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Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W• USL Super League, USA

#51.2:0.823:00Today · Toyota Stadium1.2:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85B365X3.44MAR23.851XBMargin at best9.1%Books4Markets48Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 05:40 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.793.443.8510.9%
Bet3651.853.403.6011.2%
Marathonbet1.773.443.7512.2%
BetVictor1.733.103.4019.5%
Best of all books1.853.443.859.1%
Average1.793.343.6513.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lexington WTampa Bay Sun W
Last 10#5Table position#61.43Points per game1.297Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5064Defence rating3647Form rating5362H2H rating3864Goals model3658Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Lexington W

6W 1D 3L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

11 OctAFort Lauderdale United W1-2L
4 OctATampa Bay Sun W1-1D
25 SepHDallas Trinity W3-0W
20 SepASporting JAX W1-0W
11 SepHCarolina Ascent W0-1L
29 AugHDC Power W1-2L
15 AugHBrooklyn W3-0W
30 MayHCarolina Ascent W3-1W
23 MayHDallas Trinity W2-0W
16 MayHTampa Bay Sun W1-0W

Tampa Bay Sun W

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

10 OctHCarolina Ascent W0-3L
4 OctHLexington W1-1D
18 SepADC Power W1-1D
12 SepHFort Lauderdale United W2-1W
29 AugACarolina Ascent W2-1W
22 AugASporting JAX W2-3L
16 AugADallas Trinity W1-1D
16 MayALexington W0-1L
9 MayHDallas Trinity W0-2L
2 MayAFort Lauderdale United W2-1W

Head to head

2Lexington W wins
2draws
4Tampa Bay Sun W wins

8 meetings · goals 11:15 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Lexington W

4 Oct 2026USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueTampa Bay Sun W1-1Lexington W
16 May 2026USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W1-0Tampa Bay Sun W
18 Apr 2026USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W4-0Tampa Bay Sun W
23 Nov 2025USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueTampa Bay Sun W1-1Lexington W
10 May 2025USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W0-3Tampa Bay Sun W
12 Apr 2025USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueTampa Bay Sun W4-1Lexington W
2 Nov 2024USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueTampa Bay Sun W3-1Lexington W
8 Sep 2024USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W2-3Tampa Bay Sun W

USL Super League tableUsl Super League Womenupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

In the USL Super League table, Lexington W sit 5th with 10 points from 7 games, while Tampa Bay Sun W are 6th with 9 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Carolina Ascent W861116:6+1019
2Sporting JAX W732212:10+211
3Dallas Trinity W832310:12-211
4DC Power W732211:8+311
5Lexington W731310:6+410
6Tampa Bay Sun W72329:11-29
7Brooklyn W82156:15-97
8Fort Lauderdale United W82066:12-66

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.79X26%3.35224%3.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 18:1017 Oct 00:101 1.79X 3.352 3.65
11.80 → 1.79 -0.6%X3.43 → 3.35 -2.3%23.73 → 3.65 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
1xBet1.851.829.0%
Marathonbet1.851.829.0%
BetVictor1.691.6420.1%
Best of all books1.951.855.3%
Average1.831.7810.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Marathonbet1.741.919.8%
BetVictor1.601.7519.6%
Best of all books1.801.917.9%
Average1.711.8612.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lexington W 45%Draw 45%Tampa Bay Sun W 10%

The statistical model rates Lexington W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tampa Bay Sun W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.79 | 3.35 | 3.65, which imply roughly 55.9% for a Lexington W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL Super League table: Lexington W are 5th (10 pts, 10-6 goals), Tampa Bay Sun W 6th (9 pts, 9-11).

Over their last five matches, Lexington W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Tampa Bay Sun W averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lexington W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.793.353.65

Double chance

1XX212
1.191.801.19

Draw no bet

12
1.352.57

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.711.86

1st half

1X2
2.362.104.23

2nd half

1X2
2.202.473.93

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9416.035.5
HT X4.955.158.55
HT 224.016.06.20

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6310.92.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.027.30
1.51.243.22
2.51.841.78
3.53.041.27
4.55.431.08
5.59.001.04
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.80
1.751.302.97
21.392.42
2.251.601.99
2.752.011.57
32.391.39
3.252.831.33
3.753.961.17
45.501.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.961.34
-12.481.42
-0.752.011.62
-0.51.771.80
-0.251.562.11
01.342.70
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.131.05
-2.256.601.11
-26.251.08
-1.754.251.17
-1.53.341.27
+0.251.283.23
+0.51.263.70
+0.751.184.65
+11.028.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
91.881.92
9.52.101.67