Maribor vs 
Aluminij• 1. SNL, Slovenia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 1.38 | 4.54 | 6.39. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:02 UTC
Maribor
5W 5D 0L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against
| 11 Oct | A | Brinje-Grosuplje | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | HNK Gorica | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Aluminij | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Radomlje | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Mura | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Nafta | 3-2 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Bravo | 3-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | Koper | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | Celje | 1-1 | D |
Aluminij
3W 4D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against
| 10 Oct | A | Celje | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Oct | H | NK Varazdin | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Maribor | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Mura | 6-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Bravo | 0-0 | D |
| 2 Sep | H | Celje | 0-2 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Koper | 0-1 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Brinje-Grosuplje | 4-2 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Radomlje | 3-1 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | Nafta | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
27 meetings · goals 60:23 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Maribor
| 19 Jul 20261. SNL | 1. SNL | Aluminij0-0Maribor |
| 23 May 20261. SNL | 1. SNL | Maribor3-0Aluminij |
| 20 Mar 20261. SNL | 1. SNL | Aluminij1-1Maribor |
| 6 Dec 20251. SNL | 1. SNL | Maribor2-3Aluminij |
| 19 Sep 20251. SNL | 1. SNL | Aluminij2-3Maribor |
| 4 Mar 2025Cup | Cup | Maribor2-0Aluminij |
| 5 Apr 20241. SNL | 1. SNL | Aluminij0-2Maribor |
| 11 Feb 20241. SNL | 1. SNL | Maribor7-0Aluminij |
| 1 Oct 20231. SNL | 1. SNL | Aluminij1-0Maribor |
| 30 Jul 20231. SNL | 1. SNL | Maribor1-0Aluminij |
1. SNL table1. SNLupdated 16 Oct 19:40 UTC
In the 1. SNL table, Maribor sit 1st with 23 points from 11 games, while Aluminij are 7th with 13 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21:9 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 | Koper | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:11 | +3 | 19 |
| 3 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 18 |
| 4 | Bravo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 18 |
| 5 | Nafta | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 | Celje | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 | Aluminij | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Mura | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 |
| 10 | Radomlje | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.1% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Maribor at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aluminij at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.54 | 6.39, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Maribor win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. SNL table: Maribor are 1st (23 pts, 21-9 goals), Aluminij 7th (13 pts, 16-13).
Over their last five matches, Maribor averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Aluminij averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Maribor or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.