Leeds11th5 pts
Newcastle10th5 pts
Leeds11th5 pts
Newcastle10th5 ptsIn the Premier League table, Leeds sit 11th with 5 points from 3 games, while Newcastle are 10th with 5 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Leeds at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Newcastle at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.47 | 2.99, which imply roughly 28.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Leeds are 11th (5 pts, 3-2 goals), Newcastle 10th (5 pts, 6-4).
Over their last five matches, Leeds averaged 1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Newcastle averaged 2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Newcastle.
Leeds vs Newcastle — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 |  Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 |  Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 |  Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 |  Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 |  Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 |  Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 |  Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.33
X
3.49
2
2.94
Double chance
1X
1.38
X2
1.59
12
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
1.62
No
2.20
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.24
Under 1.5
3.83
Over 2.5
1.80
Under 2.5
2.03
Over 3.5
2.91
Under 3.5
1.39
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
10.84
Over 4.5
5.44
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
41.00
Over 5.5
9.95
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
19.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.29
Under 1.75
3.38
Over 2
1.37
Under 2
2.99
Over 2.25
1.59
Under 2.25
2.37
Over 2.75
2.01
Under 2.75
1.83
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
9.03
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.50
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
5.02
Over 3
2.31
Under 3
1.59
Over 3.25
2.60
Under 3.25
1.47
Over 3.75
3.38
Under 3.75
1.27
Over 4
4.28
Under 4
1.16
Over 4.25
4.70
Under 4.25
1.12
Over 5
8.50
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.67
2
2.12
Asian handicap
Home 2.5
1.02
Away 2.5
1.02
1st half
1
2.86
X
2.22
2
3.43
Corners 2-Way
Over 18.5
13.50
Under 18.5
1.01
First team to score
Home
1.85
No Goal
12.38
Away
2.09
Cards in match
Over 6.5
4.70
Under 6.5
1.17