Austria Vienna vs
Sturm Graz• Bundesliga, Austria
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 13:49 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.47 | 3.66 | 2.12 | 3.3% |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.19 | 5.0% |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 6.2% |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 6.5% |
| 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.44 | 2.12 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.30 | 2.12 | 7.3% |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 7.3% |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 3.44 | 2.10 | 7.6% |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 9.2% |
| SBO | 2.92 | 3.12 | 2.14 | 13.0% |
| Best of all books | 3.47 | 3.66 | 2.19 | 1.8% |
| Average | 3.25 | 3.45 | 2.11 | 7.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:05 UTC
Austria Vienna
4W 2D 4L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against
| 2 Oct | A | Admira Wacker | 6-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Grazer AK | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Austria Lustenau | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Traiskirchen | 6-0 | W |
| 2 Sep | H | WSG Wattens | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Red Bull Salzburg | 1-4 | L |
| 27 Aug | H | SC Braga | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Aug | A | SC Braga | 0-2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | TSV Hartberg | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Aug | H | Beitar Jerusalem | 1-2 | L |
Sturm Graz
5W 2D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against
| 2 Oct | H | Floridsdorfer AC | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Red Bull Salzburg | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Rennes | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Lask Linz | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Voitsberg | 4-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Rapid Vienna | 1-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Austria Lustenau | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | SCR Altach | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Aug | H | Fenerbahçe | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | TSV Hartberg | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
57 meetings · goals 79:85 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Austria Vienna
| 26 Apr 2026Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Sturm Graz1-1Austria Vienna |
| 15 Mar 2026Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Austria Vienna2-5Sturm Graz |
| 14 Dec 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Austria Vienna3-1Sturm Graz |
| 14 Sep 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Sturm Graz0-1Austria Vienna |
| 27 Apr 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Sturm Graz0-1Austria Vienna |
| 23 Apr 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Austria Vienna2-1Sturm Graz |
| 7 Feb 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Sturm Graz2-2Austria Vienna |
| 1 Feb 2025Cup | Cup | Sturm Graz0-2Austria Vienna |
| 25 Sep 2024Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Austria Vienna2-2Sturm Graz |
| 2 Feb 2024Cup | Cup | Sturm Graz2-0Austria Vienna |
Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 10 Oct 17:02 UTC
In the Bundesliga table, Austria Vienna sit 10th with 7 points from 7 games, while Sturm Graz are 4th with 11 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21:7 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18:4 | +14 | 17 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | +12 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | Ried | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:16 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Wolfsberger AC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 | SCR Altach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 2.14 | 3.5% |
| SBO | 1.71 | 2.14 | 5.2% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.10 | 5.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 5.9% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 2.07 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 2.04 | 6.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 2.04 | 6.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.69 | 2.00 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.76 | 2.14 | 3.5% |
| Average | 1.73 | 2.08 | 6.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 2.25 | 6.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| Betano | 1.57 | 2.27 | 7.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 2.21 | 8.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 2.18 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.30 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.59 | 2.24 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Austria Vienna at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Sturm Graz at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.25 | 3.45 | 2.11, which imply roughly 30.8% for a Austria Vienna win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Bundesliga table: Austria Vienna are 10th (7 pts, 7-13 goals), Sturm Graz 4th (11 pts, 8-9).
Over their last five matches, Austria Vienna averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Sturm Graz averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Austria Vienna or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Confirmed Lineups
Austria Vienna
3-4-2-1Coach: S. Helm
Goalkeeper
- 1S. Şahin-Radlinger
Defence
- 46J. Handl
- 15A. Dragović
- 3I. Buhari
Midfield
- 26R. Ranftl
- 5V. Müller
- 6Philipp Maybach
- 40Daniel Nnodim
- 30M. Fischer
- 10S. Saljic
Attack
- 19J. Eggestein
Substitutes (9)
- 14K. Boateng
- 4J. Feddersen
- 20J. Hettwer
- 99M. Kos
- 16Lee Kang-Hee
- 17Lee Tae-Seok
- 7V. Markovic
- 21Matteo Schablas
- 28P. Wiesinger
Sturm Graz
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Ingolitsch
Goalkeeper
- 53D. Khudyakov
Defence
- 23A. Malic
- 2J. Quarshie
- 30P. Koller
- 27L. Balbo
Midfield
- 39Luca Weinhandl
- 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
- 43Jacob Peter Hödl
- 19S. Seidl
- 78V. Matoshi
Attack
- 14O. Diakité
Substitutes (8)
- 22A. Helac
- 40J. Halwachs
- 6G. Haider
- 35N. Geyrhofer
- 26B. Beganović
- 11A. Kayombo
- 21P. Petrović
- 17S. Włodarczyk
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.25 | 3.45 | 2.11 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | 1.31 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.37 | 1.53 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.59 | 2.24 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 2.23 | 2.66 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | 12.6 | 1.73 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 11.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.21 | 4.05 |
| 2.5 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 3.5 | 2.75 | 1.41 |
| 4.5 | 5.15 | 1.14 |
| 5.5 | 10.0 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 17.7 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 41.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 9.20 |
| 1.25 | 1.09 | 5.35 |
| 1.75 | 1.23 | 3.43 |
| 2 | 1.30 | 3.02 |
| 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 2.75 | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| 3 | 2.18 | 1.62 |
| 3.25 | 2.46 | 1.48 |
| 3.75 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 4 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| 4.25 | 4.75 | 1.12 |
| 4.75 | 6.84 | 1.06 |
| 5 | 8.30 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 2.78 | 1.40 |
| 0 | 2.40 | 1.54 |
| +0.25 | 1.96 | 1.80 |
| +0.5 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| +0.75 | 1.51 | 2.39 |
| +1 | 1.33 | 3.08 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12.0 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 8.95 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 6.75 | 1.07 |
| -1.25 | 6.35 | 1.07 |
| -1 | 5.87 | 1.09 |
| -0.75 | 4.07 | 1.21 |
| -0.5 | 3.37 | 1.33 |
| +1.25 | 1.27 | 3.48 |
| +1.5 | 1.20 | 3.82 |
| +1.75 | 1.13 | 5.02 |
| +2 | 1.05 | 7.20 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 8.13 |
| +3.5 | 1.01 | 13.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.05 | 6.80 |
| 7.5 | 1.10 | 5.15 |
| 8.5 | 1.24 | 3.51 |
| 9.5 | 1.44 | 2.59 |
| 10.5 | 1.73 | 2.02 |
| 11.5 | 2.12 | 1.64 |
| 12.5 | 2.76 | 1.37 |
| 13.5 | 3.77 | 1.21 |
| 14.5 | 5.43 | 1.09 |
| 15.5 | 6.90 | 1.05 |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.75 | 1.31 | 2.92 |
| 9.25 | 1.36 | 2.76 |
| 9.75 | 1.49 | 2.38 |
| 10 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 10.25 | 1.65 | 2.08 |
| 10.75 | 1.84 | 1.84 |
| 11 | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| 11.25 | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| 11.75 | 2.33 | 1.48 |
| 12.25 | 2.70 | 1.36 |
| 12.75 | 3.20 | 1.26 |