Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II• II Liga - East, Poland

#81.8:1.816:00Today · MOSiR2.4:2.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.02BTNX3.80BFR23.18PINMargin at best7.3%Books9Markets50Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 13:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.05	3.60	3.15	8.3%
Pinnacle	2.02	3.60	3.14	9.1%
Betano	2.02	3.65	3.10	9.2%
1xBet	1.99	3.50	3.12	10.9%
Bet365	1.95	3.60	3.10	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.97	3.50	3.04	12.2%
Betfair	1.95	3.75	2.90	12.4%
William Hill	2.00	3.30	3.10	12.6%
BetVictor	1.87	3.30	2.75	20.1%
Best of all books	2.05	3.75	3.15	7.2%
Average	1.98	3.53	3.04	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lechia Zielona GóraLegia Warszawa II

Last 10#8Table position#141.50Points per game1.006Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 52.41.8Goals against · last 52.243Attack rating5755Defence rating4560Form rating400H2H rating075Goals model2558Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:05 UTC

Lechia Zielona Góra

4W 2D 4L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

3 Oct	A	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Znicz Pruszków	1-3	L
11 Sep	A	Resovia Rzeszów	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Świt Skolwin	1-4	L
2 Sep	H	Ruch Chorzów	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Avia Świdnik	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Hutnik Kraków	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	Sokół Kleczew	6-1	W
1 Aug	H	Olimpia Grudziądz	2-2	D

Legia Warszawa II

3W 1D 6L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

19 Sep	H	Podhale Nowy Targ	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	Górnik Łęczna	1-4	L
6 Sep	H	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1-4	L
23 Aug	H	Sokół Kleczew	6-1	W
16 Aug	A	Hutnik Kraków	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	Świt Skolwin	5-0	W
31 Jul	A	Znicz Pruszków	1-2	L
25 Jul	H	Stal Stalowa Wola	0-2	L
18 Jul	A	Unia Skierniewice	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Lechia Zielona Góra and Legia Warszawa II on record.

II Liga - East tableII Liga - Eastupdated 10 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the II Liga - East table, Lechia Zielona Góra sit 8th with 15 points from 10 games, while Legia Warszawa II are 14th with 9 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	7	2	1	23:12	+11	23
2	Górnik Łęczna	10	6	2	2	21:10	+11	20
3	Tychy 71	10	5	5	0	14:6	+8	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	11	5	3	3	22:20	+2	18
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	11	5	2	4	16:12	+4	17
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	4	4	2	17:13	+4	16
7	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	11	4	4	3	15:12	+3	16
8	Lechia Zielona Góra	10	4	3	3	20:16	+4	15
9	Hutnik Kraków	10	4	3	3	16:13	+3	15
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	11	4	3	4	19:19	0	15
11	Olimpia Grudziądz	10	4	3	3	13:16	-3	15
12	Avia Świdnik	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	10	3	1	6	16:21	-5	10
14	Legia Warszawa II	9	3	0	6	18:17	+1	9
15	Śląsk Wrocław II	9	3	0	6	15:17	-2	9
16	Sokół Kleczew	10	1	5	4	11:23	-12	8
17	Świt Skolwin	10	2	2	6	11:24	-13	8
18	Resovia Rzeszów	10	0	4	6	7:19	-12	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%1.99X25%3.56229%3.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.27 → 1.99 -12.3%X3.45 → 3.56 +3.2%22.74 → 3.08 +12.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.50	2.46	7.3%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
BetVictor	1.40	2.06	20.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.46	6.0%
Average	1.47	2.34	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.45	2.50	9.0%
1xBet	1.42	2.59	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.53	9.9%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.59	5.3%
Average	1.43	2.47	10.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lechia Zielona Góra 45%Draw 45%Legia Warszawa II 10%

The statistical model rates Lechia Zielona Góra at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Legia Warszawa II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.99 | 3.56 | 3.08, which imply roughly 50.3% for a Lechia Zielona Góra win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the II Liga - East table: Lechia Zielona Góra are 8th (15 pts, 20-16 goals), Legia Warszawa II 14th (9 pts, 18-17).

Over their last five matches, Lechia Zielona Góra averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Legia Warszawa II averaged 2.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Lechia Zielona Góra or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.98	3.53	3.04

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.68	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.49	2.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.47

1st half

1	X	2
2.46	2.32	3.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	17.5	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.8
1.5	1.11	4.60
2.5	1.48	2.34
3.5	2.16	1.57
4.5	3.53	1.21
5.5	6.23	1.06
6.5	10.0	1.03
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.25	1.05	6.75
1.75	1.13	4.56
2	1.16	4.10
2.25	1.33	2.92
2.75	1.57	2.11
3	1.74	1.89
3.25	1.94	1.67
3.75	2.55	1.42
4	3.14	1.27
4.25	3.42	1.23
4.75	4.70	1.12
5	6.40	1.05
5.25	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.72	1.35
-0.75	2.24	1.52
-0.5	1.96	1.71
-0.25	1.74	1.91
0	1.51	2.28
+0.25	1.38	2.60

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.00	1.06
-2.25	6.60	1.11
-2	6.35	1.07
-1.75	4.47	1.15
-1.5	3.48	1.25
-1.25	3.14	1.30
+0.5	1.34	3.09
+0.75	1.21	3.73
+1	1.11	5.35
+1.25	1.09	5.81
+1.5	1.08	6.20
+1.75	1.01	8.40
+2.5	1.01	9.70