Ilirija vs Tabor Sežana• 2. SNL, Slovenia

#61.4:1.80-1FTToday2.0:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.471XBX3.40B36521.95WHMargin at best9.5%Books6Markets41Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 09:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.47	3.28	1.94	10.9%
Bet365	3.25	3.40	1.95	11.5%
Marathonbet	3.38	3.28	1.92	12.2%
Pinnacle	3.46	3.27	1.88	12.7%
William Hill	3.30	3.10	1.95	13.8%
BetVictor	3.20	3.00	1.80	20.1%
Best of all books	3.47	3.40	1.95	9.5%
Average	3.34	3.22	1.91	13.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IlirijaTabor Sežana

Last 10#6Table position#11.60Points per game2.506Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 51.441Attack rating5944Defence rating5633Form rating6738H2H rating6235Goals model6539Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:10 UTC

Ilirija

5W 1D 4L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Krka	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Beltinci	2-4	L
25 Sep	A	Dekani	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Krško	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Jesenice	1-3	L
4 Sep	H	Primorje	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	Slovan Ljubljana	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Rudar	2-0	W
15 Aug	A	Bistrica	6-0	W
9 Aug	H	Dravinja	1-0	W

Tabor Sežana

8W 1D 1L · goals 21:7 · per match 2.1 for, 0.7 against

9 Oct	H	Rudar	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Krka	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Bistrica	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Beltinci	1-5	L
11 Sep	H	Dravinja	5-1	W
4 Sep	A	Dekani	0-0	D
28 Aug	H	Brežice	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Krško	6-0	W
14 Aug	H	Triglav	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Jesenice	3-0	W

Head to head

2Ilirija wins

2draws

4Tabor Sežana wins

8 meetings · goals 11:15 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Ilirija

3 Apr 20262. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija2-3Tabor Sežana
21 Sep 20252. SNL	2. SNL	Tabor Sežana1-1Ilirija
16 Mar 20252. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija1-1Tabor Sežana
31 Aug 20242. SNL	2. SNL	Tabor Sežana5-2Ilirija
26 Apr 20242. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija2-0Tabor Sežana
8 Oct 20232. SNL	2. SNL	Tabor Sežana0-3Ilirija
24 Nov 20182. SNL	2. SNL	Ilirija0-3Tabor Sežana
12 Aug 20182. SNL	2. SNL	Tabor Sežana2-0Ilirija

2. SNL table2 SNLupdated 16 Oct 15:31 UTC

In the 2. SNL table, Ilirija sit 6th with 16 points from 10 games, while Tabor Sežana are 1st with 25 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tabor Sežana	10	8	1	1	21:7	+14	25
2	Beltinci	10	7	1	2	28:12	+16	22
3	Triglav	10	7	1	2	20:5	+15	22
4	Jesenice	10	5	2	3	18:14	+4	17
5	Slovan Ljubljana	10	5	2	3	14:16	-2	17
6	Ilirija	10	5	1	4	17:11	+6	16
7	Rudar	10	5	0	5	19:17	+2	15
8	Bilje	10	5	0	5	18:22	-4	15
9	Dekani	10	4	3	3	7:6	+1	15
10	Bistrica	10	4	2	4	13:15	-2	14
11	Dren Vrhnika	10	4	2	4	10:13	-3	14
12	Primorje	10	2	4	4	11:16	-5	10
13	Krško	10	2	3	5	8:17	-9	9
14	Krka	10	2	1	7	10:18	-8	7
15	Dravinja	10	1	2	7	10:25	-15	5
16	Brežice	10	0	3	7	10:20	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.44X28%3.16246%1.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.41 → 3.34 -2.1%X3.31 → 3.22 -2.7%21.97 → 1.91 -3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.88	1.83	7.8%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
BetVictor	1.68	1.65	20.1%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.85	1.79	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
BetVictor	1.57	1.78	19.9%
Best of all books	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Average	1.70	1.90	11.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ilirija 10%Draw 45%Tabor Sežana 45%

The statistical model rated Ilirija at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tabor Sežana at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.44 | 3.16 | 1.91, which imply roughly 31.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. SNL table: Ilirija are 6th (16 pts, 17-11 goals), Tabor Sežana 1st (25 pts, 21-7).

Over their last five matches, Ilirija averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Tabor Sežana averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tabor Sežana.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.34	3.22	1.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.68	1.25	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
2.35	1.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
3.93	2.10	2.50

2nd half

1	X	2
3.69	2.38	2.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.45	15.3	21.5
HT X	7.90	5.70	5.25
HT 2	29.5	15.3	3.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.36	9.25	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	6.70
1.5	1.25	2.99
2.5	1.85	1.79
3.5	2.97	1.25
4.5	4.60	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.75	1.33	2.85
2	1.41	2.40
2.25	1.63	1.99
2.75	2.06	1.58
3	2.44	1.40
3.25	2.86	1.33
3.75	3.90	1.18
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	4.73	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.93	1.32
0	2.47	1.40
+0.25	1.97	1.63
+0.5	1.76	1.86
+0.75	1.54	2.14
+1	1.34	2.66

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.30	1.03
-1.25	5.96	1.07
-1	6.40	1.05
-0.75	4.20	1.15
+1.25	1.28	3.12
+1.5	1.22	3.50
+2	1.05	6.50
+2.5	1.03	7.20