Portugal W vs Northern Ireland W• World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe, World

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Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.10B365X9.29PIN226.0DAFMargin at best5.5%Books10Markets80Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.08	9.20	26.0	7.3%
Bet365	1.10	7.00	29.0	8.6%
William Hill	1.08	8.00	23.0	9.4%
BetVictor	1.07	8.50	23.0	9.6%
Betano	1.09	7.10	19.5	11.0%
Betfair	1.05	9.00	21.0	11.1%
Pinnacle	1.05	9.29	18.6	11.4%
1xBet	1.04	9.00	22.0	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.04	9.00	22.0	11.8%
SBO	1.07	6.28	14.9	16.1%
Best of all books	1.10	9.29	26.0	5.5%
Average	1.07	8.24	21.9	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Portugal WNorthern Ireland W

Last 1012Form pts · last 563.0Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 52.060Attack rating4071Defence rating2967Form rating33100H2H rating0100Goals model072Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 17:00 UTC

Portugal W

6W 0D 4L · goals 23:14 · per match 2.3 for, 1.4 against

9 Oct	A	Northern Ireland W	4-0	W
9 Jun	A	Finland W	1-3	L
5 Jun	H	Latvia W	5-0	W
18 Apr	A	Slovakia W	2-1	W
14 Apr	A	Latvia W	3-0	W
7 Mar	H	Slovakia W	4-0	W
3 Mar	H	Finland W	2-0	W
2 Dec	H	Brazil W	0-5	L
28 Nov	H	Netherlands W	1-2	L
26 Oct	A	USA W	1-3	L

Northern Ireland W

2W 1D 7L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

9 Oct	H	Portugal W	0-4	L
9 Jun	H	Switzerland W	1-2	L
5 Jun	A	Turkey W	1-2	L
18 Apr	A	Malta W	4-2	W
14 Apr	H	Malta W	4-0	W
7 Mar	H	Turkey W	0-1	L
3 Mar	A	Switzerland W	0-2	L
29 Oct	A	Iceland W	0-3	L
24 Oct	H	Iceland W	0-2	L
3 Jun	A	Bosnia-Herzegovina W	1-1	D

Head to head

2Portugal W wins

0draws

0Northern Ireland W wins

2 meetings · goals 6:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Portugal W

4 Jun 2024UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification	UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification	Northern Ireland W1-2Portugal W
31 May 2024UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification	UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification	Portugal W4-0Northern Ireland W

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg185%1.06X11%8.4424%23.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.04 → 1.07 +2.9%X10.8 → 8.24 -23.4%229.2 → 21.9 -25.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.52	2.25	10.2%
Pinnacle	1.40	2.57	10.3%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.75	1.7%
Average	1.46	2.48	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	3.20	1.30	8.2%
Betfair	3.80	1.22	8.3%
Marathonbet	2.98	1.32	9.3%
William Hill	2.90	1.33	9.7%
Best of all books	3.80	1.33	1.5%
Average	3.22	1.29	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Portugal W 50%Draw 50%Northern Ireland W 0%

The statistical model rates Portugal W at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Northern Ireland W at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.06 | 8.44 | 23.33, which imply roughly 94.3% for a Portugal W win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Portugal W averaged 3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Northern Ireland W averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Portugal W and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Portugal W

4-3-1-2

Coach: Francisco Neto

Goalkeeper

12Patrícia Morais

Defence

3Lúcia Alves
15Carole Costa
18Carolina Costa Malheiro Dias Correia
5Joana Marchão

Midfield

14Dolores Silva
13Fátima Pinto
6Andreia Jacinto
16Andreia Faria

Attack

7S. Ribeiro
9Carolina Santiago

Substitutes (8)

19Diana Gomes
8Andreia Norton
22Nair Pina
17A. Marques
10J. Silva
20N. Bravo
2Francisca Castro
11Tatiana Pinto

Northern Ireland W

Coach: K. Shiels

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.07	8.24	21.9

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	6.29	1.05

Draw no bet

1	2
1.02	14.3

Both teams to score

Yes	No
3.22	1.29

1st half

1	X	2
1.36	3.15	16.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.12	16.4	6.45

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.9
1.5	1.10	5.47
2.5	1.46	2.48
3.5	2.11	1.62
4.5	3.38	1.25
5.5	6.20	1.07

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.50
1.75	1.13	4.55
2	1.19	3.78
2.25	1.31	2.92
2.75	1.52	2.25
3	1.69	1.98
3.25	1.90	1.77
3.75	2.38	1.47
4	2.90	1.32
4.25	3.04	1.30
4.75	4.20	1.15
5	5.50	1.08
5.25	5.80	1.07
6	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.25	2.66	1.38
-3	2.27	1.52
-2.75	1.96	1.74
-2.5	1.86	1.82
-2.25	1.70	2.00
-2	1.44	2.43

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5	8.70	1.01
-4.75	6.20	1.06
-4.5	5.20	1.10
-4.25	4.90	1.11
-4	4.60	1.13
-3.75	3.50	1.22
-3.5	2.85	1.32
-1.75	1.35	2.75
-1.5	1.31	2.90
-1.25	1.19	3.78
-1	1.08	5.70
-0.75	1.06	6.15
0	1.01	15.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.17
6.5	1.15	4.13
7.5	1.36	2.75
8.5	1.68	2.05
9.5	2.10	1.66
10.5	2.79	1.35
11.5	3.96	1.16
12.5	6.01	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.03	6.57
7	1.19	3.70
8	1.47	2.44
9	1.88	1.87
10	2.50	1.44
11	3.60	1.20
12	5.58	1.06
13	7.02	1.02