OddsFilter

Sunderland vs Brighton• Premier League, England

#161.2:2.00-2FTToday · Stadium of Light, Sunderland3.2:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20BFRX3.581XB22.381XBMargin at best1.2%Books10Markets89Rating24 · 76Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:40 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.163.582.381.6%
Pinnacle3.203.452.352.8%
Dafabet3.103.502.343.6%
Betfair3.203.402.304.1%
Marathonbet3.083.482.324.3%
Betano3.053.452.324.9%
BetVictor3.003.502.305.4%
Bet3653.103.402.256.1%
William Hill3.003.302.258.1%
SBO2.893.212.2610.0%
Best of all books3.203.582.381.2%
Average3.083.432.315.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SunderlandBrighton
Last 10#16Table position#30.67Points per game2.177Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 53.22.0Goals against · last 51.027Attack rating7333Defence rating6729Form rating7113H2H rating8818Goals model8224Overall rating76

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:05 UTC

Sunderland

6W 1D 3L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

20 SepAManchester City3-5L
16 SepHAZ Alkmaar1-0W
12 SepHArsenal0-2L
8 SepHHull City1-0W
5 SepABrentford1-1D
30 AugHFulham1-0W
22 AugAIpswich1-2L
15 AugHRennes2-1W
8 AugALens2-0W
2 AugAWrexham1-0W

Brighton

7W 2D 1L · goals 27:7 · per match 2.7 for, 0.7 against

19 SepHArsenal3-0W
16 SepAManchester United3-2W
13 SepACoventry5-0W
5 SepHLeeds1-1D
30 AugAChelsea3-4L
27 AugHTromso4-0W
23 AugHAston Villa4-0W
20 AugATromso0-0D
15 AugHBologna1-0W
8 AugHAS Roma3-0W

Head to head

0Sunderland wins
1draws
2Brighton wins

3 meetings · goals 0:2 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for Sunderland

14 Mar 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSunderland0-1Brighton
20 Dec 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton0-0Sunderland
23 Aug 2011League CupLeague CupBrighton1-0Sunderland

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 10 Oct 20:02 UTC

In the Premier League table, Sunderland sit 16th with 4 points from 6 games, while Brighton are 3rd with 13 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City550013:5+815
2Arsenal650110:5+515
3Brighton641118:5+1313
4Brentford624012:6+610
5Chelsea631215:13+210
6Leeds62318:5+39
7Liverpool52307:4+39
8Everton52306:3+39
9Ipswich63039:12-39
10Hull City52216:4+28
11Newcastle52219:908
12Manchester United61329:906
13Nottingham Forest51224:5-15
14Aston Villa61236:11-55
15Crystal Palace51136:11-54
16Sunderland61146:12-64
17Bournemouth60337:13-63
18Tottenham60333:9-63
19Coventry51041:10-93
20Fulham60246:10-42

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%3.00X28%3.35240%2.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 12:311 3.08X 3.432 2.31
12.92 → 3.08 +5.5%X3.40 → 3.43 +0.9%22.37 → 2.31 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.872.081.6%
Pinnacle1.882.022.7%
SBO1.882.003.2%
Betano1.852.004.1%
Marathonbet1.812.024.8%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.801.956.8%
BetVictor1.771.918.9%
Best of all books1.882.081.3%
Average1.832.004.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.622.305.2%
William Hill1.672.156.4%
Betano1.652.157.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.612.207.6%
Marathonbet1.612.178.2%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Best of all books1.672.303.4%
Average1.642.177.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sunderland 0%Draw 50%Brighton 50%

The statistical model rated Sunderland at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Brighton at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.39, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Sunderland are 16th (4 pts, 6-12 goals), Brighton 3rd (13 pts, 18-5).

Over their last five matches, Sunderland averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Brighton averaged 3.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Brighton.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Le Bris

Goalkeeper

  • 22R. Roefs

Defence

  • 32T. Hume
  • 20N. Mukiele
  • 4K. Danso
  • 17Reinildo

Midfield

  • 34G. Xhaka
  • 27N. Sadiki
  • 12T. Meunier
  • 28E. Le Fée
  • 10N. Angulo

Attack

  • 18W. Isidor
Substitutes (9)
  • 15O. Alderete
  • 50J. Angulo
  • 37J. Bi
  • 31M. Ellborg
  • 39M. Fofana
  • 6D. Methalie
  • 13L. O'Nien
  • 11C. Rigg
  • 7C. Talbi

Brighton

4-2-3-1

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Goalkeeper

  • 1B. Verbruggen

Defence

  • 24F. Kadıoğlu
  • 44L. Vušković
  • 4P. Struijk
  • 21O. Boscagli

Midfield

  • 14José María Andrés Baixauli
  • 13P. Groß
  • 25D. Gómez
  • 26Y. Ayari
  • 29M. De Cuyper

Attack

  • 19C. Kostoulas
Substitutes (9)
  • 23J. Steele
  • 10G. Rutter
  • 15I. Osman
  • 33M. O'Riley
  • 20Costinha
  • 3J. Hadjam
  • 5L. Dunk
  • 12P. David
  • 35M. Yalcouyé

Match Statistics

SunderlandBrighton
0.68Expected Goals1.14
387Passes accurate206
4Shots insidebox6
8Shots outsidebox7
7Blocked Shots2
11Free Kicks8
3Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
2Shots off Goal7
5Offsides0
496Total passes305
12Total Shots13
7Corner Kicks5
0Red Cards1
0Yellow Cards1
8Fouls12
62%Ball Possession38%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.083.432.31

Double chance

1XX212
1.611.361.29

Draw no bet

12
2.201.64

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.17

1st half

1X2
3.552.202.87

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1312.41.82

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.6
1.51.243.88
2.51.832.00
3.53.031.37
4.55.631.12
5.510.61.04
6.519.71.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.019.38
11.019.00
1.251.125.12
1.751.303.31
21.382.95
2.251.612.33
2.752.031.80
32.361.58
3.252.621.44
3.753.411.25
44.501.14
4.254.801.11
59.10–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.001.39
-0.252.631.50
02.231.67
+0.251.851.96
+0.51.642.27
+0.751.452.67
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.758.001.03
-1.56.211.09
-1.255.781.11
-15.331.13
-0.753.751.26
+11.293.51
+1.251.233.94
+1.51.184.31
+1.751.115.50
+21.027.90
+2.51.028.97

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.087.00
2.51.233.90
3.51.562.40
4.52.131.69
5.52.821.40
6.54.101.21
7.56.001.11
8.58.501.05
9.510.81.03
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.303.34
41.881.93
52.971.37

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0112.5
4.51.0211.5
5.51.047.57
6.51.144.58
7.51.293.12
8.51.552.29
9.51.961.79
10.52.491.47
11.53.371.25
12.54.771.13
13.56.511.06
14.510.01.02
15.514.11.02
16.512.51.01
17.515.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.37
71.143.82
7.751.283.02
81.332.80
8.251.402.50
8.751.582.17
91.742.06
9.251.821.92
9.752.021.67
102.171.64
10.252.281.49
10.752.641.37
112.751.34
11.253.061.24
123.551.17
134.671.08