OddsFilter

Aston Villa vs Brentford• Premier League, England

#140.8:1.82-2FTToday · Villa Park, Birmingham2.0:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90PINX3.621XB22.581XBMargin at best0.9%Books10Markets89Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:40 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.853.622.581.5%
Pinnacle2.903.572.482.8%
Dafabet2.753.602.504.1%
Marathonbet2.773.522.514.4%
Bet3652.883.502.405.0%
Betano2.753.552.475.0%
Betfair2.803.502.455.1%
BetVictor2.753.602.405.8%
William Hill2.703.402.457.3%
SBO2.593.282.4410.1%
Best of all books2.903.622.580.9%
Average2.773.512.475.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aston VillaBrentford
Last 10#14Table position#40.83Points per game1.6712Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 50.829Attack rating7131Defence rating6931Form rating6940H2H rating6022Goals model7834Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:04 UTC

Aston Villa

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

2 OctASevilla3-1W
19 SepATottenham3-2W
16 SepACoventry3-1W
12 SepHNottingham Forest1-2L
8 SepAClub Brugge KV3-2W
5 SepAHull City0-0D
31 AugHArsenal0-1L
23 AugABrighton0-4L
15 AugABorussia Mönchengladbach1-2L
12 AugAParis Saint Germain1-2L

Brentford

6W 4D 0L · goals 30:9 · per match 3.0 for, 0.9 against

18 SepHChelsea3-0W
15 SepAReading2-1W
12 SepABournemouth2-2D
5 SepHSunderland1-1D
30 AugALeeds1-1D
25 AugABirmingham6-1W
22 AugHTottenham3-0W
15 AugHEintracht Frankfurt7-0W
8 AugARennes4-2W
24 MayALiverpool1-1D

Head to head

4Aston Villa wins
8draws
6Brentford wins

18 meetings · goals 24:24 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Aston Villa

1 Feb 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa0-1Brentford
16 Sep 2025League CupLeague CupBrentford1-1Aston Villa
23 Aug 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrentford1-0Aston Villa
8 Mar 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrentford0-1Aston Villa
4 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa3-1Brentford
6 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa3-3Brentford
17 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrentford1-2Aston Villa
30 Jul 2023Premier League - Summer SeriesPremier League - Summer SeriesAston Villa3-3Brentford
22 Apr 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrentford1-1Aston Villa
23 Oct 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa4-0Brentford

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 10 Oct 20:02 UTC

In the Premier League table, Aston Villa sit 14th with 5 points from 6 games, while Brentford are 4th with 10 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City550013:5+815
2Arsenal650110:5+515
3Brighton641118:5+1313
4Brentford624012:6+610
5Chelsea631215:13+210
6Leeds62318:5+39
7Liverpool52307:4+39
8Everton52306:3+39
9Ipswich63039:12-39
10Hull City52216:4+28
11Newcastle52219:908
12Manchester United61329:906
13Nottingham Forest51224:5-15
14Aston Villa61236:11-55
15Crystal Palace51136:11-54
16Sunderland61146:12-64
17Bournemouth60337:13-63
18Tottenham60333:9-63
19Coventry51041:10-93
20Fulham60246:10-42

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.62X27%3.56237%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 12:311 2.77X 3.512 2.47
12.63 → 2.77 +5.3%X3.48 → 3.51 +0.9%22.53 → 2.47 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.722.311.4%
Pinnacle1.692.292.8%
Betano1.702.223.9%
SBO1.692.234.0%
Marathonbet1.672.244.5%
Bet3651.672.205.3%
Betfair1.602.256.9%
BetVictor1.622.128.9%
Best of all books1.722.311.4%
Average1.672.234.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.502.605.1%
Betano1.552.357.1%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
1xBet1.522.407.5%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
Marathonbet1.522.368.2%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Best of all books1.552.603.0%
Average1.522.407.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aston Villa 10%Draw 45%Brentford 45%

The statistical model rated Aston Villa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brentford at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.56 | 2.58, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Aston Villa are 14th (5 pts, 6-11 goals), Brentford 4th (10 pts, 12-6).

Over their last five matches, Aston Villa averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Brentford averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Brentford.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1

Coach: Unai Emery

Goalkeeper

  • 1Z. Suzuki

Defence

  • 2M. Cash
  • 3V. Lindelöf
  • 5T. Mings
  • 13M. Ruggeri

Midfield

  • 8B. Kamara
  • 35João Gomes
  • 7J. McGinn
  • 10E. Buendía
  • 44J. Manzambi

Attack

  • 11N. Jackson
Substitutes (9)
  • 18T. Abraham
  • 6R. Barkley
  • 40M. Bizot
  • 26L. Bogarde
  • 14Pau Torres
  • 17A. Garnacho
  • 19I. Mbaye
  • 29A. Wan-Bissaka
  • 47Alysson Edward

Brentford

4-2-3-1

Coach: Keith Andrews

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Kelleher

Defence

  • 33M. Kayode
  • 20K. Ajer
  • 44Jannik Schuster
  • 25E. Diouf

Midfield

  • 6Y. Yarmolyuk
  • 27V. Janelt
  • 19J. Anthony
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter
  • 7K. Schade

Attack

  • 9Thiago
Substitutes (9)
  • 13C. Wilson
  • 12H. Valdimarsson
  • 18M. Sangaré
  • 11D. Ouattara
  • 8M. Jensen
  • 2A. Hickey
  • 14Fábio Carvalho
  • 48B. Fredrick
  • 4S. van den Berg

Match Statistics

Aston VillaBrentford
1.84Expected Goals1.31
321Passes accurate284
15Shots insidebox12
5Shots outsidebox2
7Blocked Shots3
23Free Kicks7
7Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves5
6Shots off Goal7
1Offsides1
407Total passes358
20Total Shots14
2Yellow Cards5
2Corner Kicks2
7Fouls24
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.773.512.47

Double chance

1XX212
1.541.431.29

Draw no bet

12
2.001.78

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.40

1st half

1X2
3.222.292.95

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0113.81.87

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.8
1.51.194.44
2.51.672.23
3.52.581.47
4.54.621.17
5.58.991.04
6.517.21.02
7.537.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–10.5
1.251.095.87
1.751.233.99
21.293.42
2.251.492.65
2.751.832.00
32.061.75
3.252.301.58
3.752.991.35
43.661.21
4.254.061.17
4.755.451.08
57.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.721.46
-0.252.391.59
02.041.81
+0.251.732.09
+0.51.572.41
+0.751.392.85
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.41.02
-29.751.01
-1.756.781.07
-1.55.321.13
-1.254.871.15
-14.541.19
-0.753.301.31
+11.253.78
+1.251.194.17
+1.51.164.65
+1.751.095.82
+21.018.40
+2.51.049.23

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.5
1.51.135.30
2.51.372.92
3.51.791.97
4.52.571.49
5.53.901.23
6.55.901.11
7.58.501.05
8.511.01.02
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.402.85
42.121.74
53.491.28

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0114.0
4.51.0214.3
5.51.048.88
6.51.095.77
7.51.203.79
8.51.382.72
9.51.702.05
10.52.151.64
11.52.791.37
12.53.711.21
13.55.311.11
14.57.041.05
15.510.01.02
16.511.01.02
17.512.51.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.094.50
81.223.17
8.751.422.48
91.512.39
9.251.582.15
9.751.811.93
101.911.89
10.252.011.68
10.752.281.49
112.441.48
11.252.621.37
11.753.021.24
122.971.25
12.253.591.16
133.951.13
145.071.06