OddsFilter

Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W• USL Super League, USA

#61.6:1.41-1FT04/10 · Riverfront Stadium1.6:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.821XBX3.781XB22.35BTNMargin at best4.5%Books5Markets42Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Oct 04:41 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.823.782.334.8%
Betano2.753.352.358.8%
Bet3652.603.502.2511.5%
Marathonbet2.653.282.2712.3%
BetVictor2.553.002.1519.1%
Best of all books2.823.782.354.5%
Average2.673.382.2711.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tampa Bay Sun WLexington W
Last 10#6Table position#41.50Points per game1.678Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 50.650Attack rating5030Defence rating7047Form rating5350H2H rating500Goals model10046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 18:41 UTC

Tampa Bay Sun W

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

4 OctHLexington W1-1D
18 SepADC Power W1-1D
12 SepHFort Lauderdale United W2-1W
29 AugACarolina Ascent W2-1W
22 AugASporting JAX W2-3L
16 AugADallas Trinity W1-1D
16 MayALexington W0-1L
9 MayHDallas Trinity W0-2L
2 MayAFort Lauderdale United W2-1W
25 AprHCarolina Ascent W1-2L

Lexington W

7W 1D 2L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

25 SepHDallas Trinity W3-0W
20 SepASporting JAX W1-0W
11 SepHCarolina Ascent W0-1L
29 AugHDC Power W1-2L
15 AugHBrooklyn W3-0W
30 MayHCarolina Ascent W3-1W
23 MayHDallas Trinity W2-0W
16 MayHTampa Bay Sun W1-0W
10 MayHBrooklyn W3-1W
3 MayASpokane Zephyr W0-0D

Head to head

4Tampa Bay Sun W wins
1draws
2Lexington W wins

7 meetings · goals 14:10 · last 7: 4W 1D 2L for Tampa Bay Sun W

16 May 2026USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W1-0Tampa Bay Sun W
18 Apr 2026USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W4-0Tampa Bay Sun W
23 Nov 2025USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueTampa Bay Sun W1-1Lexington W
10 May 2025USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W0-3Tampa Bay Sun W
12 Apr 2025USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueTampa Bay Sun W4-1Lexington W
2 Nov 2024USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueTampa Bay Sun W3-1Lexington W
8 Sep 2024USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W2-3Tampa Bay Sun W

USL Super League tableUsl Super League Womenupdated 10 Oct 06:31 UTC

In the USL Super League table, Tampa Bay Sun W sit 6th with 9 points from 6 games, while Lexington W are 4th with 10 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Carolina Ascent W751113:6+716
2DC Power W732211:8+311
3Sporting JAX W732212:10+211
4Lexington W63129:4+510
5Dallas Trinity W73139:11-210
6Tampa Bay Sun W62319:8+19
7Brooklyn W72055:14-96
8Fort Lauderdale United W71064:11-73

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.67X27%3.38240%2.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.802.015.3%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betano1.801.908.2%
Marathonbet1.791.889.1%
BetVictor1.621.7219.9%
Best of all books1.852.013.8%
Average1.771.899.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Marathonbet1.632.069.9%
Betano1.622.0211.2%
BetVictor1.501.8720.1%
Best of all books1.732.066.3%
Average1.621.9912.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tampa Bay Sun W 10%Draw 45%Lexington W 45%

The statistical model rated Tampa Bay Sun W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lexington W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.67 | 3.38 | 2.27, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL Super League table: Tampa Bay Sun W are 6th (9 pts, 9-8 goals), Lexington W 4th (10 pts, 9-4).

Over their last five matches, Tampa Bay Sun W averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lexington W averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lexington W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.673.382.27

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.371.21

Draw no bet

12
1.921.65

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.621.99

1st half

1X2
3.262.142.89

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0112.31.84

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.037.67
1.51.233.39
2.51.771.89
3.52.861.33
4.54.821.11
5.59.001.04
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.80
1.751.283.08
21.342.48
2.251.562.11
2.751.911.64
32.181.44
3.252.721.39
3.753.581.21
44.901.11

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.681.45
-0.252.261.49
01.931.65
+0.251.691.94
+0.51.522.15
+0.751.372.60
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.55.621.10
-1.255.251.16
-14.601.14
-0.753.231.28
+11.233.57
+1.251.194.04
+1.51.154.50
+1.751.145.75
+21.019.00
+2.51.029.00