.32
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
9.79
Over 4.5
6.35
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
11.92
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
24.38
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.35
Under 1.75
2.99
Over 2
1.45
Under 2
2.63
Over 2.25
1.66
Under 2.25
2.17
Over 2.75
2.12
Under 2.75
1.68
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.80
Over 1.25
1.14
Under 1.25
4.47
Over 3
2.55
Under 3
1.48
Over 3.25
2.80
Under 3.25
1.40
Over 3.75
3.81
Under 3.75
1.20
Over 4
5.45
Under 4
1.08
Over 4.25
5.85
Under 4.25
1.07
Over 4.75
8.52
Under 4.75
1.02
Over 5
8.80
Under 5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
2.05
2
1.71
Asian handicap
Home 2
1.03
Away 2
1.01
1st half
1
3.41
X
2.13
2
2.94
First team to score
Home
2.10
No Goal
10.33
Away
1.87
Corners 2-Way
Over 13.25
6.73
Under 13.25
1.02
Cards in match
Over 5
3.29
Under 5
1.29