Cardiff22nd3 pts
Stoke City13th6 pts
Cardiff22nd3 pts
Stoke City13th6 ptsIn the Championship table, Cardiff sit 22nd with 3 points from 5 games, while Stoke City are 13th with 6 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Cardiff at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Stoke City at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18, which imply roughly 47.4% for a Cardiff win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Championship table: Cardiff are 22nd (3 pts, 6-9 goals), Stoke City 13th (6 pts, 8-9).
Over their last five matches, Cardiff averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Stoke City averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw.
Cardiff vs Stoke City — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 |  QPR | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 |  Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Charlton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Wolves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Stoke City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 |  Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Watford | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 19 |  Southampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 20 |  Derby | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Bolton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Cardiff | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Preston | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.08
X
3.64
2
3.15
Double chance
1X
1.34
X2
1.68
12
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
1.51
No
2.39
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.16
Under 1.5
4.65
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.29
Over 3.5
2.44
Under 3.5
1.50
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
14.10
Over 4.5
4.30
Under 4.5
1.18
Over 7.5
34.00
Over 5.5
8.53
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
19.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.19
Under 1.75
3.97
Over 2
1.23
Under 2
3.56
Over 2.25
1.41
Under 2.25
2.69
Over 2.75
1.71
Under 2.75
2.06
Over 1.25
1.06
Under 1.25
6.26
Over 3
1.90
Under 3
1.81
Over 3.25
2.15
Under 3.25
1.62
Over 3.75
2.73
Under 3.75
1.36
Over 4
3.43
Under 4
1.24
Over 4.25
3.74
Under 4.25
1.20
Over 4.75
5.15
Under 4.75
1.10
Over 5
7.10
Under 5
1.04
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
9.70
Draw no bet
1
1.57
2
2.29
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.03
1st half
1
2.58
X
2.37
2
3.58
First team to score
Home
1.72
No Goal
17.50
Away
2.15