Xelajú vs Marquense• Liga Nacional, Guatemala

0.8:1.221:00Today · Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango1.0:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44BTNX4.20MAR27.40DAFMargin at best6.8%Books9Markets52Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.41	4.20	7.40	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.41	4.17	7.36	8.5%
Betano	1.44	4.05	6.90	8.6%
BetVictor	1.40	4.20	7.00	9.5%
1xBet	1.36	4.20	7.35	10.9%
Betfair	1.36	4.20	7.00	11.6%
Bet365	1.40	4.00	6.50	11.8%
William Hill	1.40	3.80	7.00	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.35	4.20	6.95	12.3%
Best of all books	1.44	4.20	7.40	6.8%
Average	1.39	4.11	7.05	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

XelajúMarquense

Last 107Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5650Defence rating5054Form rating4671H2H rating2968Goals model3260Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 19:30 UTC

Xelajú

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

29 Oct	A	Mixco	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Municipal	1-0	W
20 Oct	A	Antigua GFC	0-3	L
15 Oct	H	Malacateco	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Aurora	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Deportivo San Pedro	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Comunicaciones	2-3	L
24 Sep	H	Antigua GFC	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Suchitepéquez	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Guastatoya	1-2	L

Marquense

4W 4D 2L · goals 10:8 · per match 1.0 for, 0.8 against

30 Oct	H	Guastatoya	0-0	D
25 Oct	A	Cobán Imperial	1-3	L
19 Oct	H	Suchitepéquez	2-1	W
15 Oct	H	Mixco	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Municipal	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Antigua GFC	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Malacateco	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Aurora	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Deportivo San Pedro	0-0	D
10 Sep	A	Comunicaciones	2-0	W

Head to head

19Xelajú wins

12draws

10Marquense wins

41 meetings · goals 62:49 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Xelajú

6 Sep 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Marquense0-4Xelajú
4 May 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú2-0Marquense
30 Apr 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Marquense1-1Xelajú
2 Apr 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Marquense1-0Xelajú
16 Feb 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú4-2Marquense
6 Nov 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Marquense1-0Xelajú
1 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú3-1Marquense
21 Apr 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Marquense1-0Xelajú
17 Feb 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú0-0Marquense
20 Oct 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Marquense1-2Xelajú

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.39X22%4.11213%7.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.40 → 1.39 -0.7%X4.09 → 4.11 +0.5%26.96 → 7.05 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.92	5.8%
Betano	1.82	1.88	8.1%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.86	1.95	5.0%
Average	1.83	1.89	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.05	1.70	7.6%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Betano	1.98	1.70	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.67	9.6%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	2.00	1.70	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Xelajú 45%Draw 45%Marquense 10%

The statistical model rates Xelajú at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Marquense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.11 | 7.05, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Xelajú win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Xelajú averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Marquense averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Xelajú or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	4.11	7.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.68	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	5.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.00	1.70

1st half

1	X	2
1.89	2.28	6.87

2nd half

1	X	2
1.73	2.64	6.22

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.11	19.7	60.3
HT X	3.93	5.97	13.7
HT 2	22.0	19.8	12.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.34	11.0	3.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.20
1.5	1.24	3.47
2.5	1.83	1.89
3.5	3.05	1.30
4.5	5.80	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	8.35
1.25	1.16	4.60
1.75	1.30	3.09
2	1.39	2.69
2.25	1.60	2.16
2.75	2.03	1.67
3	2.42	1.47
3.25	2.73	1.37
3.75	3.75	1.19
4	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.59	1.43
-1.5	2.21	1.58
-1.25	1.94	1.77
-1	1.67	2.07
-0.75	1.50	2.38
-0.5	1.44	2.70

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.70	1.01
-3	7.53	1.05
-2.75	5.00	1.17
-2.5	4.07	1.19
-2.25	3.58	1.25
-2	3.35	1.27
-0.25	1.25	3.42
0	1.11	5.27
+0.25	1.09	5.90
+0.5	1.12	6.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.96	1.82

Latest Liga Nacional results

3 Nov	Suchitepéquez 1-0 Malacateco
2 Nov	Comunicaciones 3-1 Mixco
2 Nov	Guastatoya 1-2 Cobán Imperial
1 Nov	Deportivo San Pedro 1-0 Municipal
1 Nov	Aurora 0-2 Antigua GFC
30 Oct	Marquense 0-0 Guastatoya