OddsFilter

Paks vs MTK Budapest• NB I, Hungary

#61.6:1.617:30Today · Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks1.4:1.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98DAFX4.38PIN23.50B365Margin at best1.9%Books9Markets83Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 13:45 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.934.383.265.3%
Dafabet1.984.003.157.3%
Betano1.934.053.257.3%
Bet3651.913.903.407.4%
William Hill1.914.003.109.6%
1xBet1.874.003.1110.6%
Betfair1.914.002.9011.8%
Marathonbet1.854.003.0511.8%
SBO1.953.652.7714.8%
Best of all books1.984.383.402.7%
Average1.924.003.119.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PaksMTK Budapest
Last 10#6Table position#81.38Points per game1.1310Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.653Attack rating4750Defence rating5058Form rating42100H2H rating050Goals model5056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:05 UTC

Paks

4W 3D 3L · goals 20:20 · per match 2.0 for, 2.0 against

19 SepAKisvarda FC1-0W
12 SepAKazincbarcikai2-1W
5 SepHDebreceni VSC2-4L
29 AugANyiregyhaza1-1D
21 AugHUjpest2-0W
16 AugAPuskas Academy2-3L
9 AugHBudapest Honved2-2D
3 AugAZalaegerszegi TE2-5L
30 JulAPanathinaikos2-2D
26 JulHFerencvarosi TC4-2W

MTK Budapest

3W 4D 3L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

20 SepHGyori ETO FC1-2L
12 SepAMezokovesd-zsory2-0W
5 SepHKisvarda FC1-2L
28 AugADebreceni VSC2-2D
22 AugHNyiregyhaza2-1W
15 AugAUjpest1-1D
7 AugHPuskas Academy2-3L
1 AugABudapest Honved3-3D
27 JulHZalaegerszegi TE3-0W
18 JulHKomárno1-1D

Head to head

17Paks wins
6draws
7MTK Budapest wins

30 meetings · goals 55:31 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Paks

20 Mar 2026NB INB IMTK Budapest0-2Paks
6 Dec 2025NB INB IPaks3-1MTK Budapest
24 Aug 2025NB INB IMTK Budapest2-3Paks
11 Apr 2025NB INB IMTK Budapest1-2Paks
7 Dec 2024NB INB IPaks4-2MTK Budapest
3 Dec 2024NB INB IMTK Budapest3-1Paks
3 Mar 2024NB INB IMTK Budapest0-2Paks
5 Nov 2023NB INB IPaks0-0MTK Budapest
28 Jul 2023NB INB IMTK Budapest1-1Paks
16 Apr 2022NB INB IPaks4-0MTK Budapest

NB I tableNB Iupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

In the NB I table, Paks sit 6th with 11 points from 8 games, while MTK Budapest are 8th with 9 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vasas943218:12+615
2Gyori ETO FC843116:10+615
3Puskas Academy850313:10+315
4Ujpest842217:13+414
5Ferencvarosi TC733111:8+312
6Paks832316:17-111
7Kisvarda FC924310:11-110
8MTK Budapest823315:14+19
9Debreceni VSC823312:15-39
10Nyiregyhaza82249:14-58
11Budapest Honved713311:14-36
12Zalaegerszegi TE82067:17-106

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.91X23%3.99229%3.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 12:401 1.91X 3.992 3.13
11.94 → 1.91 -1.5%X3.95 → 3.99 +1.0%22.96 → 3.13 +5.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.303.515.4%
Bet3651.303.505.5%
Betano1.303.307.2%
Betfair1.253.607.8%
1xBet1.253.2810.5%
Marathonbet1.253.2810.5%
Best of all books1.303.604.7%
Average1.283.417.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.303.406.3%
Betfair1.293.406.9%
William Hill1.303.307.2%
Betano1.303.208.2%
1xBet1.283.288.6%
Marathonbet1.283.209.4%
Best of all books1.303.406.3%
Average1.293.307.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paks 45%Draw 45%MTK Budapest 10%

The statistical model rates Paks at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and MTK Budapest at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.99 | 3.13, which imply roughly 52.4% for a Paks win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NB I table: Paks are 6th (11 pts, 16-17 goals), MTK Budapest 8th (9 pts, 15-14).

Over their last five matches, Paks averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; MTK Budapest averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Paks or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Paks

5-4-1

Coach: G. Bognár

Goalkeeper

  • 28M. Gyetván

Defence

  • 2Á. Kinyik
  • 10Z. Haraszti
  • 12G. Vas
  • 14E. Silye
  • 30J. Szabó

Midfield

  • 8B. Balogh
  • 21K. Papp
  • 22J. Windecker
  • 6M. Győrfi

Attack

  • 7J. Szalai
Substitutes (10)
  • 5B. Vécsei
  • 15C. Belényesi
  • 27J. Galambos
  • 18G. Gyurkits
  • 9J. Hahn
  • 19K. Horváth
  • 1Á. Kovácsik
  • 4A. Lapu
  • 17M. Pető
  • 29B. Tóth

MTK Budapest

4-2-3-1

Coach: Máté Pinezits

Goalkeeper

  • 24T. Fadgyas

Defence

  • 4I. Beriashvili
  • 13M. Timoteus
  • 26V. Armalas
  • 55S. Radić

Midfield

  • 17K. Hinora
  • 6M. Kata
  • 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
  • 77G. Komáromi
  • 80Adrian Zeljković

Attack

  • 11G. Jurek
Substitutes (8)
  • 9M. Klausz
  • 27P. Kovács
  • 29S. Szuhodovszki
  • 2B. Varju
  • 10I. Bognár
  • 43Bence Varga
  • 8A. G. Zubor
  • 30Sámuel Barnabás Bakó

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.924.003.11

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.801.19

Draw no bet

12
1.502.46

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.293.30

1st half

1X2
2.352.673.31

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6931.02.05

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0125.0
1.51.067.48
2.51.273.41
3.51.732.04
4.52.591.45
5.54.311.19
6.57.531.08
7.514.61.02
8.529.01.01
9.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0116.5
1.751.056.55
21.066.15
2.251.154.20
2.751.302.97
31.362.70
3.251.552.29
3.751.871.85
42.131.64
4.252.341.52
4.752.881.32
53.581.21
5.253.861.18
66.551.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.761.39
-12.491.48
-0.752.111.66
-0.51.941.87
-0.251.692.07
01.502.47
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.51.05
-2.55.451.11
-2.255.501.15
-24.801.14
-1.753.571.23
-1.53.051.33
+0.251.392.77
+0.51.343.26
+0.751.243.68
+11.125.07
+1.251.115.43
+1.51.095.75
+1.751.067.13
+21.029.05
+2.51.019.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.085.15
8.51.283.21
9.51.522.36
10.51.891.83
11.52.371.52
12.53.161.29
13.54.051.16
14.55.971.05
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.094.92
81.114.70
8.251.173.87
8.751.273.18
91.303.02
9.251.392.67
9.751.532.30
101.682.12
10.251.702.03
10.751.891.81
112.051.70
11.252.121.63
11.752.411.48
122.651.39
12.252.781.35
12.753.241.26
133.721.19
13.253.881.17
13.754.661.11
145.581.06
14.255.781.05