Coventry vs Newcastle• Premier League, England

#190.2:2.019:0012/10 · Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry1.8:1.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50PINX3.751XB22.181XBMargin at best1.1%Books10Markets90Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 17:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.45	3.75	2.18	1.5%
Pinnacle	3.29	3.61	2.21	3.3%
Dafabet	3.20	3.65	2.20	4.1%
Marathonbet	3.36	3.65	2.12	4.3%
Betfair	3.25	3.50	2.20	4.8%
Betano	3.35	3.55	2.12	5.2%
Bet365	3.20	3.60	2.15	5.5%
William Hill	3.30	3.50	2.10	6.5%
BetVictor	3.13	3.60	2.10	7.3%
SBO	2.88	3.23	2.11	13.1%
Best of all books	3.45	3.75	2.21	0.9%
Average	3.24	3.56	2.15	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CoventryNewcastle

Last 10#19Table position#110.60Points per game1.603Form pts · last 5100.2Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.810Attack rating9047Defence rating5327Form rating730H2H rating00Goals model10028Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 18:51 UTC

Coventry

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

19 Sep	A	Nottingham Forest	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Aston Villa	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Brighton	0-5	L
5 Sep	A	Manchester City	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Hull City	0-1	L
25 Aug	A	Plymouth	4-2	W
21 Aug	A	Arsenal	0-3	L
14 Aug	H	Monaco	2-0	W
8 Aug	H	Espanyol	3-1	W
18 Jul	A	Northampton	0-0	D

Newcastle

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

19 Sep	H	Hull City	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Leeds	1-4	L
8 Sep	A	Millwall	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Bournemouth	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Tottenham	2-0	W
26 Aug	H	West Brom	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Liverpool	2-2	D
16 Aug	H	Strasbourg	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Bayer Leverkusen	1-2	L
12 Aug	H	Everton	1-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Coventry and Newcastle on record.

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 10 Oct 20:02 UTC

In the Premier League table, Coventry sit 19th with 3 points from 5 games, while Newcastle are 11th with 8 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13:5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	10:5	+5	15
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	18:5	+13	13
4	Brentford	6	2	4	0	12:6	+6	10
5	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	15:13	+2	10
6	Leeds	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
7	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7:4	+3	9
8	Everton	5	2	3	0	6:3	+3	9
9	Ipswich	6	3	0	3	9:12	-3	9
10	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
11	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9:9	0	8
12	Manchester United	6	1	3	2	9:9	0	6
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
14	Aston Villa	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4
16	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4
17	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7:13	-6	3
18	Tottenham	6	0	3	3	3:9	-6	3
19	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1:10	-9	3
20	Fulham	6	0	2	4	6:10	-4	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.29X26%3.58245%2.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.72	2.30	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.71	2.23	3.3%
Betano	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.23	4.7%
SBO	1.68	2.21	4.8%
Bet365	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Best of all books	1.72	2.30	1.6%
Average	1.67	2.21	5.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Betano	1.55	2.37	6.7%
William Hill	1.60	2.25	6.9%
1xBet	1.54	2.35	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.32	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.55	1.7%
Average	1.55	2.34	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Coventry 10%Draw 45%Newcastle 45%

The statistical model rates Coventry at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Newcastle at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.29 | 3.58 | 2.11, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Coventry are 19th (3 pts, 1-10 goals), Newcastle 11th (8 pts, 9-9).

Over their last five matches, Coventry averaged 0.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Newcastle averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Newcastle.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.24	3.56	2.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.71	1.33	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.31	1.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
3.64	2.29	2.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.17	15.0	1.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.9
1.5	1.19	4.38
2.5	1.67	2.22
3.5	2.59	1.47
4.5	4.66	1.16
5.5	8.68	1.04
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.0
1.25	1.09	5.87
1.75	1.23	3.93
2	1.29	3.38
2.25	1.50	2.61
2.75	1.84	1.98
3	2.07	1.74
3.25	2.30	1.57
3.75	3.05	1.33
4	3.78	1.20
4.25	4.10	1.16
4.75	5.50	1.08
5	7.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.79	1.44
0	2.40	1.59
+0.25	1.96	1.85
+0.5	1.73	2.12
+0.75	1.53	2.43
+1	1.35	3.07

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.3	1.02
-2	13.5	1.02
-1.75	8.73	1.02
-1.5	6.38	1.09
-1.25	6.14	1.10
-1	5.78	1.11
-0.75	3.94	1.24
-0.5	3.15	1.35
+1.25	1.29	3.42
+1.5	1.22	3.78
+1.75	1.15	4.72
+2	1.07	6.67
+2.25	1.10	7.00
+2.5	1.04	7.63
+3	1.01	15.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.31	3.25
3	1.32	3.17
3.5	1.63	2.20
4	1.97	1.84
4.5	2.26	1.60
5	3.05	1.35
5.5	3.40	1.29
6.5	5.10	1.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.02	10.8
5.5	1.05	7.23
6.5	1.12	4.86
7.5	1.26	3.31
8.5	1.50	2.40
9.5	1.87	1.87
10.5	2.41	1.51
11.5	3.25	1.28
12.5	4.48	1.15
13.5	6.12	1.08
14.5	8.29	1.03
15.5	13.8	1.02
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	14.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.62
7	1.12	4.07
7.75	1.23	3.12
8	1.27	2.87
8.25	1.35	2.68
8.75	1.52	2.30
9	1.61	2.21
9.25	1.74	2.02
9.75	1.96	1.79
10	2.05	1.71
10.25	2.16	1.55
10.75	2.51	1.41
11	2.57	1.39
11.25	2.90	1.30
12	3.32	1.20
13	4.37	1.10
14	5.55	1.05