Sporting JAX W vs Lexington W• USL Super League, USA

#31.8:1.20-1FT20/09 · Hodges Stadium1.3:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25BTNX3.30BTN22.92BTNMargin at best9.0%Books2Markets32Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.97	3.40	3.24	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.95	3.40	3.16	12.3%
Best of all books	1.97	3.40	3.24	11.0%
Average	1.96	3.40	3.20	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting JAX WLexington W

Last 10#3Table position#41.57Points per game1.677Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.31.2Goals against · last 51.069Attack rating3133Defence rating6777Form rating2333H2H rating670Goals model052Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Sep 23:41 UTC

Sporting JAX W

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

20 Sep	H	Lexington W	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Brooklyn W	2-3	L
4 Sep	A	DC Power W	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Dallas Trinity W	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Tampa Bay Sun W	3-2	W
15 Aug	A	Fort Lauderdale United W	1-0	W
23 Jun	H	TLH Reckoning W	0-1	L
20 Jun	A	Miami City W	0-2	L
17 Jun	H	Miami City W	0-0	D
10 Jun	H	Fort Lauderdale Utd II W	2-1	W

Lexington W

7W 1D 2L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

25 Sep	H	Dallas Trinity W	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Sporting JAX W	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Carolina Ascent W	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	DC Power W	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Brooklyn W	3-0	W
30 May	H	Carolina Ascent W	3-1	W
23 May	H	Dallas Trinity W	2-0	W
16 May	H	Tampa Bay Sun W	1-0	W
10 May	H	Brooklyn W	3-1	W
3 May	A	Spokane Zephyr W	0-0	D

Head to head

1Sporting JAX W wins

0draws

2Lexington W wins

3 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Sporting JAX W

25 Apr 2026USL Super League	USL Super League	Sporting JAX W1-2Lexington W
21 Feb 2026USL Super League	USL Super League	Lexington W0-3Sporting JAX W
31 Oct 2025USL Super League	USL Super League	Lexington W4-2Sporting JAX W

USL Super League tableUsl Super League Womenupdated 10 Oct 06:31 UTC

In the USL Super League table, Sporting JAX W sit 3rd with 11 points from 7 games, while Lexington W are 4th with 10 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Carolina Ascent W	7	5	1	1	13:6	+7	16
2	DC Power W	7	3	2	2	11:8	+3	11
3	Sporting JAX W	7	3	2	2	12:10	+2	11
4	Lexington W	6	3	1	2	9:4	+5	10
5	Dallas Trinity W	7	3	1	3	9:11	-2	10
6	Tampa Bay Sun W	6	2	3	1	9:8	+1	9
7	Brooklyn W	7	2	0	5	5:14	-9	6
8	Fort Lauderdale United W	7	1	0	6	4:11	-7	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.20X28%3.14231%2.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.96 → 2.18 +11.2%X3.33 → 3.14 -5.7%23.18 → 2.86 -10.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Best of all books	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Average	1.75	1.93	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Marathonbet	1.62	2.08	9.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.08	9.8%
Average	1.62	2.08	9.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting JAX W 35%Draw 35%Lexington W 30%

The statistical model rated Sporting JAX W at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Lexington W at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.14 | 2.85, which imply roughly 45.5% for a Sporting JAX W win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the USL Super League table: Sporting JAX W are 3rd (11 pts, 12-10 goals), Lexington W 4th (10 pts, 9-4).

Over their last five matches, Sporting JAX W averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Lexington W averaged 1.3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sporting JAX W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.96	3.40	3.20

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.65	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.57	2.14	3.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.68	13.3	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.20	3.72
2.5	1.75	1.93
3.5	2.88	1.32
4.5	5.50	1.08

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.88
2.25	1.53	2.26
2.75	1.92	1.71
3	2.28	1.50
3.25	2.56	1.40
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.34	1.24
-1	2.92	1.31
-0.75	2.28	1.50
-0.25	1.73	1.92
0	1.49	2.36
+0.25	1.35	2.74

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.20	1.02
-2	7.30	1.03
-1.5	3.76	1.19
+0.75	1.17	4.00
+1	1.06	6.15
+1.5	1.03	7.20