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MTK Budapest vs Vasas• NB I, Hungary

#91.2:2.01-0FTToday · Hidegkúti Nándor Stadion, Budapest1.8:1.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.43PINX3.93PIN22.60PINMargin at best5.1%Books5Markets78Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 13:34 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.443.932.595.0%
William Hill2.303.602.5011.3%
1xBet2.243.602.5411.8%
Marathonbet2.243.602.5411.8%
Bet3652.303.502.5012.0%
Best of all books2.443.932.595.0%
Average2.303.652.5310.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MTK BudapestVasas
Last 10#9Table position#21.00Points per game1.674Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.840Attack rating6047Defence rating5336Form rating6493H2H rating742Goals model5856Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 14:10 UTC

MTK Budapest

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

10 OctAPaks0-3L
20 SepHGyori ETO FC1-2L
12 SepAMezokovesd-zsory2-0W
5 SepHKisvarda FC1-2L
28 AugADebreceni VSC2-2D
22 AugHNyiregyhaza2-1W
15 AugAUjpest1-1D
7 AugHPuskas Academy2-3L
1 AugABudapest Honved3-3D
27 JulHZalaegerszegi TE3-0W

Vasas

5W 3D 2L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against

10 OctHKisvarda FC1-1D
19 SepADebreceni VSC4-2W
12 SepATFSE Budapest3-1W
4 SepHNyiregyhaza3-2W
29 AugAUjpest1-3L
22 AugHPuskas Academy0-1L
14 AugABudapest Honved2-1W
8 AugHZalaegerszegi TE5-0W
2 AugAFerencvarosi TC0-0D
26 JulHGyori ETO FC2-2D

Head to head

6MTK Budapest wins
0draws
3Vasas wins

9 meetings · goals 16:10 · last 9: 6W 0D 3L for MTK Budapest

1 Jul 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsMTK Budapest3-1Vasas
14 Mar 2020NB IINB IIMTK Budapest3-1Vasas
18 Sep 2019NB IINB IIVasas1-4MTK Budapest
11 Mar 2017NB INB IMTK Budapest1-0Vasas
15 Oct 2016NB INB IVasas3-2MTK Budapest
17 Jul 2016NB INB IMTK Budapest0-1Vasas
30 Apr 2016NB INB IMTK Budapest0-2Vasas
5 Dec 2015NB INB IMTK Budapest2-1Vasas
29 Aug 2015NB INB IVasas0-1MTK Budapest

NB I tableNB Iupdated 16 Oct 20:01 UTC

In the NB I table, MTK Budapest sit 9th with 9 points from 9 games, while Vasas are 2nd with 15 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Puskas Academy960314:10+418
2Vasas943218:12+615
3Gyori ETO FC943216:11+515
4Ujpest943218:14+415
5Paks942319:17+214
6Ferencvarosi TC834112:9+313
7Kisvarda FC924310:11-110
8Debreceni VSC924313:16-310
9MTK Budapest923415:17-29
10Zalaegerszegi TE930612:18-69
11Nyiregyhaza922510:19-98
12Budapest Honved814312:15-37

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.35X25%3.64237%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 00:0016 Oct 11:301 2.32X 3.652 2.52
12.31 → 2.32 +0.4%X3.66 → 3.65 -0.3%22.58 → 2.52 -2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.522.574.7%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
1xBet1.442.4210.8%
Marathonbet1.442.4210.8%
Best of all books1.522.574.7%
Average1.482.488.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
1xBet1.422.628.6%
Marathonbet1.422.579.3%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.442.627.6%
Average1.432.588.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

MTK Budapest 35%Draw 35%Vasas 30%

The statistical model rated MTK Budapest at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Vasas at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 3.64 | 2.48, which imply roughly 42.6% for a MTK Budapest win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the NB I table: MTK Budapest are 9th (9 pts, 15-17 goals), Vasas 2nd (15 pts, 18-12).

Over their last five matches, MTK Budapest averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Vasas averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : MTK Budapest or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

MTK Budapest

4-2-3-1

Coach: Máté Pinezits

Goalkeeper

  • 43Bence Varga

Defence

  • 26V. Armalas
  • 4I. Beriashvili
  • 55S. Radić
  • 27P. Kovács

Midfield

  • 6M. Kata
  • 80Adrian Zeljković
  • 11G. Jurek
  • 77G. Komáromi

Attack

  • 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
Substitutes (10)
  • 10I. Bognár
  • 24T. Fadgyas
  • 17K. Hinora
  • 9M. Klausz
  • 2B. Varju
  • 45D. Varga
  • 41B. Szebelledi
  • 37Adam Nyers
  • 13M. Timoteus
  • 30Sámuel Barnabás Bakó

Vasas

4-2-3-1

Coach: G. Erős

Goalkeeper

  • 87M. Engedi

Defence

  • 4B. Pávkovics
  • 36B. Baráth
  • 17Dániel Csóka
  • 14Á. Doktorics

Midfield

  • 15S. Hidi
  • 16B. Rab
  • 88J. Urblík

Attack

  • 77M. Tóth
  • 84Rajmund Horvath
  • 9M. Koszta
Substitutes (15)
  • 18G. Pálinkás
  • 29B. Pethő
  • 7A. Radó
  • 6D. Sztojka
  • 26J. Uram
  • 8B. Banó-Szabó
  • 89Csaba Milán Molnár
  • 24S. Mezei
  • 10M. Kovácsréti
  • 68A. Girsik
  • 22Viktor Hei
  • 94B. Cseke
  • 8B. Banó-Szabó
  • 68A. Girsik
  • 89Csaba Milán Molnár

Match Statistics

MTK BudapestVasas
1Expected Goals1.78
280Passes accurate476
6Shots insidebox12
8Shots outsidebox5
1Blocked Shots6
13Free Kicks8
5Shots on Goal4
4Goalkeeper Saves3
8Shots off Goal7
362Total passes550
1Red Cards0
14Total Shots17
3Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards4
9Fouls13
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.303.652.53

Double chance

1XX212
1.431.511.22

Draw no bet

12
1.801.91

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.432.58

1st half

1X2
2.812.443.05

2nd half

1X2
2.582.712.78

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.5513.223.7
HT X6.036.406.77
HT 221.713.24.23

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8118.91.98

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.8
1.51.135.17
2.51.482.48
3.52.201.61
4.53.641.24
5.56.531.07
6.515.01.03
7.529.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.5
1.751.134.50
21.164.05
2.251.312.92
2.751.582.22
31.741.96
3.251.971.75
3.752.431.44
42.971.30
4.253.281.25
4.754.341.14
55.751.07
5.256.051.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.711.40
-0.52.411.56
-0.252.041.70
01.791.96
+0.251.592.23
+0.51.512.54
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.801.02
-27.201.03
-1.755.311.11
-1.54.131.18
-1.253.811.22
-13.471.26
+0.751.343.01
+11.214.00
+1.251.164.35
+1.51.144.68
+1.751.096.05
+21.018.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.37
7.51.233.43
8.51.462.42
9.51.811.92
10.52.251.55
11.53.081.28
12.54.431.12
13.56.781.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.12
71.104.88
7.251.163.94
7.751.263.20
81.303.02
8.251.392.65
8.751.542.28
91.592.25
9.251.731.99
9.751.941.77
102.011.74
10.252.191.59
10.752.521.44
112.691.40
11.252.951.31
11.753.481.22
124.071.15
12.254.251.14
12.755.181.08
136.351.03
13.256.571.03