OddsFilter

Italy W vs Belarus W• World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe, World

2.6:0.41-1FTToday · Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence2.0:0.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.03B365X18.01XB267.0B365Margin at best4.1%Books7Markets65Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:08 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betfair1.0221.056.04.6%
Bet3651.0315.067.05.2%
William Hill1.0215.0126.05.5%
1xBet1.0118.046.06.7%
Dafabet1.0114.090.07.3%
BetVictor1.0211.056.08.9%
Betano1.0210.032.011.2%
Best of all books1.0318.067.04.1%
Average1.0214.967.66.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Italy WBelarus W
Last 1011Form pts · last 592.6Goals for · last 52.00.4Goals against · last 50.657Attack rating4360Defence rating4055Form rating45100H2H rating00Goals model10057Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 16:50 UTC

Italy W

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

9 OctABelarus W2-0W
9 JunASweden W2-2D
5 JunHSerbia W3-0W
18 AprADenmark W0-0D
14 AprASerbia W6-0W
7 MarHDenmark W1-1D
3 MarHSweden W0-1L
2 DecAUSA W0-2L
29 NovAUSA W0-3L
28 OctHBrazil W0-1L

Belarus W

7W 0D 3L · goals 17:6 · per match 1.7 for, 0.6 against

9 OctHItaly W0-2L
9 JunHArmenia W6-0W
18 AprHKazakhstan W0-1L
14 AprAArmenia W3-0W
7 MarAKazakhstan W1-0W
29 NovAGreece W0-2L
26 NovABosnia-Herzegovina W2-1W
28 OctAMalta W1-0W
25 OctAMalta W2-0W
1 JulHAzerbaijan W2-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Italy W and Belarus W on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg192%1.02X7%14.222%58.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12 Oct 16:3013 Oct 13:301 1.02X 14.92 67.6
11.02 → 1.02 0.0%X19.4 → 14.9 -23.4%275.6 → 67.6 -10.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.204.336.4%
Betfair1.144.808.6%
1xBet1.164.1010.6%
Marathonbet1.164.1010.6%
Best of all books1.204.804.2%
Average1.174.338.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair4.001.208.3%
William Hill4.601.158.7%
BetVictor4.751.148.8%
Marathonbet5.651.099.4%
Best of all books5.651.201.0%
Average4.751.148.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Italy W 45%Draw 45%Belarus W 10%

The statistical model rated Italy W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Belarus W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.02 | 14.21 | 58.86, which imply roughly 98% for a Italy W win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Italy W averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Belarus W averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Italy W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Italy W

4-3-3

Coach: A. Soncin

Goalkeeper

  • 1Rachele Baldi

Defence

  • 3L. Di Guglielmo
  • 19M. Lenzini
  • 2A. Soffia
  • 17L. Boattin

Midfield

  • 8E. Severini
  • 18A. Caruso
  • 20G. Greggi

Attack

  • 10C. Girelli
  • 7S. Cantore
  • 11B. Bonansea
Substitutes (12)
  • 5F. D´Auria
  • 21M. Cambiaghi
  • 16G. Dragoni
  • 22F. Durante
  • 12Astrid Gilardi
  • 6M. Giugliano
  • 15B. Glionna
  • 13E. Oliviero
  • 9M. Piemonte
  • 23E. Polli
  • 14M. Rosucci
  • 4E. Schatzer

Belarus W

4-1-4-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Natalia Voskobovich

Defence

  • 11Y. Slesarchik
  • 17A. Sitnikova
  • 2Viktoriya Kazakevich
  • 21V. Bogdan

Midfield

  • 9A. Kozyupa
  • 19A. Kovaleva
  • 3A. Linnik
  • 7V. Belaya
  • 4A. Shlapakova

Attack

  • 16M. Surovtseva
Substitutes (12)
  • 5D. Gorshkova
  • 8zarina kapustina
  • 13D. Lukjantseva
  • 14K. Olkhovik
  • 15D. Protasyuk
  • 12E. Sevko
  • 6A. Sinyavskaya
  • 22M. Svidunovich
  • 10K. Tikhvodova
  • 18V. Valyuk
  • 23N. Voskobovich
  • 20A. Cherlenok

Match Statistics

Italy WBelarus W
3.63Expected Goals0.45
591Passes accurate126
17Shots insidebox5
8Shots outsidebox1
6Blocked Shots1
8Free Kicks7
7Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
12Shots off Goal3
1Offsides1
686Total passes216
25Total Shots6
9Corner Kicks3
9Fouls8
0Red Cards0
0Yellow Cards0
71%Ball Possession29%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.0214.967.6

Double chance

X212
19.01.01

Draw no bet

12
1.0115.0

Both teams to score

YesNo
4.751.14

1st half

1X2
1.154.8334.9

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0126.0
1.51.029.90
2.51.174.33
3.51.502.36
4.52.111.63
5.53.231.27
6.55.651.08
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.028.10
2.251.135.00
2.751.193.74
31.243.34
3.251.372.70
3.751.642.07
41.741.92
4.251.941.74
4.752.391.47
52.821.34
5.253.091.29
5.753.981.17
65.101.10
6.255.351.09
78.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-4.52.451.44
-4.252.241.53
-42.031.66
-3.751.821.86
-3.51.711.95
-3.251.582.18
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-6.56.751.04
-66.151.06
-5.754.751.12
-5.53.921.18
-5.253.581.21
-53.341.24
-4.752.781.34
-31.362.73
-2.751.293.04
-2.51.253.28
-2.251.164.20
-21.075.95
-1.51.076.38