OddsFilter

Lexington W vs Carolina Ascent W• USL Super League, USA

#42.0:1.00-1FT11/09 · Toyota Stadium2.0:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.67AVGX3.14AVG22.33AVGMargin12.2%Books5Markets39Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.553.352.558.3%
Betano2.553.302.558.7%
Bet3652.503.252.5010.8%
1xBet2.493.282.4611.3%
Marathonbet2.493.282.4611.3%
Best of all books2.553.352.558.3%
Average2.523.292.5010.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lexington WCarolina Ascent W
Last 10#4Table position#11.67Points per game2.299Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.833Attack rating6760Defence rating4025Form rating7550H2H rating5029Goals model7140Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 19:41 UTC

Lexington W

7W 1D 2L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

25 SepHDallas Trinity W3-0W
20 SepASporting JAX W1-0W
11 SepHCarolina Ascent W0-1L
29 AugHDC Power W1-2L
15 AugHBrooklyn W3-0W
30 MayHCarolina Ascent W3-1W
23 MayHDallas Trinity W2-0W
16 MayHTampa Bay Sun W1-0W
10 MayHBrooklyn W3-1W
3 MayASpokane Zephyr W0-0D

Carolina Ascent W

7W 1D 2L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

26 SepHSporting JAX W3-3D
19 SepHBrooklyn W1-0W
11 SepALexington W1-0W
5 SepHFort Lauderdale United W3-0W
29 AugHTampa Bay Sun W1-2L
23 AugADallas Trinity W3-1W
15 AugADC Power W1-0W
30 MayALexington W1-3L
24 MayASporting JAX W1-0W
16 MayHSporting JAX W3-1W

Head to head

2Lexington W wins
3draws
3Carolina Ascent W wins

8 meetings · goals 9:12 · last 8: 2W 3D 3L for Lexington W

30 May 2026USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W3-1Carolina Ascent W
11 Apr 2026USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueCarolina Ascent W1-0Lexington W
7 Feb 2026USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueCarolina Ascent W1-2Lexington W
10 Oct 2025USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W1-1Carolina Ascent W
23 Mar 2025USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W0-4Carolina Ascent W
16 Feb 2025USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueCarolina Ascent W2-1Lexington W
6 Oct 2024USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueLexington W1-1Carolina Ascent W
25 Aug 2024USL Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueCarolina Ascent W1-1Lexington W

USL Super League tableUsl Super League Womenupdated 10 Oct 06:31 UTC

In the USL Super League table, Lexington W sit 4th with 10 points from 6 games, while Carolina Ascent W are 1st with 16 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Carolina Ascent W751113:6+716
2DC Power W732211:8+311
3Sporting JAX W732212:10+211
4Lexington W63129:4+510
5Dallas Trinity W73139:11-210
6Tampa Bay Sun W62319:8+19
7Brooklyn W72055:14-96
8Fort Lauderdale United W71064:11-73

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.67X28%3.14238%2.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.901.905.3%
1xBet1.851.858.1%
Betano1.851.858.1%
Marathonbet1.851.858.1%
Best of all books1.901.905.3%
Average1.861.867.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Marathonbet1.652.039.9%
Betano1.652.0010.6%
Best of all books1.732.037.1%
Average1.682.019.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lexington W 10%Draw 45%Carolina Ascent W 45%

The statistical model rated Lexington W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Carolina Ascent W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.67 | 3.14 | 2.33, which imply roughly 31.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL Super League table: Lexington W are 4th (10 pts, 9-4 goals), Carolina Ascent W 1st (16 pts, 13-6).

Over their last five matches, Lexington W averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Carolina Ascent W averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Carolina Ascent W.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.523.292.50

Double chance

1XX212
1.421.441.26

Draw no bet

12
1.821.82

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.01

1st half

1X2
3.132.113.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9312.01.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.65
1.51.253.36
2.51.861.86
3.53.071.30
4.55.381.11
5.59.001.04
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.00
1.751.293.04
21.382.62
2.251.622.11
2.752.081.64
32.461.43
3.252.781.34
3.753.861.18
45.351.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.501.50
-0.252.171.61
01.871.85
+0.251.602.15
+0.51.502.50
+0.751.323.02
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.756.801.10
-1.55.281.11
-1.254.501.19
-14.251.17
-0.753.061.31
+11.174.22
+1.251.144.66
+1.51.125.22
+1.751.106.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.851.85