OddsFilter

Chelsea vs Bournemouth• Premier League, England

#52.0:2.45-1FTToday · Stamford Bridge, London1.2:1.6#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.871XBX4.05BTN24.321XBMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets98Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:40 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.874.024.321.5%
Betano1.874.054.152.3%
Marathonbet1.843.964.253.1%
Pinnacle1.853.944.193.3%
Dafabet1.844.004.103.7%
Betfair1.803.904.205.0%
BetVictor1.804.004.005.6%
Bet3651.803.904.105.6%
William Hill1.803.804.006.9%
SBO1.803.643.769.6%
Best of all books1.874.054.321.3%
Average1.833.924.114.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChelseaBournemouth
Last 10#5Table position#171.67Points per game0.507Form pts · last 582.0Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 51.663Attack rating3840Defence rating6070Form rating3075H2H rating2558Goals model4261Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:04 UTC

Chelsea

6W 2D 2L · goals 27:19 · per match 2.7 for, 1.9 against

18 SepABrentford0-3L
12 SepHHull City2-2D
9 SepHLeeds6-3W
6 SepAArsenal1-2L
30 AugHBrighton4-3W
27 AugHLuton2-0W
24 AugAFulham3-2W
15 AugHReal Sociedad3-1W
9 AugAJohor Darul Takzim FC3-3D
8 AugHAC Milan3-0W

Bournemouth

3W 4D 3L · goals 25:14 · per match 2.5 for, 1.4 against

20 SepHLiverpool0-1L
17 SepAReal Sociedad2-1W
12 SepHBrentford2-2D
8 SepHLincoln4-0W
5 SepANewcastle2-2D
29 AugHEverton1-1D
23 AugAManchester City1-2L
15 AugAFSV Mainz 051-2L
8 AugAReal Betis2-2D
4 AugHGenoa10-1W

Head to head

12Chelsea wins
5draws
4Bournemouth wins

21 meetings · goals 32:21 · last 10: 5W 5D 0L for Chelsea

30 Dec 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueChelsea2-2Bournemouth
6 Dec 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth0-0Chelsea
14 Jan 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueChelsea2-2Bournemouth
14 Sep 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth0-1Chelsea
19 May 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueChelsea2-1Bournemouth
17 Sep 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth0-0Chelsea
6 May 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth1-3Chelsea
27 Dec 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueChelsea2-0Bournemouth
27 Jul 2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBournemouth1-2Chelsea
29 Feb 2020Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth2-2Chelsea

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 10 Oct 20:02 UTC

In the Premier League table, Chelsea sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games, while Bournemouth are 17th with 3 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City550013:5+815
2Arsenal650110:5+515
3Brighton641118:5+1313
4Brentford624012:6+610
5Chelsea631215:13+210
6Leeds62318:5+39
7Liverpool52307:4+39
8Everton52306:3+39
9Ipswich63039:12-39
10Hull City52216:4+28
11Newcastle52219:908
12Manchester United61329:906
13Nottingham Forest51224:5-15
14Aston Villa61236:11-55
15Crystal Palace51136:11-54
16Sunderland61146:12-64
17Bournemouth60337:13-63
18Tottenham60333:9-63
19Coventry51041:10-93
20Fulham60246:10-42

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.82X24%3.93223%4.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 12:311 1.83X 3.922 4.11
11.71 → 1.83 +7.0%X4.04 → 3.92 -3.0%24.36 → 4.11 -5.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.652.441.6%
Pinnacle1.592.453.7%
Betano1.602.423.8%
Bet3651.572.385.7%
Betfair1.532.387.4%
Marathonbet1.562.307.6%
BetVictor1.542.269.2%
Best of all books1.652.451.4%
Average1.582.385.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.505.4%
Betano1.532.407.0%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
William Hill1.502.457.5%
1xBet1.532.377.6%
Marathonbet1.532.348.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Best of all books1.532.505.4%
Average1.522.417.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chelsea 45%Draw 45%Bournemouth 10%

The statistical model rated Chelsea at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bournemouth at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.93 | 4.13, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Chelsea win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Chelsea are 5th (10 pts, 15-13 goals), Bournemouth 17th (3 pts, 7-13).

Over their last five matches, Chelsea averaged 2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Bournemouth averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Chelsea or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Chelsea

3-4-3

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Goalkeeper

  • 1E. Martínez

Defence

  • 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
  • 5M. Lacroix
  • 6L. Colwill

Midfield

  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 14J. Henderson
  • 25M. Caicedo
  • 29Pep Chavarría

Attack

  • 10C. Palmer
  • 9João Pedro
  • 17M. Rogers
Substitutes (9)
  • 41Estêvão
  • 3W. Fofana
  • 27M. Gusto
  • 21J. Hato
  • 45R. Lavia
  • 2M. Palestra
  • 39M. Penders
  • 18D. Welbeck
  • 23Geovany Tcherno Quenda

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Rose

Goalkeeper

  • 1Đ. Petrović

Defence

  • 15A. Smith
  • 5J. Hill
  • 14António Silva
  • 3A. Truffert

Midfield

  • 12T. Adams
  • 10R. Christie
  • 37Rayan
  • 16M. Tavernier
  • 7D. Brooks

Attack

  • 9Evanilson
Substitutes (9)
  • 24Juanlu Sánchez
  • 6J. Soler
  • 30Á. Rodríguez
  • 29D. Jebbison
  • 11B. Doak
  • 18B. Diakité
  • 20M. Di Gregorio
  • 4L. Cook
  • 27A. Tóth

Match Statistics

ChelseaBournemouth
1.16Expected Goals1.52
400Passes accurate386
7Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox3
2Blocked Shots2
15Free Kicks7
6Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves1
2Shots off Goal3
1Offsides0
476Total passes459
10Total Shots9
1Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards4
7Fouls15
0Red Cards0
40%Ball Possession60%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.833.924.11

Double chance

1XX212
1.231.991.24

Draw no bet

12
1.353.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.41

1st half

1X2
2.282.424.22

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6116.62.40

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0315.3
1.51.164.84
2.51.582.38
3.52.401.57
4.54.201.22
5.57.871.06
6.513.71.03
7.524.81.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0412.5
1.751.184.16
21.233.85
2.251.422.85
2.751.702.13
31.911.89
3.252.171.71
3.752.751.43
43.321.32
4.253.731.26
4.754.981.13
56.601.07
5.256.781.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.011.36
-1.252.701.46
-12.401.58
-0.752.011.81
-0.51.792.04
-0.251.592.38
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.41.02
-2.756.751.07
-2.55.641.11
-2.255.161.14
-24.751.16
-1.753.631.28
01.373.10
+0.251.293.47
+0.51.234.00
+0.751.145.06
+11.057.10
+1.51.047.90

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.5
1.51.096.50
2.51.273.55
3.51.582.32
4.52.121.68
5.53.201.32
6.54.751.16
7.57.001.08
8.59.501.04
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.283.50
41.861.94
52.841.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0112.5
5.51.0210.4
6.51.066.64
7.51.154.50
8.51.293.12
9.51.522.36
10.51.881.87
11.52.381.52
12.53.161.30
13.54.231.17
14.55.821.09
15.58.401.05
16.59.751.03
17.511.51.02
18.513.01.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.065.25
81.143.80
8.751.252.97
91.302.73
9.251.382.57
9.751.542.25
101.642.17
10.251.762.00
10.751.931.74
112.081.69
11.252.171.54
11.752.481.42
122.571.39
12.252.911.31
133.271.21
144.271.11
155.391.05