Nafta vs Bravo• 1. SNL, Slovenia

#41.4:1.61-0FT11/10 · Lendava1.4:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.41DAFX3.60BVC22.81PINMargin at best4.9%Books10Markets75Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.48	3.65	2.68	5.0%
Dafabet	2.42	3.50	2.70	6.9%
Betano	2.35	3.55	2.67	8.2%
Bet365	2.38	3.50	2.60	9.0%
BetVictor	2.38	3.50	2.60	9.0%
Betfair	2.30	3.50	2.63	10.1%
1xBet	2.26	3.46	2.58	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.26	3.46	2.58	11.9%
William Hill	2.30	3.30	2.62	11.9%
SBO	2.22	3.21	2.57	15.1%
Best of all books	2.48	3.65	2.70	4.8%
Average	2.33	3.46	2.62	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NaftaBravo

Last 10#4Table position#31.45Points per game1.649Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5038Defence rating6238Form rating6338H2H rating6245Goals model5543Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:41 UTC

Nafta

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	H	Bravo	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Koper	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	Brinje-Grosuplje	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Radomlje	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Maribor	2-3	L
21 Aug	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Celje	1-3	L
9 Aug	A	Aluminij	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Mura	5-2	W
26 Jul	A	Bravo	3-0	W

Bravo

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	A	Nafta	0-1	L
2 Oct	A	HNK Gorica	3-3	D
20 Sep	H	Olimpija Ljubljana	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Celje	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Aluminij	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Mura	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Maribor	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	Koper	0-0	D
9 Aug	H	Brinje-Grosuplje	1-1	D
2 Aug	A	Radomlje	2-1	W

Head to head

2Nafta wins

2draws

5Bravo wins

9 meetings · goals 10:13 · last 9: 2W 2D 5L for Nafta

26 Jul 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Bravo0-3Nafta
12 Mar 2026Cup	Cup	Bravo2-0Nafta
2 May 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Nafta0-1Bravo
2 Apr 2025Cup	Cup	Nafta2-2Bravo
8 Mar 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Bravo1-1Nafta
9 Nov 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Nafta0-1Bravo
26 Aug 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Bravo2-0Nafta
6 Apr 20192. SNL	2. SNL	Bravo2-1Nafta
15 Sep 20182. SNL	2. SNL	Nafta3-2Bravo

1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the 1. SNL table, Nafta sit 4th with 16 points from 11 games, while Bravo are 3rd with 18 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	11	6	5	0	21:9	+12	23
2	Koper	11	5	4	2	14:11	+3	19
3	Bravo	11	5	3	3	12:11	+1	18
4	Nafta	11	5	1	5	18:16	+2	16
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	11	4	3	4	13:11	+2	15
6	Celje	10	4	3	3	12:11	+1	15
7	Aluminij	11	3	4	4	16:12	+4	13
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	11	3	2	6	15:20	-5	11
9	Mura	11	2	4	5	13:24	-11	10
10	Radomlje	10	1	3	6	12:21	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.34X26%3.46235%2.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.42 → 2.31 -4.5%X3.44 → 3.46 +0.6%22.47 → 2.63 +6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.67	2.23	4.7%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.62	2.12	8.9%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.23	4.7%
Average	1.62	2.18	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.53	2.35	7.9%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.34	9.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.51	2.36	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nafta 10%Draw 45%Bravo 45%

The statistical model rated Nafta at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bravo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.46 | 2.62, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. SNL table: Nafta are 4th (16 pts, 18-16 goals), Bravo 3rd (18 pts, 12-11).

Over their last five matches, Nafta averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Bravo averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Bravo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.34	3.46	2.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.41	1.52	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
2.85	2.29	3.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	15.5	1.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.8
1.5	1.18	4.33
2.5	1.62	2.18
3.5	2.53	1.46
4.5	4.52	1.16
5.5	8.17	1.04
6.5	10.6	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	11.0
1.25	1.06	6.00
1.75	1.18	3.88
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.44	2.57
2.75	1.77	1.95
3	1.99	1.73
3.25	2.25	1.56
3.75	2.88	1.32
4	3.68	1.20
4.25	4.00	1.17
4.75	5.40	1.09
5	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.73	1.39
-0.5	2.36	1.56
-0.25	2.04	1.70
0	1.77	1.97
+0.25	1.56	2.29
+0.5	1.46	2.63

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.00	1.01
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	5.58	1.10
-1.5	4.33	1.17
-1.25	3.94	1.21
-1	3.62	1.24
+0.75	1.31	3.19
+1	1.18	4.33
+1.25	1.14	4.68
+1.5	1.12	5.15
+1.75	1.07	6.70
+2	1.02	8.90
+2.5	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.11
7.5	1.25	3.30
8.5	1.51	2.35
9.5	1.90	1.83
10.5	2.40	1.50
11.5	3.18	1.27
12.5	4.66	1.11
13.5	7.21	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.10	4.88
7	1.11	4.64
7.25	1.18	3.78
7.75	1.29	3.08
8	1.32	2.90
8.25	1.42	2.56
8.75	1.58	2.21
9	1.67	2.11
9.25	1.77	1.94
9.75	1.99	1.73
10	2.14	1.65
10.25	2.26	1.55
10.75	2.61	1.41
11	2.92	1.32
11.25	3.07	1.29
11.75	3.65	1.20
12	4.29	1.14
12.25	4.48	1.12
12.75	5.48	1.07
13	6.77	1.02
13.25	6.99	1.02