OddsFilter

Liverpool vs Manchester City• Premier League, England

#71.4:0.815:30Tomorrow · Anfield, Liverpool2.6:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.00B365X3.861XB22.361XBMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets91Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 21:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.043.802.361.6%
Marathonbet3.003.742.323.2%
Pinnacle3.013.832.273.4%
Dafabet2.953.702.343.7%
Betano3.003.652.274.8%
Bet3653.003.602.255.6%
Betfair2.903.902.205.6%
BetVictor2.903.752.255.6%
William Hill2.903.502.257.5%
SBO2.713.302.1813.1%
Best of all books3.043.902.360.9%
Average2.943.682.275.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LiverpoolManchester City
Last 10#7Table position#11.80Points per game3.0013Form pts · last 5151.4Goals for · last 52.60.8Goals against · last 51.035Attack rating6556Defence rating4438Form rating6340H2H rating6015Goals model8537Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:32 UTC

Liverpool

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

20 SepABournemouth1-0W
15 SepHTottenham3-1W
12 SepHFulham0-0D
9 SepHAtletico Madrid2-1W
4 SepAIpswich2-0W
29 AugHNottingham Forest2-2D
23 AugANewcastle2-2D
16 AugHComo0-0D
9 AugHMonaco2-3L
2 AugHLeeds2-4L

Manchester City

9W 0D 1L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against

20 SepHSunderland5-3W
17 SepHNorwich5-0W
13 SepAManchester United1-0W
8 SepAFC Porto2-0W
5 SepHCoventry1-0W
28 AugACrystal Palace4-1W
23 AugHBournemouth2-1W
16 AugAArsenal0-3L
9 AugHAtletico Madrid3-1W
5 AugAK-League Stars3-1W

Head to head

17Liverpool wins
13draws
13Manchester City wins

43 meetings · goals 68:73 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Liverpool

4 Apr 2026FA CupFA CupManchester City4-0Liverpool
8 Feb 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLiverpool1-2Manchester City
9 Nov 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City3-0Liverpool
23 Feb 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City0-2Liverpool
1 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLiverpool2-0Manchester City
10 Mar 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLiverpool1-1Manchester City
25 Nov 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City1-1Liverpool
1 Apr 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City4-1Liverpool
22 Dec 2022League CupLeague CupManchester City3-2Liverpool
16 Oct 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLiverpool1-0Manchester City

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 10 Oct 20:02 UTC

In the Premier League table, Liverpool sit 7th with 9 points from 5 games, while Manchester City are 1st with 15 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City550013:5+815
2Arsenal650110:5+515
3Brighton641118:5+1313
4Brentford624012:6+610
5Chelsea631215:13+210
6Leeds62318:5+39
7Liverpool52307:4+39
8Everton52306:3+39
9Ipswich63039:12-39
10Hull City52216:4+28
11Newcastle52219:908
12Manchester United61329:906
13Nottingham Forest51224:5-15
14Aston Villa61236:11-55
15Crystal Palace51136:11-54
16Sunderland61146:12-64
17Bournemouth60337:13-63
18Tottenham60333:9-63
19Coventry51041:10-93
20Fulham60246:10-42

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.91X26%3.70242%2.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:029 Oct 18:401 2.91X 3.702 2.27
12.55 → 2.91 +14.1%X3.62 → 3.70 +2.2%22.55 → 2.27 -11.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.672.411.4%
Pinnacle1.632.363.7%
Betano1.622.373.9%
Bet3651.622.305.2%
Betfair1.572.307.2%
Marathonbet1.562.258.5%
BetVictor1.562.229.1%
Best of all books1.672.411.4%
Average1.602.325.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.502.605.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.502.477.2%
1xBet1.492.487.4%
Marathonbet1.492.448.1%
BetVictor1.472.458.8%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.502.605.1%
Average1.482.497.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Liverpool 10%Draw 45%Manchester City 45%

The statistical model rates Liverpool at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Manchester City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.91 | 3.70 | 2.27, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Liverpool are 7th (9 pts, 7-4 goals), Manchester City 1st (15 pts, 13-5).

Over their last five matches, Liverpool averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Manchester City averaged 2.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Manchester City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.943.682.27

Double chance

1XX212
1.631.381.27

Draw no bet

12
2.171.65

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.482.49

1st half

1X2
3.342.352.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0815.61.82

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0314.1
1.51.164.71
2.51.602.32
3.52.471.54
4.54.361.20
5.58.151.05
6.515.51.02
7.524.81.01
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0512.0
1.251.086.32
1.751.183.96
21.243.65
2.251.442.76
2.751.722.07
31.951.84
3.252.221.67
3.752.841.40
43.671.27
4.253.841.21
4.755.041.12
56.751.05
5.256.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.921.40
-0.252.541.52
02.201.69
+0.251.851.95
+0.51.672.21
+0.751.472.58
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.51.02
-1.756.861.07
-1.55.701.11
-1.255.271.14
-14.781.17
-0.753.471.28
+11.313.32
+1.251.263.66
+1.51.203.99
+1.751.135.04
+21.046.95
+2.51.047.83
+3.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.068.00
2.51.184.45
3.51.352.95
4.51.771.99
5.52.451.48
6.53.601.26
7.55.201.14
8.57.401.07
9.59.751.03
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.452.70
52.101.71

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.5
4.51.0214.1
5.51.058.50
6.51.085.82
7.51.203.82
8.51.392.71
9.51.682.07
10.52.131.66
11.52.781.38
12.53.681.21
13.55.291.11
14.56.931.06
15.510.41.02
16.511.51.02
17.513.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.084.67
81.203.32
8.751.362.64
91.452.51
9.251.522.30
9.751.732.04
101.921.88
10.251.911.76
10.752.131.56
112.321.53
11.252.481.41
11.752.781.28
122.851.27
12.253.321.19
133.771.15
144.871.07