OddsFilter

Arsenal vs Leeds• Premier League, England

#21.6:0.82-1FTToday · Emirates Stadium, London1.4:0.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.481XBX4.90DAF28.50B365Margin5.0%Books10Markets100Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.484.727.801.6%
Pinnacle1.424.718.183.9%
Dafabet1.414.907.804.2%
Betfair1.404.758.504.2%
Marathonbet1.444.607.604.3%
Betano1.444.407.904.8%
Bet3651.384.758.505.3%
BetVictor1.404.608.005.7%
William Hill1.444.337.006.8%
SBO1.364.337.539.9%
Best of all books1.484.908.50-0.3%
Average1.424.617.885.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArsenalLeeds
Last 10#2Table position#62.50Points per game1.5012Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 50.653Attack rating4743Defence rating5757Form rating43100H2H rating068Goals model3262Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:11 UTC

Arsenal

8W 1D 1L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

10 OctHLeeds2-1W
19 SepABrighton0-3L
15 SepAIpswich4-2W
12 SepASunderland2-0W
9 SepANapoli1-0W
6 SepHChelsea2-1W
31 AugAAston Villa1-0W
21 AugHCoventry3-0W
16 AugHManchester City3-0W
12 AugHComo1-1D

Leeds

5W 4D 1L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

20 SepHCrystal Palace0-0D
14 SepHNewcastle4-1W
9 SepAChelsea3-6L
5 SepABrighton1-1D
30 AugHBrentford1-1D
25 AugANottingham Forest2-0W
22 AugANottingham Forest1-0W
15 AugHFC Augsburg4-0W
12 AugAManchester United1-1D
8 AugHRB Leipzig2-0W

Head to head

10Arsenal wins
1draws
0Leeds wins

11 meetings · goals 28:5 · last 10: 9W 1D 0L for Arsenal

31 Jan 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLeeds0-4Arsenal
23 Aug 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal5-0Leeds
1 Apr 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal4-1Leeds
16 Oct 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLeeds0-1Arsenal
8 May 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal2-1Leeds
18 Dec 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLeeds1-4Arsenal
26 Oct 2021League CupLeague CupArsenal2-0Leeds
14 Feb 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal4-2Leeds
22 Nov 2020Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLeeds0-0Arsenal
6 Jan 2020FA CupFA CupArsenal1-0Leeds

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 10 Oct 20:02 UTC

In the Premier League table, Arsenal sit 2nd with 15 points from 6 games, while Leeds are 6th with 9 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City550013:5+815
2Arsenal650110:5+515
3Brighton641118:5+1313
4Brentford624012:6+610
5Chelsea631215:13+210
6Leeds62318:5+39
7Liverpool52307:4+39
8Everton52306:3+39
9Ipswich63039:12-39
10Hull City52216:4+28
11Newcastle52219:908
12Manchester United61329:906
13Nottingham Forest51224:5-15
14Aston Villa61236:11-55
15Crystal Palace51136:11-54
16Sunderland61146:12-64
17Bournemouth60337:13-63
18Tottenham60333:9-63
19Coventry51041:10-93
20Fulham60246:10-42

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.42X21%4.56212%7.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 06:301 1.42X 4.612 7.88
11.38 → 1.42 +2.9%X4.77 → 4.61 -3.4%27.82 → 7.88 +0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.832.141.4%
Pinnacle1.832.073.0%
SBO1.812.073.6%
Betano1.802.073.9%
Marathonbet1.772.074.8%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.801.956.8%
BetVictor1.741.958.8%
Best of all books1.832.141.4%
Average1.802.044.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.101.754.8%
Betano1.951.806.8%
Bet3652.001.757.1%
William Hill2.001.757.1%
1xBet1.931.807.4%
Marathonbet1.931.788.0%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
Best of all books2.101.803.2%
Average1.981.777.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal 45%Draw 45%Leeds 10%

The statistical model rated Arsenal at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leeds at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 4.56 | 7.92, which imply roughly 70.4% for a Arsenal win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Arsenal are 2nd (15 pts, 10-5 goals), Leeds 6th (9 pts, 8-5).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Leeds averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Arsenal or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Goalkeeper

  • 1David Raya

Defence

  • 4B. White
  • 15E. Konsa
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 33R. Calafiori

Midfield

  • 41D. Rice
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly
  • 7B. Saka
  • 8M. Ødegaard
  • 20N. Madueke

Attack

  • 29K. Havertz
Substitutes (9)
  • 14V. Gyökeres
  • 56M. Dowman
  • 39Bruno Guimarães
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 23Mikel Merino
  • 10E. Eze
  • 12J. Timber
  • 5P. Hincapié
  • 13Kepa

Leeds

3-4-2-1

Coach: D. Farke

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Trafford

Defence

  • 24J. Justin
  • 30N. Elvedi
  • 5T. Muharemović

Midfield

  • 2J. Bogle
  • 4E. Ampadu
  • 22A. Tanaka
  • 3G. Gudmundsson
  • 18A. Stach
  • 19N. Okafor

Attack

  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin
Substitutes (9)
  • 14L. Nmecha
  • 23J. Bahoya
  • 16M. Zetterer
  • 26M. Bard
  • 15J. Bijol
  • 8S. Longstaff
  • 44I. Gruev
  • 10H. Wilson
  • 11B. Aaronson

Match Statistics

ArsenalLeeds
2.66Expected Goals0.74
436Passes accurate277
8Shots insidebox7
5Shots outsidebox4
3Blocked Shots3
19Free Kicks12
6Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves4
4Shots off Goal3
7Offsides4
513Total passes354
13Total Shots11
1Yellow Cards4
3Corner Kicks4
12Fouls20
0Red Cards0
58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.424.617.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.092.861.18

Draw no bet

12
1.125.64

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.981.77

1st half

1X2
1.902.387.01

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3712.63.41

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.9
1.51.243.93
2.51.802.04
3.52.921.38
4.55.481.12
5.510.31.03
6.520.21.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.019.15
11.018.80
1.251.125.16
1.751.293.34
21.373.00
2.251.582.40
2.751.991.84
32.301.60
3.252.551.48
3.753.461.27
44.251.16
4.254.501.13
4.755.751.08
58.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.551.52
-1.52.241.66
-1.251.951.89
-11.662.20
-0.751.492.56
-0.51.402.90
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.231.05
-3.256.831.07
-36.631.07
-2.754.891.15
-2.53.811.22
-2.253.621.27
-23.281.32
-0.251.263.65
01.115.48
+0.251.154.85
+0.51.106.80
+0.751.028.40
+1.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.25
1.51.184.45
2.51.542.37
3.52.211.63
4.53.071.35
5.54.801.16
6.57.301.07
7.510.01.03
8.512.51.01
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.204.32
31.792.04
43.121.34

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0211.8
5.51.047.90
6.51.124.96
7.51.263.33
8.51.472.47
9.51.841.91
10.52.331.54
11.53.101.30
12.54.181.17
13.55.781.09
14.57.611.04
15.511.61.02
16.512.01.02
17.514.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.15
7.751.223.19
81.262.92
8.251.342.72
8.751.482.30
91.572.25
9.251.712.06
9.751.921.82
102.031.74
10.252.151.59
10.752.441.42
112.581.43
11.252.861.31
123.251.21
134.301.11
145.451.05