Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce• I Liga, Poland

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Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90DAFX3.81PIN24.07PINMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets83Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.83	3.81	4.07	5.5%
Dafabet	1.90	3.55	3.80	7.1%
Betano	1.80	3.65	3.95	8.3%
Betfair	1.80	3.60	3.80	9.6%
BetVictor	1.80	3.50	3.90	9.8%
1xBet	1.76	3.56	3.89	10.6%
William Hill	1.83	3.40	3.70	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.74	3.56	3.80	11.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.30	3.80	12.2%
SBO	1.86	3.23	3.54	13.0%
Best of all books	1.90	3.81	4.07	3.4%
Average	1.81	3.52	3.83	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PodbeskidziePogoń Siedlce

Last 10#17Table position#100.89Points per game1.503Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5022Defence rating7829Form rating7150H2H rating5054Goals model4644Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:50 UTC

Podbeskidzie

1W 6D 3L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

2 Oct	H	Třinec	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Unia Skierniewice	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Ruch Chorzów	3-3	D
6 Sep	A	Polonia Bytom	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Stal Rzeszów	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Puszcza Niepołomice	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Odra Opole	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Chrobry Głogów	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Lechia Gdansk	2-2	D
5 Aug	H	Hutnik Kraków	2-0	W

Pogoń Siedlce

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

20 Sep	H	Arka Gdynia	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Chrobry Głogów	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Kluczevia Stargard	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Stal Mielec	2-0	W
21 Aug	A	Lechia Gdansk	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Polonia Warszawa	1-0	W
7 Aug	A	Polonia Bytom	2-2	D
5 Aug	H	Jastrzębie	3-0	W
1 Aug	H	Nieciecza	1-2	L
25 Jul	H	ŁKS Łódź	1-1	D

Head to head

1Podbeskidzie wins

0draws

1Pogoń Siedlce wins

2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Podbeskidzie

26 Sep 2023Cup	Cup	Pogoń Siedlce1-3Podbeskidzie
25 Sep 2019Cup	Cup	Pogoń Siedlce1-0Podbeskidzie

I Liga tableI Ligaupdated 9 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the I Liga table, Podbeskidzie sit 17th with 8 points from 9 games, while Pogoń Siedlce are 10th with 12 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15:8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14:12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17:13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13:9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15:12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10:15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17:15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11:8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11:11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10:15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7:9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14:17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14:23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12:14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8:12	-4	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.82X26%3.51224%3.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.81 +5.8%X3.76 → 3.52 -6.4%24.19 → 3.83 -8.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.83	2.02	4.1%
SBO	1.83	2.01	4.4%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.82	1.93	6.8%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.77	1.91	8.9%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	2.02	3.6%
Average	1.79	1.96	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.67	2.06	8.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Podbeskidzie 10%Draw 45%Pogoń Siedlce 45%

The statistical model rates Podbeskidzie at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pogoń Siedlce at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.51 | 3.80, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the I Liga table: Podbeskidzie are 17th (8 pts, 12-14 goals), Pogoń Siedlce 10th (12 pts, 9-7).

Over their last five matches, Podbeskidzie averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Pogoń Siedlce averaged 1 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pogoń Siedlce and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	3.52	3.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.88	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
2.37	2.22	4.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	12.5	2.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.23	3.73
2.5	1.79	1.97
3.5	2.90	1.36
4.5	5.49	1.12
5.5	10.1	1.04
6.5	20.9	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.11	4.95
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.36	2.88
2.25	1.56	2.27
2.75	1.97	1.76
3	2.30	1.54
3.25	2.54	1.44
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.35	1.14
4.25	4.70	1.12
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.76	1.39
-1	2.43	1.50
-0.75	2.04	1.72
-0.5	1.83	1.97
-0.25	1.57	2.26
0	1.35	2.94

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.50	1.03
-2.5	6.13	1.08
-2.25	5.75	1.09
-2	5.35	1.11
-1.75	3.75	1.23
-1.5	3.13	1.32
+0.25	1.27	3.38
+0.5	1.24	4.02
+0.75	1.13	5.00
+1	1.03	7.20
+1.5	1.02	8.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.29
7.5	1.13	4.33
8.5	1.31	2.95
9.5	1.58	2.21
10.5	1.97	1.75
11.5	2.51	1.45
12.5	3.36	1.23
13.5	4.87	1.10
14.5	7.24	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.01
7	1.02	6.73
7.25	1.08	5.20
7.75	1.15	4.12
8	1.17	3.92
8.25	1.25	3.31
8.75	1.36	2.77
9	1.42	2.63
9.25	1.50	2.36
9.75	1.67	2.07
10	1.76	1.99
10.25	1.86	1.84
10.75	2.09	1.66
11	2.25	1.58
11.25	2.38	1.49
11.75	2.74	1.36
12	3.08	1.29
12.25	3.23	1.26
12.75	3.83	1.18
13	4.50	1.12
13.25	4.68	1.11
13.75	5.71	1.06
14	7.03	1.02
14.25	7.03	1.02