Derby16th1 pts
Swansea10th4 pts
Derby16th1 pts
Swansea10th4 ptsIn the Championship table, Derby sit 16th with 1 points from 2 games, while Swansea are 10th with 4 points from 2 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Derby at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Swansea at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.09, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Championship table: Derby are 16th (1 pts, 3-4 goals), Swansea 10th (4 pts, 2-1).
Over their last five matches, Derby averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Swansea averaged 1 scored and 0.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Swansea.
Derby vs Swansea — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 |  Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |  QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 |  Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |  Bolton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 |  Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 |  West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 |  Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 |  Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 20 |  Preston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 |  Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lincoln | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 |  Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 |  Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.28
X
3.25
2
3.12
Double chance
1X
1.34
X2
1.60
12
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
1.80
No
1.92
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.34
Under 1.5
3.12
Over 2.5
2.08
Under 2.5
1.73
Over 3.5
3.64
Under 3.5
1.26
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
8.64
Over 4.5
7.38
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
15.15
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
28.75
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.41
Under 1.75
2.73
Over 2
1.55
Under 2
2.36
Over 2.25
1.81
Under 2.25
1.97
Over 2.75
2.34
Under 2.75
1.56
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.28
Over 1
1.05
Under 1
6.83
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
4.02
Over 3
2.83
Under 3
1.40
Over 3.25
3.15
Under 3.25
1.31
Over 3.75
4.25
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 4
6.35
Under 4
1.06
Over 4.25
6.75
Under 4.25
1.04
Over 4.75
8.52
Under 4.75
1.02
Over 5
10.00
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.61
2
2.20
Asian handicap
Home 2.5
1.02
Away 2.5
1.02
1st half
1
2.90
X
2.07
2
3.70
First team to score
Home
1.86
No Goal
8.53
Away
2.22
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
7.20
Under 15.5
1.06
Cards in match
Over 4.5
3.30
Under 4.5
1.22