Portsmouth15th3 pts
Derby21st1 pts
Portsmouth15th3 pts
Derby21st1 ptsIn the Championship table, Portsmouth sit 15th with 3 points from 3 games, while Derby are 21st with 1 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Portsmouth at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Derby at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.29 | 3.23, which imply roughly 30.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Championship table: Portsmouth are 15th (3 pts, 5-6 goals), Derby 21st (1 pts, 3-7).
Over their last five matches, Portsmouth averaged 1.7 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Derby averaged 1 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Derby.
Portsmouth vs Derby — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 |  Swansea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  QPR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Birmingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 |  Watford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Bolton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Cardiff | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Sheffield Utd | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 |  Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Norwich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Southampton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 19 |  West Ham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 20 |  Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 21 |  Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 23 |  Preston | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 |  Stoke City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.21
X
3.31
2
3.15
Double chance
1X
1.33
X2
1.62
12
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
1.78
No
1.94
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.32
Under 1.5
3.24
Over 2.5
2.01
Under 2.5
1.78
Over 3.5
3.49
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
8.80
Over 4.5
6.83
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 5.5
13.31
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
27.75
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.40
Under 1.75
2.81
Over 2
1.51
Under 2
2.47
Over 2.25
1.77
Under 2.25
2.02
Over 2.75
2.27
Under 2.75
1.59
Over 0.75
1.03
Under 0.75
7.60
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
6.52
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
4.04
Over 3
2.77
Under 3
1.41
Over 3.25
3.02
Under 3.25
1.33
Over 3.75
3.97
Under 3.75
1.18
Over 4
5.45
Under 4
1.08
Over 4.25
5.80
Under 4.25
1.07
Over 5
9.20
Under 5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.59
2
2.23
Asian handicap
Home 2.5
1.01
Away 2.5
1.03
1st half
1
2.82
X
2.10
2
3.70
First team to score
Home
1.83
No Goal
8.87
Away
2.25
Corners 2-Way
Over 14.5
5.00
Under 14.5
1.12