Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva• Premier League, Russia

#150.4:1.613:3007/11 · Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj1.2:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.821XBX4.261XB24.361XBMargin at best1.4%Books5Markets53Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.82	4.26	4.36	1.4%
Marathonbet	1.77	4.15	4.25	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.75	4.07	4.30	5.0%
Dafabet	1.74	4.10	4.30	5.1%
SBO	1.64	3.52	3.91	15.0%
Best of all books	1.82	4.26	4.36	1.4%
Average	1.74	4.02	4.22	5.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AkhmatRodina Moskva

Last 10#15Table position#120.85Points per game0.921Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.425Attack rating7547Defence rating5311Form rating890H2H rating077Goals model2340Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Akhmat

1W 3D 6L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	A	Dynamo	0-2	L
27 Oct	A	Fakel	0-0	D
23 Oct	H	FC Orenburg	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Zenit	2-3	L
14 Oct	H	Dynamo	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Baltika	0-0	D
17 Sep	A	Akron	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Dinamo Makhachkala	3-2	W
7 Sep	A	Rubin	1-1	D
3 Sep	A	Dynamo	0-3	L

Rodina Moskva

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against

31 Oct	H	FC Krasnodar	2-1	W
28 Oct	A	FC Orenburg	1-2	L
24 Oct	A	Fakel	1-0	W
19 Oct	H	FC Orenburg	2-2	D
15 Oct	H	Spartak Moscow	2-4	L
11 Oct	A	CSKA Moscow	0-3	L
4 Oct	A	Dynamo	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	FK Partizan	3-2	W
16 Sep	H	Rubin	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Krylia Sovetov	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Akhmat and Rodina Moskva on record.

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Akhmat sit 15th with 11 points from 13 games, while Rodina Moskva are 12th with 12 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zenit	13	10	0	3	30:13	+17	30
2	Dynamo	13	9	1	3	21:12	+9	28
3	CSKA Moscow	13	7	5	1	21:12	+9	26
4	Spartak Moscow	13	8	2	3	25:10	+15	26
5	FC Krasnodar	13	6	5	2	21:16	+5	23
6	FC Rostov	13	5	3	5	16:17	-1	18
7	Baltika	13	4	5	4	17:14	+3	17
8	FC Orenburg	13	3	8	2	14:12	+2	17
9	Krylia Sovetov	13	3	6	4	17:20	-3	15
10	Rubin	13	3	6	4	13:18	-5	15
11	Dinamo Makhachkala	13	4	1	8	16:26	-10	13
12	Rodina Moskva	13	3	3	7	15:28	-13	12
13	Akron	13	2	6	5	16:23	-7	12
14	Lokomotiv	13	2	5	6	16:20	-4	11
15	Akhmat	13	2	5	6	15:19	-4	11
16	Fakel	13	1	3	9	8:21	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.74X23%4.02222%4.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.74 +1.8%X4.24 → 4.02 -5.2%24.62 → 4.22 -8.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.70	2.35	1.4%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.27	5.0%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.26	5.2%
Best of all books	1.70	2.35	1.4%
Average	1.66	2.29	3.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.61	2.20	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.17	8.2%
Best of all books	1.61	2.20	7.6%
Average	1.61	2.19	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Akhmat 10%Draw 45%Rodina Moskva 45%

The statistical model rates Akhmat at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Rodina Moskva at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 4.02 | 4.22, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Akhmat are 15th (11 pts, 15-19 goals), Rodina Moskva 12th (12 pts, 15-28).

Over their last five matches, Akhmat averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Rodina Moskva averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Rodina Moskva.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.74	4.02	4.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	2.08	1.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
2.28	2.36	4.29

2nd half

1	X	2
2.05	2.79	4.15

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.58	14.8	35.5
HT X	4.81	6.39	9.49
HT 2	21.1	14.9	6.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	16.3	2.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	11.6
1.5	1.19	4.36
2.5	1.66	2.29
3.5	2.55	1.48
4.5	4.49	1.17
5.5	7.75	1.04

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.25	1.09	5.83
1.75	1.22	3.89
2	1.28	3.56
2.25	1.46	2.68
2.75	1.81	2.03
3	2.04	1.77
3.25	2.30	1.60
3.75	2.94	1.36
4	3.68	1.23
4.25	3.99	1.20
4.75	5.32	1.11
5	7.18	1.05
5.25	8.15	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.96	1.41
-1.25	2.59	1.50
-1	2.28	1.64
-0.75	1.95	1.89
-0.5	1.74	2.12
-0.25	1.53	2.47

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.23	1.03
-2.75	6.51	1.06
-2.5	5.24	1.12
-2.25	4.89	1.13
-2	4.64	1.17
-1.75	3.49	1.28
0	1.34	3.16
+0.25	1.27	3.54
+0.75	1.13	4.95
+1	1.05	7.29
+1.25	1.03	8.60
+1.5	1.03	7.98

Next Premier League matches

6 Nov	Lokomotiv – Rubin
7 Nov	Fakel – Dynamo
7 Nov	FC Krasnodar – CSKA Moscow
8 Nov	Krylia Sovetov – FC Orenburg
8 Nov	Spartak Moscow – Akron
8 Nov	Zenit – FC Rostov

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

2 Nov	Krylia Sovetov 0-3 Zenit
1 Nov	Lokomotiv 0-4 Spartak Moscow
1 Nov	Baltika 2-1 Akron
1 Nov	Dinamo Makhachkala 0-3 FC Rostov
1 Nov	FC Orenburg 0-0 CSKA Moscow
31 Oct	Rodina Moskva 2-1 FC Krasnodar