AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton• Challenger Pro League, Belgium

#31.8:0.818:1501/11 · Kehrwegstadion, Eupen1.6:1.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70PINX4.30PIN24.60DAFMargin at best3.8%Books9Markets71Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 20:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.68	4.20	4.60	5.1%
Pinnacle	1.70	4.30	4.07	6.6%
Betano	1.67	3.90	4.40	8.2%
Bet365	1.65	3.90	4.33	9.3%
1xBet	1.65	3.98	4.04	10.5%
Betfair	1.62	4.00	4.20	10.5%
William Hill	1.62	3.90	4.20	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.63	3.98	3.96	11.7%
SBO	1.55	3.59	4.14	16.5%
Best of all books	1.70	4.30	4.60	3.8%
Average	1.64	3.97	4.22	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AS EupenExcelsior Virton

Last 10#3Table position#72.14Points per game1.439Form pts · last 541.8Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 51.853Attack rating4769Defence rating3175Form rating250H2H rating067Goals model3366Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:03 UTC

AS Eupen

7W 0D 3L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	H	Beerschot VA	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	KV Mechelen	1-5	L
9 Oct	A	RSC Anderlecht II	2-0	W
1 Oct	H	Alemannia Aachen	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Merelbeke	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Liège	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Patro Eisden	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Club Brugge II	1-0	W
21 Aug	A	Lokeren-Temse	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	KRC Genk II	4-1	W

Excelsior Virton

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	A	Seraing United	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	Genk	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Sporting Hasselt	3-4	L
26 Sep	A	Oostkamp	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Lokeren-Temse	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	KRC Genk II	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Francs Borains	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	RSC Anderlecht II	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	K. Lierse S.K.	3-0	W
5 Aug	H	Strasbourg II	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between AS Eupen and Excelsior Virton on record.

Challenger Pro League tableSecond Divisionupdated 30 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Challenger Pro League table, AS Eupen sit 3rd with 15 points from 7 games, while Excelsior Virton are 7th with 10 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Beerschot VA	8	7	0	1	20:7	+13	21
2	Dender	7	6	0	1	11:2	+9	18
3	AS Eupen	7	5	0	2	14:7	+7	15
4	Lokeren-Temse	7	4	1	2	15:11	+4	13
5	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	9:7	+2	12
6	Sporting Hasselt	7	4	0	3	8:10	-2	12
7	Excelsior Virton	7	3	1	3	12:9	+3	10
8	Patro Eisden	8	3	0	5	11:14	-3	9
9	Club Brugge II	7	2	3	2	11:13	-2	9
10	K. Lierse S.K.	6	2	2	2	7:8	-1	8
11	KRC Genk II	8	2	2	4	12:15	-3	8
12	KAA Gent II	7	2	2	3	9:13	-4	8
13	Seraing United	8	1	2	5	11:16	-5	5
14	Liège	8	1	2	5	13:21	-8	5
15	RSC Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	7:17	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.64X23%3.97222%4.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.64 +3.8%X4.09 → 3.97 -2.9%24.50 → 4.22 -6.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.59	2.30	6.4%
Betano	1.60	2.27	6.6%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Best of all books	1.60	2.38	4.5%
Average	1.58	2.28	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.60	2.20	8.0%
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Best of all books	1.62	2.23	6.6%
Average	1.60	2.19	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AS Eupen 45%Draw 45%Excelsior Virton 10%

The statistical model rates AS Eupen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Excelsior Virton at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.97 | 4.22, which imply roughly 61% for a AS Eupen win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenger Pro League table: AS Eupen are 3rd (15 pts, 14-7 goals), Excelsior Virton 7th (10 pts, 12-9).

Over their last five matches, AS Eupen averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Excelsior Virton averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AS Eupen or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.64	3.97	4.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.11	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	2.41	4.38

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.72	4.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.43	14.7	37.7
HT X	4.71	6.63	9.99
HT 2	20.0	14.9	7.09

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	16.9	2.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.6
1.5	1.16	4.43
2.5	1.58	2.28
3.5	2.47	1.48
4.5	4.29	1.18
5.5	8.23	1.04
6.5	15.8	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.90
1.25	1.05	6.55
1.75	1.16	4.11
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.38	2.63
2.75	1.71	2.00
3	1.94	1.77
3.25	2.21	1.57
3.75	2.88	1.32
4	3.70	1.20
4.25	4.06	1.17
4.75	5.55	1.08
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.80	1.38
-1.25	2.51	1.46
-1	2.19	1.62
-0.75	1.83	1.89
-0.5	1.66	2.16
-0.25	1.48	2.47

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.90	1.01
-3	9.00	1.02
-2.75	7.13	1.06
-2.5	5.52	1.11
-2.25	5.02	1.13
-2	4.62	1.15
-1.75	3.52	1.25
0	1.30	3.20
+0.25	1.24	3.62
+0.5	1.20	4.40
+0.75	1.11	5.37
+1	1.02	8.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.20
7.5	1.25	3.30
8.5	1.50	2.38
9.5	1.85	1.84
10.5	2.38	1.50
11.5	3.18	1.27
12.5	4.58	1.11
13.5	7.06	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.72
8	1.31	2.95
9	1.65	2.10
10	2.12	1.64
11	2.87	1.33
12	4.21	1.14
13	6.62	1.03

Next Challenger Pro League matches

30 Oct	Seraing United – Liège
30 Oct	KAA Gent II – K. Lierse S.K.
31 Oct	Beerschot VA – Francs Borains
31 Oct	Patro Eisden – Lokeren-Temse
31 Oct	Club Brugge II – Sporting Hasselt
1 Nov	Dender – KRC Genk II

All Challenger Pro League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenger Pro League results

25 Oct	Liège 2-3 Patro Eisden
25 Oct	AS Eupen 1-2 Beerschot VA
24 Oct	Lokeren-Temse 2-0 KAA Gent II
24 Oct	Seraing United 3-1 Excelsior Virton
24 Oct	KRC Genk II 0-0 Club Brugge II
11 Oct	KAA Gent II 3-2 Seraing United