Celje vs Aluminij• 1. SNL, Slovenia

#70.8:1.415:30Today · Celje1.6:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60PINX4.40BTN25.20BTNMargin at best4.5%Books10Markets87Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.56	4.49	5.16	5.8%
Dafabet	1.55	4.40	5.00	7.2%
Betano	1.52	4.40	5.20	7.7%
BetVictor	1.53	4.10	5.00	9.7%
Bet365	1.50	4.00	5.50	9.8%
William Hill	1.57	4.00	4.60	10.4%
Betfair	1.50	4.20	5.00	10.5%
1xBet	1.51	4.15	4.93	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.50	4.15	4.75	11.8%
SBO	1.48	3.90	4.63	14.8%
Best of all books	1.57	4.49	5.50	4.1%
Average	1.52	4.18	4.98	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CeljeAluminij

Last 10#7Table position#51.33Points per game1.304Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6746Defence rating5444Form rating5680H2H rating2032Goals model6851Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:05 UTC

Celje

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

20 Sep	A	Mura	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Bravo	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Koper	0-1	L
2 Sep	A	Aluminij	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Brinje-Grosuplje	1-4	L
26 Aug	H	Slovan Bratislava	1-2	L
19 Aug	A	Slovan Bratislava	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Nafta	3-1	W
11 Aug	H	Ararat-Armenia	2-0	W

Aluminij

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

2 Oct	H	NK Varazdin	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Maribor	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Mura	6-1	W
5 Sep	H	Bravo	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Celje	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Koper	0-1	L
21 Aug	H	Brinje-Grosuplje	4-2	W
16 Aug	A	Radomlje	3-1	W
9 Aug	H	Nafta	1-1	D
2 Aug	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	0-1	L

Head to head

13Celje wins

7draws

6Aluminij wins

26 meetings · goals 47:25 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Celje

2 Sep 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij0-2Celje
26 Apr 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Celje5-0Aluminij
5 Mar 20261. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij2-1Celje
1 Nov 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Celje2-1Aluminij
17 Aug 20251. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij2-3Celje
30 Mar 20241. SNL	1. SNL	Celje2-2Aluminij
4 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Celje4-1Aluminij
9 Dec 20231. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij1-3Celje
27 Sep 20231. SNL	1. SNL	Celje1-3Aluminij
23 Jul 20231. SNL	1. SNL	Aluminij2-2Celje

1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 10 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the 1. SNL table, Celje sit 7th with 12 points from 9 games, while Aluminij are 5th with 13 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	10	5	5	0	19:8	+11	20
2	Koper	10	5	3	2	11:8	+3	18
3	Bravo	10	5	3	2	12:10	+2	18
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10:8	+2	14
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16:11	+5	13
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17:16	+1	13
7	Celje	9	3	3	3	11:11	0	12
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10:21	-11	9
10	Radomlje	9	1	2	6	9:18	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.51X22%4.15218%4.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.51 +3.4%X4.34 → 4.15 -4.4%25.36 → 4.95 -7.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.54	2.49	5.1%
Betano	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
BetVictor	1.51	2.33	9.1%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.54	2.55	4.2%
Average	1.50	2.41	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.65	2.12	7.8%
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.56	2.25	8.5%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.21	9.4%
Best of all books	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Average	1.59	2.22	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Celje 35%Draw 35%Aluminij 30%

The statistical model rates Celje at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Aluminij at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.15 | 4.95, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Celje win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1. SNL table: Celje are 7th (12 pts, 11-11 goals), Aluminij 5th (13 pts, 16-11).

Over their last five matches, Celje averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Aluminij averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Celje or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.52	4.18	4.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.30	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
2.00	2.48	4.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	17.9	2.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.4
1.5	1.14	4.90
2.5	1.50	2.41
3.5	2.26	1.58
4.5	3.92	1.21
5.5	7.05	1.06
6.5	10.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	12.0
1.25	1.06	6.30
1.75	1.14	4.45
2	1.17	3.98
2.25	1.32	2.88
2.75	1.62	2.15
3	1.80	1.92
3.25	2.02	1.70
3.75	2.53	1.42
4	3.14	1.27
4.25	3.43	1.23
4.75	4.65	1.12
5	6.25	1.06
5.25	6.60	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.77	1.39
-1.5	2.35	1.53
-1.25	2.12	1.64
-1	1.86	1.88
-0.75	1.65	2.11
-0.5	1.52	2.43

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.40	1.01
-3	7.70	1.02
-2.75	5.43	1.11
-2.5	4.25	1.17
-2.25	3.89	1.20
-2	3.53	1.26
-0.25	1.37	2.87
0	1.21	3.97
+0.25	1.16	4.35
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	6.40
+1	1.02	9.20
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.64
7.5	1.17	3.96
8.5	1.36	2.73
9.5	1.70	2.04
10.5	2.08	1.66
11.5	2.68	1.38
12.5	3.64	1.20
13.5	5.33	1.07

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.03	6.38
7	1.04	6.11
7.25	1.10	4.79
7.75	1.18	3.82
8	1.20	3.62
8.25	1.28	3.10
8.75	1.41	2.60
9	1.48	2.47
9.25	1.56	2.24
9.75	1.74	1.97
10	1.87	1.87
10.25	1.95	1.76
10.75	2.20	1.59
11	2.44	1.49
11.25	2.52	1.44
11.75	2.93	1.32
12	3.32	1.24
12.25	3.48	1.22
12.75	4.16	1.14
13	4.95	1.09
13.25	5.14	1.08
13.75	5.89	1.05
14	7.28	1.01