Malacateco vs Aurora• Liga Nacional, Guatemala

1.2:1.200:00Tomorrow2.0:1.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62WHX3.80BFR25.20DAFMargin at best7.3%Books9Markets52Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 20:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.61	3.75	5.20	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.61	3.64	5.15	9.0%
Betano	1.62	3.60	5.10	9.1%
BetVictor	1.60	3.70	5.00	9.5%
Betfair	1.55	3.80	5.00	10.8%
1xBet	1.58	3.70	4.86	10.9%
William Hill	1.62	3.40	5.00	11.1%
Bet365	1.57	3.60	5.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.70	4.75	12.2%
Best of all books	1.62	3.80	5.20	7.3%
Average	1.59	3.65	5.01	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MalacatecoAurora

Last 107Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6354Defence rating4641Form rating5929H2H rating7165Goals model3544Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC

Malacateco

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	A	Deportivo San Pedro	2-2	D
21 Oct	H	Comunicaciones	1-0	W
15 Oct	A	Xelajú	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Guastatoya	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Cobán Imperial	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Marquense	0-1	L
21 Sep	H	Mixco	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	Municipal	2-2	D
11 Sep	H	Antigua GFC	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Suchitepéquez	2-0	W

Aurora

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	A	Suchitepéquez	2-2	D
18 Oct	H	Deportivo San Pedro	3-1	W
14 Oct	A	Comunicaciones	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Xelajú	2-1	W
4 Oct	A	Guastatoya	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Cobán Imperial	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Marquense	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Mixco	2-3	L
10 Sep	H	Municipal	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Antigua GFC	1-2	L

Head to head

2Malacateco wins

1draws

4Aurora wins

7 meetings · goals 4:6 · last 7: 2W 1D 4L for Malacateco

30 Aug 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Aurora1-0Malacateco
23 Mar 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Malacateco1-1Aurora
1 Feb 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Aurora1-0Malacateco
10 Dec 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Aurora2-1Malacateco
7 Dec 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Malacateco1-0Aurora
9 Nov 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Malacateco1-0Aurora
7 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Aurora1-0Malacateco

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.59X25%3.65218%5.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.49 → 1.59 +6.7%X3.89 → 3.65 -6.2%25.85 → 5.01 -14.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.93	5.6%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.86	1.95	5.0%
Average	1.83	1.88	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
BetVictor	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Betano	1.78	1.90	8.8%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.84	9.9%
Best of all books	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Average	1.81	1.87	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Malacateco 10%Draw 45%Aurora 45%

The statistical model rates Malacateco at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aurora at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.65 | 5.01, which imply roughly 27.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Malacateco averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Aurora averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Aurora.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.59	3.65	5.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.16	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.13	2.21	5.24

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.53	4.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.38	15.9	45.5
HT X	4.32	5.55	10.8
HT 2	21.3	16.9	9.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.45	11.1	2.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.53
1.5	1.25	3.48
2.5	1.83	1.88
3.5	3.05	1.32
4.5	5.84	1.10
5.5	12.5	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.25	1.15	4.80
1.75	1.29	3.10
2	1.39	2.67
2.25	1.61	2.15
2.75	2.04	1.67
3	2.43	1.47
3.25	2.75	1.37
3.75	3.80	1.19
4	5.20	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.63	1.41
-1.25	2.36	1.51
-1	2.06	1.68
-0.75	1.75	1.95
-0.5	1.58	2.27
-0.25	1.39	2.70

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.35	1.01
-2.75	5.50	1.15
-2.5	5.12	1.12
-2.25	4.10	1.21
-2	4.11	1.20
-1.75	3.08	1.32
0	1.21	3.81
+0.25	1.17	4.32
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.10	7.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.80	2.00
9.5	2.01	1.74

Next Liga Nacional matches

29 Oct	Municipal – Comunicaciones
29 Oct	Mixco – Xelajú

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

28 Oct	Cobán Imperial 2-1 Suchitepéquez
25 Oct	Suchitepéquez 2-2 Aurora
25 Oct	Deportivo San Pedro 2-2 Malacateco
25 Oct	Cobán Imperial 3-1 Marquense
25 Oct	Guastatoya 1-3 Mixco
25 Oct	Comunicaciones 1-0 Antigua GFC