Aurora vs Xelajú• Liga Nacional, Guatemala

1.4:2.021:00Today · Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan2.2:1.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65PINX3.35DAF22.62BTNMargin at best5.8%Books9Markets42Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.55	3.30	2.60	8.0%
Betano	2.55	3.20	2.60	8.9%
Pinnacle	2.57	3.28	2.52	9.1%
BetVictor	2.55	3.25	2.55	9.2%
Betfair	2.60	3.30	2.40	10.4%
1xBet	2.55	3.12	2.44	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.55	3.12	2.44	12.3%
Bet365	2.45	3.25	2.45	12.4%
William Hill	2.50	3.00	2.50	13.3%
Best of all books	2.60	3.30	2.60	7.2%
Average	2.54	3.20	2.50	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AuroraXelajú

Last 103Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 52.22.0Goals against · last 51.439Attack rating6141Defence rating5930Form rating7038H2H rating6245Goals model5538Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:33 UTC

Aurora

4W 0D 6L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

4 Oct	A	Guastatoya	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Cobán Imperial	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Marquense	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Mixco	2-3	L
10 Sep	H	Municipal	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Antigua GFC	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Malacateco	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Suchitepéquez	3-2	W
16 Aug	A	Deportivo San Pedro	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	Comunicaciones	3-1	W

Xelajú

4W 3D 3L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

4 Oct	H	Deportivo San Pedro	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Comunicaciones	2-3	L
24 Sep	H	Antigua GFC	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Suchitepéquez	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Guastatoya	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Cobán Imperial	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Marquense	4-0	W
31 Aug	H	Mixco	4-1	W
27 Aug	H	Firpo	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Municipal	0-2	L

Head to head

1Aurora wins

2draws

2Xelajú wins

5 meetings · goals 6:11 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Aurora

4 Aug 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú3-1Aurora
8 Mar 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Aurora0-0Xelajú
21 Jan 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú4-0Aurora
16 Nov 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Aurora3-2Xelajú
14 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú2-2Aurora

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.55X28%3.22236%2.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.38 → 2.55 +7.1%X3.21 → 3.22 +0.3%22.62 → 2.49 -5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.83	5.4%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
BetVictor	1.89	1.78	9.1%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Best of all books	1.97	1.85	4.8%
Average	1.92	1.80	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.72	1.98	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.71	1.99	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aurora 10%Draw 45%Xelajú 45%

The statistical model rates Aurora at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Xelajú at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 3.22 | 2.49, which imply roughly 31.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Aurora averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Xelajú averaged 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Xelajú.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.54	3.20	2.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.43	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.84	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
3.21	2.07	3.09

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	10.0	1.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.90
1.5	1.28	3.27
2.5	1.92	1.80
3.5	3.30	1.28
4.5	6.43	1.09
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.00
1.25	1.15	4.22
1.75	1.34	2.87
2	1.45	2.48
2.25	1.68	2.03
2.75	2.17	1.59
3	2.62	1.40
3.25	2.95	1.32
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.52	1.47
-0.25	2.21	1.59
0	1.88	1.84
+0.25	1.62	2.15
+0.5	1.48	2.49
+0.75	1.33	2.99

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-1.75	6.25	1.12
-1.5	5.30	1.11
-1.25	4.40	1.16
-1	4.17	1.19
-0.75	3.02	1.32
+1	1.18	4.13
+1.25	1.15	4.63
+1.5	1.13	5.07
+1.75	1.12	6.25

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.85	1.95
9.5	2.10	1.67