Northern Ireland W vs Portugal W• World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe, World

2.0:1.40-3LiveToday · Inver Park, Larne3.0:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

110.61XBX5.40DAF21.28B365Margin at best6.1%Books10Markets70Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	10.0	5.40	1.26	7.9%
BetVictor	10.5	5.00	1.25	9.5%
Bet365	10.0	4.50	1.28	10.3%
1xBet	10.6	5.20	1.22	10.6%
Betano	8.75	4.75	1.27	11.2%
Marathonbet	10.0	5.20	1.21	11.9%
William Hill	9.50	4.60	1.25	12.3%
Betfair	9.50	5.00	1.22	12.5%
Pinnacle	8.62	5.24	1.21	13.3%
SBO	8.30	4.80	1.23	14.2%
Best of all books	10.6	5.40	1.28	6.1%
Average	9.58	4.97	1.24	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Northern Ireland WPortugal W

Last 106Form pts · last 5122.0Goals for · last 53.01.4Goals against · last 50.840Attack rating6036Defence rating6433Form rating670H2H rating10044Goals model5633Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:01 UTC

Northern Ireland W

2W 1D 7L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

9 Jun	H	Switzerland W	1-2	L
5 Jun	A	Turkey W	1-2	L
18 Apr	A	Malta W	4-2	W
14 Apr	H	Malta W	4-0	W
7 Mar	H	Turkey W	0-1	L
3 Mar	A	Switzerland W	0-2	L
29 Oct	A	Iceland W	0-3	L
24 Oct	H	Iceland W	0-2	L
3 Jun	A	Bosnia-Herzegovina W	1-1	D
30 May	H	Poland W	0-4	L

Portugal W

6W 0D 4L · goals 21:15 · per match 2.1 for, 1.5 against

9 Jun	A	Finland W	1-3	L
5 Jun	H	Latvia W	5-0	W
18 Apr	A	Slovakia W	2-1	W
14 Apr	A	Latvia W	3-0	W
7 Mar	H	Slovakia W	4-0	W
3 Mar	H	Finland W	2-0	W
2 Dec	H	Brazil W	0-5	L
28 Nov	H	Netherlands W	1-2	L
26 Oct	A	USA W	1-3	L
23 Oct	A	USA W	2-1	W

Head to head

0Northern Ireland W wins

0draws

2Portugal W wins

2 meetings · goals 1:6 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Northern Ireland W

4 Jun 2024UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification	UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification	Northern Ireland W1-2Portugal W
31 May 2024UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification	UEFA Championship - Women - Qualification	Portugal W4-0Northern Ireland W

World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe tableLeague B - Group Aupdated 9 Oct 17:11 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Wales W	6	4	2	0	17:5	+12	14
2	Czechia W	6	3	2	1	18:8	+10	11
3	Albania W	6	2	1	3	9:14	-5	7
4	Montenegro W	6	0	1	5	6:23	-17	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg19%9.55X18%5.03273%1.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

111.9 → 9.58 -19.5%X5.62 → 4.96 -11.7%21.19 → 1.24 +4.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.66	2.08	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
BetVictor	2.15	1.62	8.2%
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.14	1.60	9.2%
Best of all books	2.20	1.67	5.3%
Average	2.13	1.62	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Northern Ireland W 10%Draw 45%Portugal W 45%

The statistical model rates Northern Ireland W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Portugal W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 9.55 | 5.03 | 1.23, which imply roughly 19.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Northern Ireland W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Portugal W averaged 3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Portugal W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Northern Ireland W

4-1-4-1

Coach: K. Shiels

Goalkeeper

1J. Burns

Defence

18Sarah Jane Mcmaster
20Fionnula Morgan
15R. Holloway
7E. Mason

Midfield

3Natalie johnson
2R. McKenna
6A. Kerr
4Brenna McPartlan
22E. Cassap

Attack

14L. Wade

Substitutes (12)

5Abi Sweetlove
19C Chambers
11K. Elmore
10K. Halliday
12M. Clifford
21Charlotte Havern
9C. Howe
13L. Mcfarland
8M. Moore
23L. Perry
16C. Scofield
17Lucy-Jayne Grant

Portugal W

4-1-2-1-2

Coach: Francisco Neto

Goalkeeper

1Inês Pereira

Defence

2Catarina Amado
19Diana Gomes
18Carolina Costa Malheiro Dias Correia
5Joana Marchão

Midfield

13Fátima Pinto
11Tatiana Pinto
6Andreia Jacinto
16Andreia Faria

Attack

23Telma Encarnação
10J. Silva

Substitutes (12)

20N. Bravo
14Dolores Silva
17A. Marques
22Nair Pina
8Andreia Norton
7S. Ribeiro
21R. Ferreira
4Nelly Rodrigues
15Carole Costa
9Carolina Santiago
3Lúcia Alves
12Patrícia Morais

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
9.58	4.97	1.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.34	1.04	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
7.33	1.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.13	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
8.62	2.51	1.66

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
4.05	13.5	1.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	12.8
1.5	1.17	4.17
2.5	1.66	2.08
3.5	2.52	1.43
4.5	4.87	1.12
5.5	8.87	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.35
1.25	1.08	5.60
1.75	1.27	3.27
2	1.29	3.03
2.25	1.46	2.41
2.75	1.83	1.85
3	1.99	1.68
3.25	2.30	1.50
3.75	3.00	1.31
4	4.00	1.17
4.25	4.34	1.15
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1	2.78	1.34
+1.25	2.18	1.56
+1.5	1.91	1.79
+1.75	1.74	1.95
+2	1.59	2.18
+2.25	1.51	2.44

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	7.90	1.02
+0.25	4.75	1.12
+0.75	3.19	1.27
+2.5	1.34	2.84
+2.75	1.27	3.29
+3	1.11	4.85
+3.25	1.09	5.25
+3.5	1.08	5.55
+3.75	1.04	7.10
+4	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.64
7.5	1.30	3.01
8.5	1.59	2.20
9.5	1.97	1.79
10.5	2.55	1.42
11.5	3.52	1.21
12.5	5.20	1.08

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.14	4.18
8	1.38	2.68
9	1.75	1.96
10	2.29	1.54
11	3.19	1.26
12	4.81	1.10