Tampa Bay Sun W vs
Carolina Ascent W• USL Super League, USA
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 05:31 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.30 | 2.04 | 8.3% |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.07 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 3.22 | 3.30 | 2.02 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 11.1% |
| Marathonbet | 3.14 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 12.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.00 | 1.91 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 3.45 | 3.30 | 2.07 | 7.6% |
| Average | 3.23 | 3.23 | 2.01 | 11.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 18:41 UTC
Tampa Bay Sun W
3W 3D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against
| 4 Oct | H | Lexington W | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep | A | DC Power W | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Fort Lauderdale United W | 2-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Carolina Ascent W | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Sporting JAX W | 2-3 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Dallas Trinity W | 1-1 | D |
| 16 May | A | Lexington W | 0-1 | L |
| 9 May | H | Dallas Trinity W | 0-2 | L |
| 2 May | A | Fort Lauderdale United W | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Apr | H | Carolina Ascent W | 1-2 | L |
Carolina Ascent W
7W 1D 2L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against
| 26 Sep | H | Sporting JAX W | 3-3 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Brooklyn W | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | Lexington W | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Fort Lauderdale United W | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Tampa Bay Sun W | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Dallas Trinity W | 3-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | DC Power W | 1-0 | W |
| 30 May | A | Lexington W | 1-3 | L |
| 24 May | A | Sporting JAX W | 1-0 | W |
| 16 May | H | Sporting JAX W | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
9 meetings · goals 10:10 · last 9: 3W 3D 3L for Tampa Bay Sun W
| 29 Aug 2026USL Super League | USL Super League | Carolina Ascent W1-2Tampa Bay Sun W |
| 25 Apr 2026USL Super League | USL Super League | Tampa Bay Sun W1-2Carolina Ascent W |
| 5 Apr 2026USL Super League | USL Super League | Tampa Bay Sun W1-2Carolina Ascent W |
| 13 Mar 2026USL Super League | USL Super League | Carolina Ascent W1-0Tampa Bay Sun W |
| 6 Sep 2025USL Super League | USL Super League | Carolina Ascent W2-2Tampa Bay Sun W |
| 17 May 2025USL Super League | USL Super League | Carolina Ascent W1-1Tampa Bay Sun W |
| 15 Mar 2025USL Super League | USL Super League | Tampa Bay Sun W1-0Carolina Ascent W |
| 17 Nov 2024USL Super League | USL Super League | Tampa Bay Sun W2-1Carolina Ascent W |
| 27 Sep 2024USL Super League | USL Super League | Carolina Ascent W0-0Tampa Bay Sun W |
USL Super League tableUsl Super League Womenupdated 10 Oct 06:31 UTC
In the USL Super League table, Tampa Bay Sun W sit 6th with 9 points from 6 games, while Carolina Ascent W are 1st with 16 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Ascent W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | DC Power W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 | Sporting JAX W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lexington W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 5 | Dallas Trinity W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 6 |
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 1.78 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 1.68 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.93 | 1.95 | 3.1% |
| Average | 1.82 | 1.81 | 10.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 1.93 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 1.97 | 9.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 1.83 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 2.00 | 7.1% |
| Average | 1.68 | 1.93 | 11.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Tampa Bay Sun W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Carolina Ascent W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.23 | 3.23 | 2.01, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the USL Super League table: Tampa Bay Sun W are 6th (9 pts, 9-8 goals), Carolina Ascent W 1st (16 pts, 13-6).
Over their last five matches, Tampa Bay Sun W averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Carolina Ascent W averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Carolina Ascent W.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.23 | 3.23 | 2.01 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | 1.26 | 1.21 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.27 | 1.48 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.68 | 1.93 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | 2.09 | 2.58 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 10.0 | 1.74 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 7.40 |
| 1.5 | 1.25 | 3.22 |
| 2.5 | 1.82 | 1.81 |
| 3.5 | 2.95 | 1.30 |
| 4.5 | 5.28 | 1.09 |
| 5.5 | 9.00 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | – |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| 1.75 | 1.31 | 2.92 |
| 2 | 1.37 | 2.46 |
| 2.25 | 1.58 | 2.02 |
| 2.75 | 1.96 | 1.60 |
| 3 | 2.31 | 1.43 |
| 3.25 | 2.74 | 1.35 |
| 3.75 | 3.72 | 1.20 |
| 4 | 5.00 | 1.10 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 2.64 | 1.36 |
| 0 | 2.29 | 1.48 |
| +0.25 | 1.88 | 1.72 |
| +0.5 | 1.67 | 1.96 |
| +0.75 | 1.48 | 2.26 |
| +1 | 1.33 | 2.98 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6.70 | 1.07 |
| -1.25 | 6.60 | 1.11 |
| -1 | 5.80 | 1.09 |
| -0.75 | 3.93 | 1.20 |
| -0.5 | 3.30 | 1.32 |
| +1.25 | 1.26 | 3.38 |
| +1.5 | 1.21 | 3.73 |
| +1.75 | 1.18 | 4.80 |
| +2 | 1.04 | 6.90 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 7.70 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.89 | 1.89 |