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Xelajú vs Guastatoya• Liga Nacional, Guatemala

0.8:0.64-0LiveToday · Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango1.4:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.58PINX3.80BFR25.951XBMargin at best6.4%Books8Markets47Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.573.805.607.9%
Pinnacle1.583.705.448.7%
Betano1.573.655.509.3%
BetVictor1.533.755.759.4%
1xBet1.503.645.9510.9%
Betfair1.533.805.0011.7%
William Hill1.573.505.0012.3%
Marathonbet1.493.645.6512.3%
Best of all books1.583.805.956.4%
Average1.543.695.4910.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

XelajúGuastatoya
Last 1010Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 51.236Attack rating6467Defence rating3367Form rating3350H2H rating5072Goals model2859Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 12:50 UTC

Xelajú

6W 1D 3L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

8 NovACobán Imperial1-0W
3 NovHMarquense2-0W
29 OctAMixco0-0D
24 OctHMunicipal1-0W
20 OctAAntigua GFC0-3L
15 OctHMalacateco2-1W
10 OctAAurora1-2L
4 OctHDeportivo San Pedro2-0W
27 SepHComunicaciones2-3L
24 SepHAntigua GFC4-0W

Guastatoya

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

7 NovHSuchitepéquez4-0W
2 NovHCobán Imperial1-2L
30 OctAMarquense0-0D
25 OctHMixco1-3L
19 OctAMunicipal1-1D
15 OctHAntigua GFC1-1D
11 OctAMalacateco0-2L
4 OctHAurora2-1W
26 SepHDeportivo San Pedro2-1W
19 SepAComunicaciones2-1W

Head to head

13Xelajú wins
19draws
21Guastatoya wins

53 meetings · goals 48:68 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Xelajú

13 Sep 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGuastatoya2-1Xelajú
29 Mar 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalXelajú1-1Guastatoya
8 Feb 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGuastatoya1-0Xelajú
26 Oct 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGuastatoya1-2Xelajú
18 Aug 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalXelajú5-0Guastatoya
13 Apr 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGuastatoya2-2Xelajú
9 Feb 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalXelajú1-0Guastatoya
15 Sep 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGuastatoya1-1Xelajú
17 Mar 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGuastatoya1-1Xelajú
8 Oct 2023Liga NacionalLiga NacionalXelajú2-1Guastatoya

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.55X25%3.69217%5.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Nov 12:5014 Nov 18:501 1.54X 3.692 5.49
11.48 → 1.54 +4.1%X3.84 → 3.69 -3.9%26.03 → 5.49 -9.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.951.835.9%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
Betano1.901.808.2%
1xBet1.881.799.1%
Marathonbet1.881.799.1%
BetVictor1.901.779.1%
Best of all books1.951.835.9%
Average1.901.808.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.951.806.8%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
Betano1.911.788.5%
1xBet1.921.759.2%
Marathonbet1.921.739.9%
Best of all books1.951.806.8%
Average1.931.768.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Xelajú 45%Draw 45%Guastatoya 10%

The statistical model rates Xelajú at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Guastatoya at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 3.69 | 5.50, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Xelajú win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Xelajú averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Guastatoya averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Xelajú or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.543.695.49

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.271.20

Draw no bet

12
1.214.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.931.76

1st half

1X2
2.112.165.78

2nd half

1X2
1.912.505.23

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4016.055.3
HT X4.165.2011.3
HT 222.016.89.67

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4110.53.14

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.95
1.51.283.31
2.51.901.80
3.53.271.28
4.56.581.08
5.515.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.10
1.251.213.90
1.751.332.90
21.452.49
2.251.682.02
2.752.161.60
32.601.41
3.252.921.33
3.754.001.17
45.551.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.571.42
-1.252.281.54
-11.971.75
-0.751.682.02
-0.51.542.32
-0.251.352.83
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-38.901.01
-2.55.051.10
-2.254.701.15
-24.201.15
-1.753.111.29
01.154.30
+0.251.114.90

Next Liga Nacional matches

14 NovComunicaciones – Cobán Imperial
15 NovMalacateco – Municipal
15 NovDeportivo San Pedro – Marquense
15 NovSuchitepéquez – Antigua GFC

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

12 NovAurora 0-1 Mixco
9 NovAntigua GFC 2-0 Malacateco
8 NovCobán Imperial 0-1 Xelajú
8 NovMarquense 0-2 Comunicaciones
7 NovMixco 2-1 Deportivo San Pedro
7 NovGuastatoya 4-0 Suchitepéquez