Chelsea8th3 pts
Brighton5th3 pts
Chelsea8th3 pts
Brighton5th3 ptsIn the Premier League table, Chelsea sit 8th with 3 points from 1 games, while Brighton are 5th with 3 points from 1 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Chelsea at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brighton at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.85 | 3.90, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Chelsea are 8th (3 pts, 3-2 goals), Brighton 5th (3 pts, 4-0).
Over their last five matches, Chelsea averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Brighton averaged 4 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Brighton and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Chelsea vs Brighton — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Hull City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 |  Everton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Leeds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 |  Bournemouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Fulham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Manchester United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Coventry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 |  Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.83
X
3.91
2
4.03
Double chance
1X
1.23
X2
1.98
12
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
1.56
No
2.30
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.60
Over 2.5
1.63
Under 2.5
2.30
Over 3.5
2.51
Under 3.5
1.51
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
13.79
Over 4.5
4.46
Under 4.5
1.18
Over 7.5
34.00
Over 5.5
8.41
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
16.13
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.23
Under 1.75
3.91
Over 2
1.27
Under 2
3.55
Over 2.25
1.46
Under 2.25
2.74
Over 2.75
1.78
Under 2.75
2.05
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
11.50
Over 1.25
1.08
Under 1.25
6.02
Over 3
2.00
Under 3
1.79
Over 3.25
2.24
Under 3.25
1.62
Over 3.75
2.93
Under 3.75
1.38
Over 4
3.60
Under 4
1.24
Over 4.25
3.78
Under 4.25
1.20
Over 4.75
5.10
Under 4.75
1.10
Over 5
6.90
Under 5
1.04
Draw no bet
1
1.35
2
2.95
Asian handicap
Away 3
1.01
1st half
1
2.33
X
2.37
2
4.21
First team to score
Home
1.61
No Goal
15.88
Away
2.40
Corners 2-Way
Under 2.5
45.00
Cards in match
Over 6.5
4.20
Under 6.5
1.17