Morton vs Raith Rovers• Championship, Scotland

#100.6:2.01-2FT03/10 · Cappielow Park, Greenock1.2:0.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.75BVCX4.371XB21.57BTNMargin at best4.0%Books8Markets67Rating24 · 76Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 03:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	4.78	3.81	1.67	7.0%
Betfair	5.00	3.90	1.60	8.1%
Betano	4.60	3.70	1.67	8.6%
William Hill	4.80	3.50	1.67	9.3%
BetVictor	5.00	3.60	1.62	9.5%
Bet365	4.50	3.60	1.65	10.6%
1xBet	4.91	3.60	1.60	10.6%
Marathonbet	4.80	3.60	1.58	11.9%
Best of all books	5.00	3.90	1.67	5.5%
Average	4.80	3.66	1.63	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MortonRaith Rovers

Last 10#10Table position#30.40Points per game2.003Form pts · last 5100.6Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 50.633Attack rating6723Defence rating7713Form rating8825H2H rating759Goals model9124Overall rating76

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Morton

1W 1D 8L · goals 7:18 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	A	Arbroath	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Raith Rovers	1-2	L
25 Sep	A	Inverness CT	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Dunfermline	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Livingston	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Queen's Park	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Ayr Utd	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Arbroath	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Stenhousemuir	0-2	L
1 Aug	H	Partick	0-1	L

Raith Rovers

6W 2D 2L · goals 15:6 · per match 1.5 for, 0.6 against

10 Oct	H	Queen's Park	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Morton	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Livingston	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Partick	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Arbroath	4-0	W
5 Sep	A	Inverness CT	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Dunfermline	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Ayr Utd	2-0	W
8 Aug	A	Queen's Park	2-1	W
1 Aug	H	Stenhousemuir	1-1	D

Head to head

10Morton wins

16draws

22Raith Rovers wins

48 meetings · goals 47:67 · last 10: 2W 6D 2L for Morton

11 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	Raith Rovers3-2Morton
14 Feb 2026Championship	Championship	Morton0-0Raith Rovers
1 Nov 2025Championship	Championship	Raith Rovers1-1Morton
6 Sep 2025Championship	Championship	Morton0-1Raith Rovers
26 Apr 2025Championship	Championship	Raith Rovers1-1Morton
25 Mar 2025Championship	Championship	Morton3-3Raith Rovers
16 Nov 2024Championship	Championship	Raith Rovers2-3Morton
5 Oct 2024Championship	Championship	Morton2-0Raith Rovers
27 Apr 2024Championship	Championship	Morton0-0Raith Rovers
27 Feb 2024Championship	Championship	Raith Rovers0-0Morton

Championship tableDivision1updated 17 Oct 16:11 UTC

In the Championship table, Morton sit 10th with 4 points from 10 games, while Raith Rovers are 3rd with 20 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	9	7	1	1	12:4	+8	22
2	Partick	10	6	3	1	11:3	+8	21
3	Raith Rovers	10	6	2	2	15:6	+9	20
4	Livingston	10	4	1	5	14:11	+3	13
5	Dunfermline	8	3	4	1	7:5	+2	13
6	Inverness CT	10	3	4	3	12:11	+1	13
7	Ayr Utd	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12
8	Arbroath	10	3	2	5	7:15	-8	11
9	Queen's Park	10	2	1	7	6:16	-10	7
10	Morton	10	1	1	8	7:18	-11	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.39X23%3.94260%1.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.80 → 5.39 +12.3%X3.66 → 3.94 +7.7%21.63 → 1.53 -6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.77	6.0%
Betano	1.95	1.82	6.2%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.02	1.82	4.5%
Average	1.96	1.77	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.91	1.78	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.76	9.2%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.92	1.79	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Morton 0%Draw 50%Raith Rovers 50%

The statistical model rated Morton at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Raith Rovers at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.39 | 3.94 | 1.53, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Championship table: Morton are 10th (4 pts, 7-18 goals), Raith Rovers 3rd (20 pts, 15-6).

Over their last five matches, Morton averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Raith Rovers averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Raith Rovers.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.80	3.66	1.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.14	1.14	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.64	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
5.24	2.17	2.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.84	10.4	1.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.03
1.5	1.30	3.21
2.5	1.96	1.77
3.5	3.44	1.27
4.5	6.72	1.07
5.5	10.7	1.03
6.5	15.5	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.14	4.35
1.75	1.36	2.80
2	1.49	2.44
2.25	1.72	2.00
2.75	2.22	1.58
3	2.71	1.40
3.25	3.08	1.28
3.75	4.30	1.15
4	6.05	1.06
4.25	6.50	1.05
5	9.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.61	1.43
+0.5	2.17	1.66
+0.75	1.90	1.81
+1	1.63	2.17
+1.25	1.47	2.51
+1.5	1.37	2.84

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.5	1.03
-1	9.80	1.01
-0.75	6.37	1.07
-0.5	4.50	1.19
-0.25	4.15	1.19
0	3.60	1.24
+1.75	1.25	3.54
+2	1.13	4.90
+2.25	1.11	5.43
+2.5	1.10	5.76
+2.75	1.05	7.55
+3	1.01	9.70
+3.5	1.03	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.08	5.15
6.5	1.29	3.22
7.5	1.57	2.28
8.5	2.00	1.76
9.5	2.62	1.43
10.5	3.69	1.22
11.5	5.50	1.06

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.11	4.63
7	1.35	2.81
8	1.73	1.99
9	2.29	1.54
10	3.26	1.25
11	5.07	1.08