Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura• 1. SNL, Slovenia

#41.6:0.618:15Today · Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana0.4:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67DAFX3.84PIN25.43PINMargin at best4.3%Books10Markets84Rating78 · 22Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.64	3.84	5.43	5.4%
Dafabet	1.67	3.75	4.90	7.0%
Betano	1.65	3.65	5.10	7.6%
Bet365	1.62	3.60	5.00	9.5%
BetVictor	1.62	3.60	5.00	9.5%
Betfair	1.60	3.60	5.00	10.3%
1xBet	1.58	3.68	4.96	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.68	4.85	11.9%
William Hill	1.62	3.40	4.80	12.0%
SBO	1.58	3.41	4.50	14.8%
Best of all books	1.67	3.84	5.43	4.3%
Average	1.61	3.62	4.95	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Olimpija LjubljanaMura

Last 10#4Table position#91.40Points per game0.9010Form pts · last 521.6Goals for · last 50.40.6Goals against · last 52.080Attack rating2077Defence rating2383Form rating1771H2H rating2977Goals model2378Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:05 UTC

Olimpija Ljubljana

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

1 Oct	H	NK Slaven Belupo	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Bravo	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Koper	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Brinje-Grosuplje	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	Radomlje	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Nafta	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Maribor	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Celje	0-1	L
2 Aug	H	Aluminij	1-0	W
25 Jul	A	Mura	0-1	L

Mura

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

20 Sep	H	Celje	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Aluminij	1-6	L
6 Sep	A	Maribor	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Bravo	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Koper	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Brinje-Grosuplje	2-1	W
10 Aug	H	Radomlje	1-3	L
1 Aug	A	Nafta	2-5	L
25 Jul	H	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-0	W
17 Jul	A	Celje	2-2	D

Head to head

16Olimpija Ljubljana wins

11draws

6Mura wins

33 meetings · goals 41:26 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Olimpija Ljubljana

25 Jul 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Mura1-0Olimpija Ljubljana
4 Apr 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Mura0-0Olimpija Ljubljana
31 Jan 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana1-0Mura
28 Sep 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Mura0-2Olimpija Ljubljana
19 Jul 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana1-0Mura
10 May 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Mura1-1Olimpija Ljubljana
12 Mar 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana2-1Mura
24 Nov 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Mura0-1Olimpija Ljubljana
1 Sep 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana4-0Mura
5 May 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Olimpija Ljubljana0-0Mura

1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 10 Oct 17:02 UTC

In the 1. SNL table, Olimpija Ljubljana sit 4th with 14 points from 10 games, while Mura are 9th with 9 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	10	5	5	0	19:8	+11	20
2	Koper	11	5	4	2	14:11	+3	19
3	Bravo	10	5	3	2	12:10	+2	18
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10:8	+2	14
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16:11	+5	13
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17:16	+1	13
7	Celje	9	3	3	3	11:11	0	12
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10:21	-11	9
10	Radomlje	10	1	3	6	12:21	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.61X25%3.62218%4.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.69 → 1.61 -4.7%X3.54 → 3.62 +2.3%24.47 → 4.95 +10.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.95	1.88	4.5%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
SBO	1.95	1.83	5.9%
Betano	1.93	1.82	6.8%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Betfair	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Best of all books	1.95	1.88	4.5%
Average	1.91	1.82	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Betano	1.90	1.82	7.6%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.86	1.83	8.4%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.80	9.3%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.87	1.83	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Olimpija Ljubljana 50%Draw 50%Mura 0%

The statistical model rates Olimpija Ljubljana at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Mura at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.62 | 4.95, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Olimpija Ljubljana win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the 1. SNL table: Olimpija Ljubljana are 4th (14 pts, 10-8 goals), Mura 9th (9 pts, 10-21).

Over their last five matches, Olimpija Ljubljana averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Mura averaged 0.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Olimpija Ljubljana or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.62	4.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.12	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.18	5.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	10.8	2.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.02
1.5	1.28	3.35
2.5	1.91	1.82
3.5	3.28	1.29
4.5	6.37	1.08
5.5	11.6	1.03
6.5	13.7	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.85
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.13	4.60
1.75	1.31	2.93
2	1.44	2.56
2.25	1.66	2.07
2.75	2.14	1.63
3	2.59	1.43
3.25	2.89	1.33
3.75	4.01	1.17
4	5.60	1.08
4.25	6.01	1.07
4.75	8.40	1.01
5	10.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.76	1.39
-1.25	2.44	1.49
-1	2.10	1.66
-0.75	1.79	1.94
-0.5	1.63	2.22
-0.25	1.42	2.67

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.70	1.01
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.75	7.33	1.05
-2.5	5.60	1.10
-2.25	5.22	1.12
-2	4.67	1.14
-1.75	3.40	1.27
0	1.23	3.81
+0.25	1.17	4.38
+0.5	1.18	4.80
+0.75	1.07	6.57
+1	1.02	8.60
+1.5	1.02	9.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.57
6.5	1.19	3.78
7.5	1.46	2.46
8.5	1.86	1.86
9.5	2.33	1.54
10.5	3.03	1.30
11.5	4.28	1.14
12.5	6.62	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.28
6	1.05	5.99
6.25	1.11	4.62
6.75	1.20	3.64
7	1.23	3.44
7.25	1.32	2.93
7.75	1.46	2.46
8	1.62	2.21
8.25	1.64	2.11
8.75	1.84	1.86
9	1.98	1.76
9.25	2.09	1.66
9.75	2.40	1.48
10	2.63	1.42
10.25	2.82	1.35
10.75	3.34	1.24
11	3.90	1.17
11.25	4.09	1.15
11.75	5.00	1.09
12	6.17	1.04
12.25	6.39	1.03