Southampton19th4 pts
Swansea1st11 pts
Southampton19th4 pts
Swansea1st11 ptsIn the Championship table, Southampton sit 19th with 4 points from 5 games, while Swansea are 1st with 11 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Southampton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Swansea at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.62 | 3.81, which imply roughly 52.6% for a Southampton win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Championship table: Southampton are 19th (4 pts, 11-6 goals), Swansea 1st (11 pts, 7-1).
Over their last five matches, Southampton averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Swansea averaged 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw.
Southampton vs Swansea — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 |  QPR | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 |  Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Charlton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Wolves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Stoke City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 |  Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Watford | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 19 |  Southampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 20 |  Derby | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Bolton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Cardiff | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Preston | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.84
X
3.64
2
3.86
Double chance
1X
1.24
X2
1.90
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
1.66
No
2.09
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
3.81
Over 2.5
1.76
Under 2.5
2.02
Over 3.5
2.82
Under 3.5
1.38
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
12.15
Over 4.5
5.32
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
41.00
Over 5.5
10.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
21.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.27
Under 1.75
3.31
Over 2
1.33
Under 2
2.94
Over 2.25
1.55
Under 2.25
2.35
Over 2.75
1.92
Under 2.75
1.80
Over 1.25
1.10
Under 1.25
5.20
Over 3
2.23
Under 3
1.58
Over 3.25
2.50
Under 3.25
1.46
Over 3.75
3.29
Under 3.75
1.26
Over 4
4.27
Under 4
1.16
Over 4.25
4.80
Under 4.25
1.12
Over 4.75
6.50
Under 4.75
1.05
Over 5
9.10
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
8.30
Draw no bet
1
1.37
2
2.90
Asian handicap
Away 2.75
1.02
1st half
1
2.39
X
2.28
2
4.32
First team to score
Home
1.61
No Goal
13.50
Away
2.42
Corners 2-Way
Over 12.25
2.92
Under 12.25
1.31