OddsFilter

Brežice vs Primorje• 2. SNL, Slovenia

#161.0:2.41-1FT03/101.4:1.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.00B365X4.031XB22.211XBMargin at best3.4%Books5Markets37Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 03:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.044.062.114.9%
Betano3.103.652.029.2%
Betfair3.003.602.0011.1%
Marathonbet3.023.521.9712.3%
Bet3653.003.601.9512.4%
Best of all books3.104.062.114.3%
Average3.033.692.019.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BrežicePrimorje
Last 10#16Table position#120.30Points per game1.001Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 51.42.4Goals against · last 51.642Attack rating5840Defence rating6017Form rating8336H2H rating6456Goals model4435Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 10:20 UTC

Brežice

0W 2D 8L · goals 9:23 · per match 0.9 for, 2.3 against

3 OctHPrimorje1-1D
27 SepASlovan Ljubljana0-1L
19 SepHRudar3-4L
16 SepATriglav0-4L
12 SepABistrica1-2L
5 SepHDravinja1-1D
28 AugATabor Sežana0-1L
15 AugHDren Vrhnika1-2L
8 AugABilje1-2L
9 JulHHNK Gorica1-5L

Primorje

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

11 OctHDravinja1-1D
3 OctABrežice1-1D
26 SepATriglav1-1D
19 SepADren Vrhnika1-2L
11 SepHBilje2-3L
4 SepAIlirija0-0D
28 AugHKrka3-2W
23 AugABeltinci0-4L
15 AugHDekani1-0W
8 AugAKrško1-2L

Head to head

1Brežice wins
0draws
2Primorje wins

3 meetings · goals 1:5 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Brežice

24 Apr 20222. SNL2. SNLPrimorje4-0Brežice
9 Oct 20212. SNL2. SNLBrežice0-1Primorje
26 Sep 20202. SNL2. SNLBrežice1-0Primorje

2. SNL table2 SNLupdated 15 Oct 02:31 UTC

In the 2. SNL table, Brežice sit 16th with 3 points from 10 games, while Primorje are 12th with 10 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tabor Sežana1081121:7+1425
2Beltinci1071228:12+1622
3Triglav1071220:5+1522
4Jesenice1052318:14+417
5Slovan Ljubljana1052314:16-217
6Ilirija1051417:11+616
7Rudar1050519:17+215
8Bilje1050518:22-415
9Dekani104337:6+115
10Bistrica1042413:15-214
11Dren Vrhnika1042410:13-314
12Primorje1024411:16-510
13Krško102358:17-99
14Krka1021710:18-87
15Dravinja1012710:25-155
16Brežice1003710:20-103

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.80X25%3.59243%2.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 03:513 Oct 07:311 2.82X 3.602 2.07
13.03 → 2.82 -6.9%X3.69 → 3.60 -2.4%22.01 → 2.07 +3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.602.306.0%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
Marathonbet1.592.179.0%
Betano1.572.1011.3%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.602.218.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.512.349.0%
Marathonbet1.512.299.9%
Betano1.522.2011.2%
Best of all books1.522.348.5%
Average1.512.2810.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Brežice 10%Draw 45%Primorje 45%

The statistical model rated Brežice at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Primorje at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.59 | 2.08, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. SNL table: Brežice are 16th (3 pts, 10-20 goals), Primorje 12th (10 pts, 11-16).

Over their last five matches, Brežice averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Primorje averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Primorje.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.033.692.01

Double chance

1XX212
1.691.301.22

Draw no bet

12
2.301.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.28

1st half

1X2
3.542.332.58

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1715.51.71

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.164.21
2.51.602.21
3.52.391.49
4.54.091.17
5.57.051.05
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.183.85
21.233.42
2.251.432.63
2.751.711.92
31.961.73
3.252.241.58
3.752.881.32
43.701.20
4.254.001.20

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.641.38
02.291.52
+0.251.901.75
+0.51.782.02
+0.751.512.26
+11.332.83
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.251.06
-1.255.381.09
-15.351.09
-0.753.721.20
+1.251.263.20
+1.51.213.58
+21.056.55
+2.51.037.30