Swansea3rd7 pts
Watford9th5 pts
Swansea3rd7 pts
Watford9th5 ptsIn the Championship table, Swansea sit 3rd with 7 points from 3 games, while Watford are 9th with 5 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Swansea at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Watford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.57 | 3.88, which imply roughly 52.6% for a Swansea win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Championship table: Swansea are 3rd (7 pts, 5-1 goals), Watford 9th (5 pts, 4-3).
Over their last five matches, Swansea averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Watford averaged 1.3 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Swansea or draw.
Swansea vs Watford — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 |  Swansea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  QPR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Birmingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 |  Watford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Bolton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Cardiff | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Sheffield Utd | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 |  Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Norwich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Southampton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 19 |  West Ham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 20 |  Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 21 |  Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 23 |  Preston | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 |  Stoke City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.88
X
3.57
2
3.88
Double chance
1X
1.23
X2
1.89
12
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
1.73
No
2.00
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.59
Over 2.5
1.87
Under 2.5
1.92
Over 3.5
3.10
Under 3.5
1.34
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
10.04
Over 4.5
6.08
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
11.65
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
23.88
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.30
Under 1.75
3.07
Over 2
1.41
Under 2
2.76
Over 2.25
1.63
Under 2.25
2.21
Over 2.75
2.08
Under 2.75
1.71
Under 0.75
9.30
Under 1
9.10
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
4.64
Over 3
2.46
Under 3
1.51
Over 3.25
2.75
Under 3.25
1.40
Over 3.75
3.65
Under 3.75
1.21
Over 4
5.10
Under 4
1.10
Over 4.25
5.45
Under 4.25
1.08
Over 4.75
7.90
Under 4.75
1.03
Over 5
8.20
Under 5
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.38
2
2.81
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.02
1st half
1
2.43
X
2.20
2
4.26
First team to score
Home
1.63
No Goal
11.00
Away
2.46
Corners 2-Way
Over 14.5
4.90
Under 14.5
1.13