Pogoń Siedlce12th9 pts
Arka Gdynia11th11 pts
Pogoń Siedlce12th9 pts
Arka Gdynia11th11 ptsIn the I Liga table, Pogoń Siedlce sit 12th with 9 points from 7 games, while Arka Gdynia are 11th with 11 points from 8 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Pogoń Siedlce at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arka Gdynia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.56 | 3.36 | 1.90, which imply roughly 28.1% for a Pogoń Siedlce win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the I Liga table: Pogoń Siedlce are 12th (9 pts, 7-6 goals), Arka Gdynia 11th (11 pts, 10-9).
Over their last five matches, Pogoń Siedlce averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Arka Gdynia averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Pogoń Siedlce or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 2 |  Nieciecza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 |  Warta Poznań | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 |  ŁKS Łódź | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Miedz Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Stal Rzeszów | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 |  Chrobry Głogów | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Ruch Chorzów | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Arka Gdynia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Pogoń Siedlce | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Unia Skierniewice | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Podbeskidzie | 8 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Puszcza Niepołomice | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.43
X
3.28
2
1.96
Double chance
1X
1.74
X2
1.24
12
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
1.74
No
1.96
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.29
Under 1.5
3.30
Over 2.5
1.92
Under 2.5
1.81
Over 3.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
9.18
Over 4.5
6.24
Under 4.5
1.09
Over 5.5
12.88
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
23.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.33
Under 1.75
2.83
Over 2
1.45
Under 2
2.50
Over 2.25
1.69
Under 2.25
2.04
Over 2.75
2.16
Under 2.75
1.61
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
7.90
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
7.40
Over 1.25
1.15
Under 1.25
4.30
Over 3
2.58
Under 3
1.43
Over 3.25
2.83
Under 3.25
1.33
Over 3.75
3.88
Under 3.75
1.18
Over 4
5.25
Under 4
1.09
Over 4.25
5.60
Under 4.25
1.08
Draw no bet
1
2.58
2
1.45
Asian handicap
Away -2.75
7.90
1st half
1
4.08
X
2.14
2
2.53
First team to score
Home
2.41
No Goal
9.25
Away
1.69